Here’s what the world could look like without the Iranian regime

· January 3, 2018  
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Iranian dictator Ali Khamenei and Vladimir Putin
Wikimedia Commons

The collapse of the Iranian regime would serve to bolster American interests worldwide. It would undoubtedly become the most pro-West/pro-U.S./pro-freedom moment since the fall of the Soviet Union. It’s a no-brainer to support the ambitions of freedom-loving Iranians who are taking to the streets countrywide, demanding an end to the Islamic Republic. Here’s a look at only some of what could reverberate throughout the world, should the evil theocracy that is the Iranian regime crumble to the ground.

Iran becomes a friend to the U.S. and its allies?

Before the 1979 Islamic revolution, Iran was a close ally and major trade partner to the United States and its allies. Iran and the U.S. had several cultural exchange programs, economic partnerships, and similar values structures. The caliphatist regime turned Iran into an anti-American, Islamic supremacist government that preaches anti-western values. But a mullah-less Iran mighty very well again become a U.S. ally.

One less nuclear menace

Analysts differ on estimates of when Iran will be able to develop a nuclear bomb. Yet it’s becoming quite clear that Iran is deadly serious about becoming a nuclear power. With the Iranian regime out of the picture, U.S. administrations could refocus efforts on stopping other nuclear-powered menaces — such as North Korea, Russia, China, and Pakistan — from becoming hostile to American interests.

North Korea loses a critical ally

North Korea and Iran have an extensive, mutually beneficial technology-sharing agreement. Western analysts have warned that this is helping both nations rapidly develop their nuclear weapons programs and their militaries.

Given the combination of international sanctions against North Korea, Iran has acted as a much-needed sanctions-buster for the regime in Pyongyang. Without Iran, Kim Jong Un loses another friend in a world where friends to North Korea are far and few between.

Other major adversaries hurt

China and Russia are the two major power adversaries to the United States. Both have an interest in propping up the Iranian regime, which they utilize as a tool against the West. Iran, China, and Russia regularly ink multi-billion-dollar trade packages. The three nations also trade in advanced military hardware and create diplomatic alliances to deter western powers.

A free Lebanon?

Since shortly after the 1979 Islamic revolution in Iran, Lebanon has been a terrorist haven that has increasingly become usurped by the Hezbollah terrorist group, which relies on Iran for much of its arms and funding.

Hezbollah and Iran played a major role in the 1983 Marine barracks bombing in Beirut, which killed 241 U.S. Marines. A year later, Hezbollah committed a suicide car-bombing at the U.S. embassy annex in Beirut, killing 24 people.

Fast-forward to the present day, and Hezbollah now dominates the political environment in Lebanon. In June, Lebanon analyst Tony Badran of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies wrote that the “distinction between Hezbollah and the Lebanese State [is] now meaningless.” Thanks to the Iran nuclear deal, Hezbollah is swimming in cash. This year, Iran quadrupled its financial support to the terrorist group, from $200 million annually to $800 million.

Should the Iranian regime fall, Hezbollah would be forced to cut back on its terrorist activities. This would result in Hezbollah being forced to take a less aggressive posture against Israel and the Sunni nations in the Middle East. It would also allow for Sunni and Christian political forces in Lebanon to increase their political power and attempt to neutralize Hezbollah’s grip on the country.

Disarmed Hamas and PLO

As a Shiite theocracy, Iran has been happy to supply weapons and money to the Sunni Hamas and other Palestinian terrorist entities.

Iran and Hamas make for natural allies. Both are terrorist regimes, and both regularly call for the extermination of Israel.

Iran supplies Hamas with the weapons and supplies that the terrorist group uses to launch indiscriminate rocket attacks on Israel. The Tehran regime also smuggles cash to Hamas. This year, the mullahs promised even more funding for Hamas. Without Iran, Hamas would have to rely on Gulf states that have become more interested over time in neglecting the Gaza terror group and maintaining good relations with the rest of the world.

Houthis done for

The Civil War in Yemen has taken a devastating toll on those caught in the crossfire. In this game of thrones between Yemeni factions, Shia and Sunni terror groups, and other regional actors, thousands have been killed.

Iran has played a major role in arming Houthi insurgents with advanced ballistic missiles and drone technology. The Houthis are militantly anti-U.S. Their slogan, “Allah Is Great, Death to America, Death to Israel, Curse on the Jews, Victory to Islam,” says everything you need to know about their ideology.

Without the Iranian regime, the Houthis would lose their main supplier, and with it, their technological tools on the battlefield in Yemen.

Qatar’s isolation continues

As many of Qatar’s Gulf neighbors stress modernization and reformation, the Qatari regime in Doha has acted as a stubborn menace that refuses to stop wheeling and dealing with terrorist entities. Qatari government figures and private financiers continue to boost regional terrorist groups, such as Al Qaeda and Hamas. At the same time, as the international community attempts to box in Iran, Qatar offers a trade lifeline to the regime.

If the Iranian regime is toppled, Qatar would be forced to re-evaluate its role as a rogue actor in a neighborhood that has become more and more focused on driving out fundamentalist forces.

Assad loses his best partner

Forces loyal to Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad are responsible for killing hundreds of thousands of people on the battlefields of the country. And Iran, along with Russia, has acted as the Assad regime’s chief enablers. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and Hezbollah continue to fight on behalf of Assad. In exchange, Assad has become subservient to Iran. The regime has used the civil war as an opportunity to complete its land bridge from Tehran to Beirut

Allies bolstered

With the Iranian regime out of the way, several American allies would be reassured with a major security boost. The Saudis would not have to worry about Houthi ballistic missile attacks. Other Sunni allies would no longer face as many attempts to start revolutionary Islamist revolts inside their countries. Israel would not need to dedicate as many resources to defending its borders with Syria and Lebanon from imminent invasion. The Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) could reassert themselves as the military of Lebanon.

Iraq comes back into U.S. sphere of influence 

U.S. forces paid in the form of thousands of American and coalition lives to free Iraq from Baathist dictator Saddam Hussein. Despite all of the blood and treasure lost, Washington’s influence over the country has been superseded by the Islamic Republic, to the point where regional experts view Iraq as a proxy for the Iranian regime.

If the Iranian regime ceases to exist, Iraq could be forced to cool down the ultra-sectarian regime that rules in Baghdad. This would also mean offering more autonomy to the Kurds, who have for decades been a natural U.S. ally in the war against Islamic extremism.


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Author: Jordan Schachtel

Jordan Schachtel is the national security correspondent for Conservative Review and editor of The Dossier for CRTV. Follow him on Twitter @JordanSchachtel.