If I were a Republican in Congress, I would be fairly confident that the GOP will perform well in the 2018 midterms.
I know you’re skeptical. You object, telling me President Donald Trump is still very unpopular — his latest approval ratings continue to show that a majority of Americans disapprove of the job he’s doing. Typically, you remind me, when a president’s popularity is under water, his party performs poorly down-ballot. And sure, it’s true that polls consistently show Democrats enjoying an advantage on a generic ballot.
But here’s the thing. That advantage is shrinking, and it’s shrinking because the Democratic Party is nuttier than squirrel poop.
Democratic leaders in the House seem hell-bent on remaining in the minority. Even as companies like Starbucks are raising wages and reinvesting in the American economy because of the Trump tax cuts, Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., is again ridiculing bigger paychecks for Americans. Speaking at a #Trumptax Town Hall Thursday, she derided the tax cut as a “crumb” while claiming corporate “fat cats” reap all the benefits. Ignoring how these “fat cats” are the ones raising wages, another top Democrat at this town hall, Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, added that she’s not sure a $1,000 bonus “goes very far for almost anyone.”
The Trump economy is roaring, an estimated 3 million Americans are receiving some form of bonus or wage increase, companies are investing billions of dollars back into the U.S. economy and creating thousands of jobs, and House Democratic leadership is blind, deaf, and dumb to it. Or, more likely, they maliciously lied about the Republican tax plan and have no way to get out of the pit they dug, so they keep on lying.
Meanwhile in the Senate, under the leadership of Up-Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., the Democrats just suffered an embarrassing failure after shutting down the government to fight for amnesty for illegal aliens. President Trump and the Republicans, for once, began a principled messaging campaign blasting the Democrats for prioritizing the wants of illegal aliens over American citizens. Democrats retreated from the shutdown Monday, reopening the government without receiving any major concessions from Republicans on immigration. Their obstructionism was exposed as pointless, only serving to further alienate mainstream America from the open-borders zealots in the Democratic Party while infuriating grassroots progressives who believe Schumer caved.
The response from these grassroots progressives is to take on the perceived squish Democratic establishment with candidates like this guy:
This is Tom Taylor. He’s running in a Democratic primary to challenge Rep. Mia Love, R-Utah. Taylor is campaigning on the lunatic “Medicare for all, soak the rich, climate change is the most important national security threat” platform that is the heart and soul of the Democratic Party in America.
Is this guy a serious candidate for Congress? Clearly not. But he does show you exactly where the activist Left is, with racial hucksters like Shaun King, pink pussyhat-wearing anti-Semites like Linda Sarsour, and avowed communists like Bernie Sanders operating as the loudest voices in their movement. Color me skeptical that this is the movement that can put together a winning message for mainstream America in 2018.
They’ll try, of course. Indeed, the Democrats will make a concerted effort to win back Congress by riding on the coattails of Donald Trump’s unpopularity. Every campaign ad they run will accuse Republicans of enabling a racist, sexually deviant, intolerably stupid yet criminally ingenious Russian-colluding mastermind to oppress minorities and spit on the poor. They will ignore or lie about the facts showing that Trump’s policies have minority unemployment at record lows. They will demagogue, they will scream, they will march, and chiefly they will cry, “Impeach!”
To this end, the main weapon Democrats will employ is the Mueller Russian collusion probe. They will continue to declare that the president obstructed justice by firing James Comey and demand impeachment proceedings. Unable to run on a failing economy, tainted by the hypocrisy of their support for Bill Clinton and his sordid actions, and incapable of running on their other issues — which are far outside mainstream America — the Mueller probe is the only card Democrats have to play. But with every revelation of political bias at the FBI, for every Peter Strzok outed as a partisan hack, this Trump card, so to speak, loses its effectiveness.
Is a politically tainted investigation that has yet to provide evidence of President Trump colluding with Russia enough to build a winning campaign message? Doubtful.
Still, a lot can happen in the political eternity between now and November 2018. But if Democrats continue down this path of lying about the tax cuts, putting America last, and playing to the their crazy #Resistance base, the GOP will do just fine in the midterms.
Unless, of course, Republicans do something stupid like breaking a major Trump campaign promise by granting amnesty to illegal aliens. Then they’re screwed.
Editor’s note: The fourth paragraph has been amended for clarity.
Chris Pandolfo is a staff writer and type-shouter for Conservative Review. He holds a B.A. in politics and economics from Hillsdale College. His interests are conservative political philosophy, the American founding, and progressive rock. Follow him on Twitter for doom-saying and great album recommendations @ChrisCPandolfo.
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