Tonight, the Ohio special election widely seen as a referendum on President Donald Trump reaches its conclusion.
Republican Troy Balderson is running with Trump’s endorsement in a district the president won by 11 points in 2016. He’s running for a seat that has been held by a Republican since 1983, but his Democratic opponent, Danny O’Connor, is running surprisingly close to him. He’s a moderate Republican who supports a pathway to citizenship for so-called “Dreamers” and wants any Obamacare replacement to include pre-existing conditions regulations.
O’Connor has positioned himself as a moderate Democrat, pledging that if elected he would not vote for Nancy Pelosi as speaker of the House. Recent polling has the race in a statistical tie.
If the O’Connor wins, or if Balderson wins narrowly, the media narrative will be that Trump is no king-maker and he can’t save the Republican Party from an oncoming blue wave in November.