The recent surprise victory of a liberal candidate in a Wisconsin special election for state supreme court has Republican Governor Scott Walker saying Republicans are “at risk of a #BlueWave” in November — and new polling from the Tennessee U.S. Senate race may confirm those fears.
A new poll from Middle Tennessee University found that Democratic Senate candidate former Gov. Phil Bredesen leads Republican candidate Rep. Marsha Blackburn by 10 points in the race to succeed U.S. Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn.
Of the 600 registered Tennessee voters polled, 45 percent said they would support Bredesen if the election were held now; 35 percent said they would support Blackburn; and 17 percent of poll respondents said they were not sure who they would vote for.
The key to Bredesen’s lead is the independent vote. Forty-five percent of self-described independents said they would choose Bredesen over Blackburn.
Lest readers think the poll was skewed towards Democrats, 34 percent of the respondents identified as Republicans, 25 percent as Democrats, and 28 percent as independents; the remaining 8 percent said they were “something else.”
This is not good news. In 2016, President Donald Trump won Tennessee with a whopping 60.72 percent of the vote, defeating Hillary Clinton by 26 points. Liberal Democrats have been winning special elections across the United States in places where Trump held a similarly large lead. The last Democrat victory to gain high-profile attention was Conor Lamb’s victory over Rick Saccone in a congressional district Trump won by 20 points. While this Tennessee poll will not predict the exact outcome of the Senate race, certainly not with months to go before November, it does demonstrate that so far, the midterm elections are following the trend of these primary elections.
With just 51 seats in the Senate, the GOP cannot afford to lose even one Republican-held seat. But with this poll, the specter of “Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y.” should begin to haunt conservatives’ nightmares.
Chris Pandolfo is a staff writer and type-shouter for Conservative Review. He holds a B.A. in politics and economics from Hillsdale College. His interests are conservative political philosophy, the American founding, and progressive rock. Follow him on Twitter for doom-saying and great album recommendations @ChrisCPandolfo.
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