Morgan Stanley analyst directly blames Biden's 'excessive' fiscal stimulus for surge of inflation
An analysis of the economy by Morgan Stanley put the blame directly on the "excessive" fiscal stimulus spending by the Biden administration for the surge of inflation that is hurting so many Americans.
Michael Wilson led a team of analysts in the assessment released on Monday.
"In summary, the slack created by the covid recession is being absorbed much faster than usual. While some of this absorption is due to the supply disruptions created by the lockdowns, we think it was more so due to excessive fiscal stimulus provided during the pandemic, particularly the last $1.9T package at the end of March 2021 just as the economy was already emerging from the lockdowns," the analysis read.
"In our view, this was what turbocharged consumption and drove inflation to 40-year-highs," it continued.
"In other words, we created too much demand for the supply chains to handle. The fact that the supply chains had been impaired to some degree only exacerbated the shortages and inflation, especially for consumer goods," they concluded.
The stock market has been plummeting in the last month as inflation worries crush investors' hopes of companies' earnings justifying their valuations.
The analysis from Wilson predicted that the market will continue to plummet before hitting a floor.
Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson responded to the assessment by pointing to a poll from March 2021 that showed voters were very concerned about the massive spending leading to inflation.
"Voters at the time were more worried about this possibility than many of our elected officials were," tweeted Anderson.
More recently, voters have indicated in polling that they blame Biden's spending policies for inflation more than the pandemic, the invasion of Ukraine, or supposed corporate greed. Biden has responded to the crisis by claiming that fighting inflation is his first priority.
Here's more about Biden's inflation crisis:
Inflation rises to near 40-year highwww.youtube.com
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen admits Biden's spending worsened inflation
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen admitted in an interview Wednesday that President Joe Biden's big spending has worsened inflation in the United States.
She made the comments in an interview with Matt Murray, the editor-in-chief of the Wall Street Journal.
"As you know, one of the criticisms made for the administration and for the Fed really, in underestimating the toll of inflation, a year ago, one of the criticisms made of the administration, and it really goes back to the prior administration as well, is government stimulus spending related to COVID and the bill that the administration passed over the last year helped feed this," Murray said.
"You're an economist, you understand the causes of these phenomena. What's your take on how responsible government spending was in helping contribute to the problem that we're facing now on this front," Murray asked.
"So look, inflation is a matter of demand and supply, and the spending that was undertaken in the American Rescue Plan did feed demand," Yellen admitted.
"But I do think it was justified and appropriate at the time, given the risks the economy faced," she continued. "At the time that President Biden was inaugurated, we had an economy where forecasters were envisioning very high unemployment for a very long time. We had especially low-wage workers who had been laid off in massive numbers. We saw cars lined up for miles in food banks, Americans worried about not being able to feed their families, get enough to eat. Forecasts were really quite dire."
Yellen went on to say that high inflation was an unintentional result of the administration trying to avoid another recession and focusing on full employment, which she said was a success.
She also argued that the economy was strong despite facing the impact of the economic fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Despite the administration trying to pin the blame for high inflation on other causes, polls show that more Americans blame Biden and his policies for the spike in high prices than any other one contributing cause.
Here's the interview with Yellen:
‘The U.S. Is Very Strong Now:’ Janet Yellen on the Future of the U.S. Economy | WSJwww.youtube.com
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