Can We Put Pete Rose In The Baseball Hall Of Fame Now?

Pete Rose’s life has ended. It's time for his lifetime ban to do the same.

How Gambling Explains Our Modern, Complex World

Nate Silver’s new book, On the Edge, uses poker and sports betting to help explain the risks of crypto, AI, and other complicated new ideas.

Taking a Risk With Nate Silver

A couple of years after I graduated from college, concerned that my ability to understand philosophy was stagnating, I spent part of a year reading A Thousand Plateaus, the inscrutable magnum opus of French continental philosophers Félix Guattari and Gilles Deleuze. The book is hard to describe: Its chapters seem to have very little to do with each other, in turn invoking strange ideas about "rhizomes" and "war machines" and "blank faces." (The chapter I remember best spends a lot of time trying to explain the philosophical significance of the shape of lobsters.)

Why the authors did this is something of a mystery. The most parsimonious answer is that European philosophers are just weird. But a more charitable explanation is that the book is an attempt to describe two different ways of thinking about the structure of the world. Deleuze and Guattari think that almost everyone thinks most everything is structured one way, but they want everyone to at least be able to think and structure the other way. Their weirdness is an effort—however unsuccessful—at trying to change the way their readers perceive the world.

Readers who are scared off by French philosophy should not take this opening digression as a warning against On the Edge, the odd and interesting new book from rogue election forecaster Nate Silver. There are no rhizomes or lobsters to be found here. At the same time, reading On the Edge left me with the same experience of reading A Thousand Plateaus—it felt like the author was, through a series of somewhat disjointed stories and discussions, attempting to change how his readers see the world.

The post Taking a Risk With Nate Silver appeared first on .

New Docuseries Probes Baseball Legend Pete Rose And His ‘Victimless’ Crimes

It took Pete Rose over two decades to finally admit he bet on Reds games as a manager, but it was too little too late.

More MLB players suspended for gambling, including top Oakland reliever Michael Kelly, World Series pitcher Andrew Saalfrank



After San Diego Padres utility player Tucupita Marcano received a lifetime ban for betting on baseball, it was revealed that four other players have received suspensions for gambling as well.

MLB said that Marcano placed 387 bets totaling over $150,000, 231 of which were related to the major leagues. Of those bets, 25 were placed on Pittsburgh Pirates games while he was on their roster. He did not appear in any of those games, however.

It was also revealed that at least four other players had been suspended for placing bets. This included fellow MLB player Michael Kelly, who, statistically speaking, is one of the Oakland Athletics' top relief pitchers with just a 2.59 ERA in 28 appearances.

He was found to have placed 10 bets on nine MLB games between October 5-17, 2021, when he was a minor league player. He wagered on outcomes, over/under on runs, and individual pitcher strikeout totals. He wagered $99.22 and won $28.30.

Kelly was declared ineligible for one year for betting on baseball. He last appeared in Triple-A in 2023.

'There are more people involved in this than people want to believe'

Pitcher Michael KellyPhoto by Ezra Shaw via Getty Images

Jay Groome was another San Diego Padres player to receive a gambling-related suspension. He received a year for betting on major league games.

The 25-year-old placed 32 MLB-related bets between July 2020 and August 2021, which included 24 bets on the Boston Red Sox while he was assigned to their High-A affiliate. He wagered a total of $453.74 and had a net loss of $433.54.

Groome has played three games in the Padres' Triple-A affiliate in 2024.

Jose Rodriguez of the Philadelphia Phillies organization also received a yearlong ban for betting on MLB games. Rodriguez is a regular starter for the Phillies Double-A affiliate, having played 38 games in 2024.

Rodriguez made 31 bets, 28 on MLB, three on college baseball. He bet on outcomes and runs scored, wagering a total of $749.09.

Pitcher Jay GroomePhoto by Norm Hall via Getty Images

The fourth player to be suspended for a year for gambling on major league games was Andrew Saalfrank. The left-handed pitcher last played for the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 29, 2024, appearing in just two games for the team this season. He has appeared in 18 games in Triple-A.

In 2023, he pitched in 21 games in the season and playoffs, including three in the World Series. He bet 29 times on baseball between September and the end of October 2021. He again bet on March 9, 2022. His baseball bets totaled $445.87; he lost $272.64 on MLB wagers, winning just five of his bets.

MLB revealed that it was tipped off about the betting activity by a legal sports-betting operator. The league also noted that none of the players who have been punished played in any game that they wagered on, and it denied having inside information relevant to their bets.

MLB reportedly said that the information aligned with what it was told by the betting company.

Pitcher Andrew SaalfrankPhoto by John E. Moore III via Getty Images

"There are more people involved in this than people want to believe," said baseball analyst Gary Sheffield Jr. "If the MLB was serious about this issue, they'd put integrity over the money, but money will always be number one," he continued.

"We may find it striking how often players that are caught gambling are not that good. If you're a good enough player, the league is able to make this problem go away."

"We'll never have a full understanding of the investigations, nor will we know how valuable players are seemingly not caught," Sheffield added.

Sheffield said that an attempt to make mid-season games more exciting with gambling has opened up "Pandora's box," and the risk of growing the game has come with drawbacks. The writer and podcaster added that it's going to be a rough road for these suspended players, given that they will likely lose a year's worth of service time.

The (literal) payoff for these baseball players will always be an intriguing line of questioning, seeing as most of them do not make money.

Marcano won just 4.3% of his MLB-related bets.

That's an incredibly low payoff compared to former NBA player Jontay Porter, who received a lifetime ban from his league in April 2024. He had $21,965 in alleged winnings but also allegedly told a bettor about his health status for the purpose of gambling. The bettor then placed an $80,000 parlay proposition with an online sports book to win $1.1 million dollars.

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There's an obvious gambling problem in sports that should cause sports fans to question the legitimacy of every contest



On Tuesday, news broke that San Diego Padres utility player Tucupita Marcano was facing a lifetime ban for having allegedly bet on baseball, including placing bets on the outcomes of Pittsburgh Pirates games when he played for the team last year. The investigation is ongoing, and representatives for Marcano, the MLBPA, and MLB are for the moment staying tight-lipped in public, but the widespread expectation seems to be that Marcano will be lucky to escape with any eligibility to return to professional baseball at all.

Marcano, however, is just the latest in an alarming string of athletes who have been implicated in professional gambling scandals. Nor is the problem limited to baseball. In April, the NBA announced a lifetime ban for Toronto Raptors reserve player Jontay Porter, who not only was alleged to have bet on games, but also allegedly provided illegal inside information to gamblers in exchange for money and on at least one occasion allegedly faked an illness to limit his own participation in a game in order to ensure that a particular proposition bet paid off.

And of course, most embarrassingly, the most exciting player in recent baseball memory, Shohei Ohtani, was caught up in a gambling scandal when his interpreter, Ippei Mizuhara, was allegedly busted by the feds for stealing millions of dollars from Ohtani to pay off debts he incurred by wagering on sports with an illegal bookie. Although that investigation also remains ongoing, the likelihood that a person in Mizuhara's situation may have provided inside information to gamblers that he was privy to only because of his position as Ohtani's interpreter seems quite high.

The biggest threat to the future of professional sports is not woke politics or the specter of people who were born biologically male dominating female athletes. It's gambling and the insidious effect that the industry plainly has on the integrity of sports competition.

Sports, at its core, is watchable solely because the audience believes that the athletes involved in the competition are playing an honest game that involves both sides’ best efforts to win. If fans don’t believe that games are on the level, sports cannot survive.

Gambling, at its core, is enjoyable to gamblers because it combines the adrenaline of vicarious fan participation in sport with the allure of a potentially large payday without doing work.

It should be obvious to all that the incentives created by gambling inherently threaten the basis for sport itself.

There is a reason that, in 2018, all four major sports in America petitioned the Supreme Court to keep the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act, which effectively banned gambling on single sporting events outside Las Vegas. The leagues knew that sports gambling is a nightmare to police, and from the leagues’ perspective, the more they could outsource that job to the feds, the better.

However, when the Supreme Court struck down PASPA in 2018 on fairly narrow technical grounds, Congress had no appetite to pass a law that fixed the flaws that invalidated PASPA. There was not even a serious discussion to bring a bill to that effect to the floor.

And with shocking speed, the sports leagues and the sports-consuming public embraced the reality of a world in which sports betting could be done anywhere, on anything. Las Vegas, which had long been shunned by the leagues due to the danger of having a team so close to the seat of organized gambling, suddenly got an NFL team to keep its NHL team company. DraftKings and other companies became some of the most prominent sports advertisers. ESPN opened a vertical called ESPN BET that not only covered gambling but allowed people to gamble online in its portal.

And somehow, when news broke that millions of dollars had been siphoned from the bank account of the most famous baseball player since at least Barry Bonds to cover gambling debts, we were all surprised.

It is comforting to believe that the leagues have the situation under control and that Marcano, Porter, and Mizuhara were isolated cases. The leagues have even pointed to their cases as evidence that their control mechanisms are working.

But the Mizuhara case in particular puts the lie to that contention. Here was an individual who was, effectively, the mouthpiece of the most prominent player in baseball. According to investigators, he placed an astonishing number of bets — estimated to be over 19,000 — over a period that lasted three years.

As the story goes, he began siphoning money in the form of public wire transfers that were for huge dollar amounts in September 2023. A total of at least nine of these transactions were authorized and executed over the intervening months. None of this was discovered until January 2024, and even then it was not discovered by the league, it was discovered by the feds. If the feds had not raided the home of Mizuhara’s alleged bookie, who knows how long it would have taken baseball to catch on to what was happening?

The problem does not admit of easy answers. There is little or no appetite for a legislative solution because, perversely, the public at large enjoys betting on sports, as evidenced by the massive growth in the sports betting industry that has occurred since 2018. Additionally, the industry is greasing the wheels of both the media that covers sports and the teams themselves with copious amounts of advertising money. Sports fans and media may well be unwittingly sowing the seeds of destruction for sports with their own desires.

But even if all this were not true, a legislative fix would likely still not be the answer. Trusting the federal government to deal with the problem by making it illegal is a lazy approach that was ineffective while it lasted. Gambling was largely illegal when Tim Donaghy bet on games for two years as an NBA referee before he got caught. Gambling was largely illegal when Pete Rose reportedly bet on baseball in 1987 — something he was not caught doing until 1989.

This problem is not one that the feds could or should solve. But it’s one that the leagues themselves need to wrestle with, and quickly. The steady stream of stories about people who have been caught does and should cause sports fans to question how many more compromised athletes are out there who have not been caught, or at least not caught yet. And it’s only a matter of time before those questions turn to cynicism about the legitimacy of sports' on-field product.

And when that happens, sports as we know them will be over.

Toronto Raptors' Jontay Porter banned from NBA for life after disclosing info to bettor for $1.1 million bet

Toronto Raptors' Jontay Porter banned from NBA for life after disclosing info to bettor for $1.1 million bet



NBA power forward Jontay Porter has been banned from the NBA for allegedly engaging in sports betting and limiting his participation for gambling purposes.

The NBA issued a press release about the 24-year-old Toronto Raptors player, detailing how a league investigation found that the player violated league rules by disclosing confidential information to sports bettors.

The league also said that Porter limited "his own participation in one or more games for betting purposes" and also bet on NBA games.

For a game on March 20, 2024, Porter allegedly told a bettor about his health status. The bettor then placed an $80,000 parlay proposition with an online sports book to win $1.1 million dollars.

The bet was that Porter would underperform in certain statistical categories.

Speculation outside official NBA sources stated that Porter left the game with with an undisclosed illness, which set off alarm bells to gambling bodies.

NBA statistics showed Porter played just two minutes and 43 seconds during the game in question, recording just two rebounds.

The unusual betting activity meant that the $80,000 wager was frozen by the betting company and wasn't paid out.

Porter was also accused by the NBA of placing at least 13 bets on NBA games using "an associate's online betting account."

Bets ranged from just $15 to upward of $22,000. The bets totaled $54,094 and had a payout of $76,059; the net winnings were $21,965. None of the bets involved a game in which Porter played, however. He did bet on the Raptors three times though, and lost all three bets, the NBA said.

The league's investigation remained opened, and the NBA said it will share information with federal prosecutors.

"There is nothing more important than protecting the integrity of NBA competition for our fans, our teams and everyone associated with our sport, which is why Jontay Porter's blatant violations of our gaming rules are being met with the most severe punishment," NBA Commissioner Adam Silver said.

"While legal sports betting creates transparency that helps identify suspicious or abnormal activity, this matter also raises important issues about the sufficiency of the regulatory framework currently in place, including the types of bets offered on our games and players. Working closely with all relevant stakeholders across the industry, we will continue to work diligently to safeguard our league and game."

The following has been released by the NBA.
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Speculation of Porter's alleged wrongdoing was circulating online for weeks ahead of the league's announcement. In addition to the March 20, 2024, game, just days later YouTube channel SL Breakdown reported on another suspicious performance by Porter.

During a January 26, 2024, loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, Porter played just four minutes and 24 seconds before reportedly coming out of the game after reaggravating an eye injury. In that game, he recorded just three rebounds and one assist.

The analysts questioned whether this was one of the other games that NBA investigators alluded to as being a game where Porter was "limiting" his participation.

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Why Can’t Deep-Red Ohio Accomplish Anything For Conservatives?

With a supermajority Republican trifecta, it is stunning how little Ohio Republicans get done and how often they lose consequential battles.

Don of a New Age

The Mafia is an American institution. No wonder it's been in decline since the 1970s. Unlike other American institutions such as the DMV and the TSA, the MOB is esteemed by many of the people it exploits. Not all organized criminals are viewed so reverentially. Just 13 percent of adults approve of the job Congress is doing. A far greater number of Americans approve of the job that Francis Ford Coppola did on the Godfather movies—just not Godfather III.

The post Don of a New Age appeared first on Washington Free Beacon.

Paternity Parlay: Sportsbook Takes Bets on Hunter Biden Child Support Dispute

An online sportsbook launched a betting market based on Hunter Biden’s child support dispute, laying odds on whether the troubled first son will be held in contempt of court, and if any hidden assets will be discovered during the trial.

The post Paternity Parlay: Sportsbook Takes Bets on Hunter Biden Child Support Dispute appeared first on Washington Free Beacon.