2020 census showed massive spike in 'multiracial' population. Turns out that was likely bogus.



The 2020 U.S. census results indicated not only a decline in the white population but a massive spike in the multiracial population over the previous 10 years, stating that Americans identifying as more than one race accounted for 10.2% of the population, up from 2.9% in 2010.

While bureaucrats patted themselves on the back, expressing confidence in their findings and methodology, various academics, pundits, and liberal publications made hay of the results, sounding off about the "multiracial boom" and the "nation's changing mosaic." In some cases, there was outright celebration of the decline in the white population, euphemistically referred to as an increase in diversity — 24% of Democrats and Democratic leaners told Pew Research pollsters that this alleged demographic shift was a good thing.

It turns out the boom, still a crutch for liberal arguments years later, was likely bogus.

A pair of Princeton University sociologists noted in a December paper in the journal Sociological Science that "the boom was largely a statistical illusion resulting from methodological changes that confounded ancestry with identity and mistakenly equated national origin with race."

Original claims

Several months after releasing race-ethnic population estimates, the U.S. Census Bureau announced in August 2021:

  • The white population remained the largest race or ethnicity group in the country, with 204.3 million solely identifying on the census as white; however, that cohort had decreased by 8.6% since 2010.
  • Another 31.1 million people identified as white in combination with another race group.
  • The Hispanic or Latino population grew from 50.5 million or 16.3% of the population in 2010 to 62.1 million, 18.7%, in 2020.
  • The population of Americans solely identifying as American Indian or Alaska Native increased from 2.9 million in 2010 to 3.7 million in 2020.
  • The population of Americans solely identifying as Asian increased from 14.7 million to 19.9 people over the 10-year period.
  • The population of Americans solely identifying as black grew from 38.9 million in 2010 to 41.1 million in 2020.
  • The multiracial population shot up from 9 million people in 2010 to 33.8 million people in 2020, representing a 276% increase.

The bureaucrats concluded that "nearly all groups saw population gains this decade and the increase in the Two or More Races population was especially large. The white alone population declined."

'Thus, many Hispanics who would have checked off white alone in 2010 may have checked "white" and "some other race" in 2020.'

The bureau reached these conclusions on the basis of a modified questionnaire that asked respondents who checked off white or black to also list their "origins." Based on their stated origins, respondents were frequently and automatically flagged as multiracial.

Early doubts

There were a handful of critics who indicated at the outset that this supposed boom was the result of a statistical sleight of hand.

John Judis, editor at large at Talking Points Memo, noted in the Wall Street Journal, for instance, that "contrary to Democratic hopes and right-wing anxieties, America’s white population didn’t shrink much between 2010 and 2020 and might actually have grown."

Judis pointed out:

The census asked respondents who checked off "white" to specify their nationality: "Print, for example, German, Irish, Italian, Lebanese, Egyptian, etc." No Spanish-speaking nationality was listed. That likely created the impression that Hispanic was another race, notwithstanding the previous question's disclaimer that "Hispanic origins are not races." Thus, many Hispanics who would have checked off white alone in 2010 may have checked "white" and "some other race" in 2020. The number of Hispanics checking two or more boxes increased by 567% from 2010 and make up about two-thirds of those who checked both boxes.

"One takeaway that we saw in the media a lot was about the alleged decline of the white population and certain rises in the 'mark one or more' [races] multiracial or biracial population," Ellis Monk, a sociology professor at Harvard University, told the campus paper in September 2021. "My main reaction is really to the way that the questions, the forms on the census itself are actually produced."

'Population size determines, to some degree, the power you wield.'

Monk also suggested that the way the questions were worded "could have played into the rise of the number of people who feel compelled to mark one or more categories on the census."

Others who were content with the bureau's final figures proved willing to dismiss or ignore such doubts about the accuracy or meaning of the census findings.

True believers

MSNBC political analyst Charles Blow noted in an August 2021 piece for the New York Times titled "It was a terrifying census for white nationalists" that "white power acolytes saw this train approaching from a distance — the browning of America, the shrinking of the white population and the explosion of the nonwhite — and they did everything they could to head it off."

Blow suggested that pro-life activism, protections for the Second Amendment, and efforts to clamp down on illegal immigration were part of a grand white supremacist campaign that apparently failed and that a comeuppance was on the horizon.

"Population size determines, to some degree, the power you wield," wrote Blow. "The passage of power is not a polite and gentle affair like passing the salt at a dinner table. People with power fight — sometimes to the end — to maintain it. There's going to be a shift, but not without strife."

Others were more delicate when insinuating that American citizens were competing along racial lines or when suggesting that ascendant racial groups should be assigned greater priority and care.

"The unanticipated decline in the country's white population means that other racial and ethnic groups are responsible for generating overall growth," William Frey, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, said of the Census Bureau's early estimates. "One fact is already clear: As the nation becomes even more racially diverse from the 'bottom up' of the age structure, more attention needs to be given to the needs and opportunities for America's highly diverse younger generations."

"The mixing of all sorts [of races] is really a new force in 21st-century America," Richard Alba, a demographer and professor emeritus at the City University of New York, told the Washington Post. "We're talking about a big, powerful phenomenon."

While some leftists and race obsessives salivated over the prospect of fewer white Americans and the supposed power shift that would entail, others complained about the pace of the alleged change.

Sarah Gaither, an associate professor at Duke University, told CNN, "Even if the white individuals in our country are decreasing numerically, it doesn't necessarily suggest that they're losing any of their power. These power structures are built into our systems, historically, and will still be built pretty strongly going forward."

While it's unclear whether anyone stands to lose power, the U.S. Census Bureau has certainly lost credibility.

Bureaucratic bogus

In their paper, recently highlighted by the Associated Press, Princeton sociologists Paul Starr and Christina Pao suggested that the new question design and recoding algorithm used in the 2020 census were "largely responsible for the multiracial increase."

"The example of the individual from Argentina who checked only 'white' but was coded as multiracial is typical of what happened with both whites and blacks with any Latin American heritage," wrote the researchers. "The census algorithm did not recognize Latin American national origins or ethnicities as a race. When anyone who checked off 'white' or 'black' alone indicated a Latin American origin, they were reclassified as multiracial."

Apparently the illusion of a multiracial boom was driven also by Americans going the route taken by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Berkeley professor Elizabeth Hoover.

"The reclassification of whites as multiracial was not limited to self-identified whites with Latin American origins," continued the paper. "Among non-Hispanics, the biggest jump in the multiracial population was in the 'white and American Indian' category — an increase of 2.3 million."

The researchers concluded that while there has been an upward trend in multiracial identity, "it has been a much more slowly growing trend than recent data and the [New York] Times suggest."

"In short, the various steps the Census Bureau has already undertaken (using 'origins' for recoding) or has used in its tests (displaying racial data without the two-or-more category) raise the multiracial complication to a new level of perplexity," added the sociologists.

Like Blaze News? Bypass the censors, sign up for our newsletters, and get stories like this direct to your inbox. Sign up here!

3 Million ‘Temporary’ Migrants Will Now Sway Congressional Seats Thanks To Census Bureau Change

A Census Bureau change enables blue states to keep congressional seats because their population is propped up with illegal aliens.

Dem Rep Goes On Unhinged Rant About ‘New White Seats’ In Texas During Hearing

'They love to use our bodies to — to apportion us in an inaccurate way'

Counting on chaos: How census miscounts could decide 2024



What if Donald Trump narrowly loses the election due to an unnoticed form of election fraud, later confirmed by U.S. Census data? What if Republicans saw this fraud coming but took no action and haven’t even held hearings to address it?

With Ohio and Florida solidly Republican this generation, Democrats have based their electoral strategy on the “blue wall” of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Signs show that migration trends and demographic shifts may have bolstered Republican positions in Sun Belt swing states like Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina.

In a closely divided nation, acts of misconduct — and the GOP’s lack of a long-term strategy to counter them — will shape the course of history.

If Democrats retain the blue wall, Trump would still have 268 electoral votes — just one short of a potential win through a congressional vote. This outcome remains a real possibility. However, what if the states that Trump would likely win, based on clear population data, should actually yield more than 270 votes, even without a single Rust Belt swing state?

The Constitution mandates a census every 10 years to determine each state’s congressional representation. Article II, Section 1, Clause 2, then ties the Electoral College to that state’s congressional delegation based on census reapportionment. But if the census inflated blue state numbers and deflated red state numbers in a closely divided country, it could change the balance of power in Congress and potentially determine the next president.

Based on the census report used for reapportionment, which estimated the population as of April 1, 2020, Texas gained two congressional seats, while Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon each gained one. Meanwhile, California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia each lost a congressional seat, reducing their electoral votes for president. Although this shift benefited Republicans overall, many believed it still didn’t capture the massive migration from blue states to red states, especially in the Sun Belt.

In a bombshell 2022 report that should have sparked a fierce congressional debate, the Census Bureau admitted to overcounting in eight states and undercounting in six by unprecedented error margins. Five of the six undercounted states were red, and six of the eight overcounted states were blue, with the largest errors affecting red states on both sides. Here are the error rates:

  • Undercounted states
    Arkansas (-5.04%), Florida (-3.48%), Illinois (-1.97%), Mississippi (-4.11%), Tennessee (-4.78%), Texas (-1.92%)
  • Overcounted states
    Delaware (+5.45%), Hawaii (+6.79%), Massachusetts (+2.24%), Minnesota (+3.84%), New York (+3.44%), Ohio (+1.49%), Rhode Island (+5.05%), Utah (+2.59%)

In raw population terms, the largest errors disadvantaged red states and favored blue states:

  1. Florida (-761,094)
  2. Texas (-560,319)
  3. Tennessee (-330,628)

What was the result of these errors? As Hans von Spakovsky from the Heritage Foundation noted, “Due to these errors, Florida did not receive two additional congressional seats, Texas lost out on one seat, while Minnesota and Rhode Island each retained a seat they should have lost, and Colorado gained an undeserved new seat.”

It’s hard to predict how an accurate count would have affected congressional district boundaries, making it difficult to assess the partisan control of Congress. However, in the Electoral College, if Trump wins the Sun Belt swing states and Harris carries the Rust Belt swing states, instead of Trump losing 270-268, he would win 271-267. The data shows Trump could win with just the Sun Belt. And House control could hinge on a few districts that may have been distorted by Biden’s erroneous census certification.

Why didn’t Republicans hold hearings to investigate this error? In the previous census, there was an overcount of only 36,000 people nationwide, a negligible 0.01% that didn’t affect any state’s reapportionment. Doesn’t anyone want to understand the cause of such a significant error, especially one so favorable to Democrats?

While options for redress in 2022 were limited, Republicans had two years before the next presidential election to challenge the Biden administration’s decision. The apportionment clause grants Congress the authority to direct the census “in such manner as they shall by law direct.”

With control of Congress in 2023, House Republicans could have held hearings to clarify the correct apportionment and added legislation to budget bills mandating a compromise between the original numbers and the revised count starting in 2024.

Though a legal battle would likely follow, the Supreme Court ruled in Utah v. Evans (2002) that the census clause doesn’t forbid using statistical methods to enhance accuracy beyond a direct count.

This error isn’t the only factor giving Democrats an artificial advantage. Even before the recent surge in illegal immigration, estimates suggested California held an extra five seats in the House due to its population of illegal aliens. When Trump tried to exclude undocumented immigrants from the census count, the courts blocked his efforts. But when Biden’s inaccurate count favored blue states, officials claimed there was no legal recourse.

It’s disheartening and ironic to reflect on our founding and see how the framers believed the census would be one of the least politicized issues. In Federalist No. 36, Alexander Hamilton wrote, “An actual census or enumeration of the people must furnish the rule, a circumstance which effectually shuts the door to partiality or oppression.”

Today, self-evident truths are often distorted, making it easy for the government to manipulate data with bias and unfairness. In a closely divided nation, these acts of misconduct — and the GOP’s lack of a long-term strategy to counter them — will shape the course of history.

Census Data Shows Americans Haven’t Gotten A Pay Raise Since Trump Was President

Lower incomes, higher inflation, and fewer people with private health insurance — such is life under Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

Biden administration changes race, ethnicity options on census and other federal surveys



The White House's Office of Management and Budget, currently in the hands of the Biden administration, has announced that significant changes have been made to questions related to race and ethnicity on most standard federal surveys and questionnaires, including the U.S. census. These are the first such changes to be made in nearly 30 years.

The first major change is that race and ethnicity, which had been addressed in separate questions, will now be conflated, though respondents may still select multiple options. One purpose for this change, the AP reported, is to simplify the process for Hispanic people. The AP claimed that people of Hispanic heritage often "aren't sure how to answer the race question" and as a result either select "some other race" or leave the question blank.

There will also be a new racial category added to the mix. Since 1997, the U.S. has recognized five minimum racial categories: American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Black or African American, Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and white. Now, respondents will have the additional option of selecting Middle Eastern and North African.

Those in charge of creating surveys should also consider breaking several racial categories down even further, the OMB said. For instance, the office suggested, some who select the category "black" might more specifically identify as Haitian or Jamaican.

Finally, the OMB has eliminated the following terms from federal surveys and questionnaires because they are either offensive or inadequate: Negro, Far East, majority, and minority.

Many on the left are celebrating these new changes, which — according to the AP — were made over the last two years by "a group of federal statisticians and bureaucrats who prefer to stay above the political fray."

"It feels good to be seen," said Democrat state Rep. Anna Eskamani of Florida, whose parents were born in Iran. "Growing up, my family would check the 'white' box because we didn’t know what other box reflected our family. Having representation like that, it feels meaningful."

"You can’t underestimate the emotional impact this has on people," added Meeta Anand, senior director for Census and Data Equity at the Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights. "You are seeing a desire for people to want to self-identify and be reflected in data so they can tell their own stories."

However, the AP's reporting also notes that the new changes, which will greatly reduce the number of people considered white, will likely have political consequences in terms of congressional districts and the understanding and enforcement of civil rights laws.

Others have some reservations because they believe the Middle Eastern and North African category still isn't inclusive enough. "It is not reflective of the racial diversity of our community," said Maya Berry, executive director of the Arab American Institute. "And it’s wrong."

Like Blaze News? Bypass the censors, sign up for our newsletters, and get stories like this direct to your inbox. Sign up here!

'Most Americans are still unaware': Musk notes that illegal immigrant population impacts number of House seats each state has



Business tycoon Elon Musk highlighted that the illegal immigrant population in each state counts toward determining the number of seats the state has in the U.S. House of Representatives.

"Most Americans are still unaware that the census counts ALL people, including illegal immigrants, for deciding how many House seats each state gets! This results in Dem states getting roughly 20 more House seats, which is another strong incentive for them not to deport illegals," Musk tweeted.

— (@)

GOP Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky responded to Musk, pointing that this in turn has an impact on the number of electoral votes each state has in presidential elections.

"And House seats determine how many votes each state has in the electoral college. So although illegal aliens don't vote, they can determine the outcome of Presidential races. Kentucky has 6 representatives, but California likely has 6 extra seats due to illegal immigration!" Massie wrote.

"Exactly," Musk responded.

The number of electoral votes each state gets in a presidential election is equal to the number of House and Senate seats the state has.

— (@)

The U.S. Census Bureau explains that, "Apportionment is the process of dividing the 435 memberships, or seats, in the U.S. House of Representatives among the 50 states based on the apportionment population counts from the decennial census."

"The apportionment population count for each of the 50 states includes the state's total resident population plus a count of the overseas federal employees (and their dependents living with them overseas) who have that state listed as their home state in their employers' administrative records," the Census Bureau notes.

Regarding whether "unauthorized immigrants" factor in to the resident population counts, the Census Bureau notes, "Yes, all people (citizens and noncitizens) with a usual residence in the United States are included in the resident population for the census."

Like Blaze News? Bypass the censors, sign up for our newsletters, and get stories like this direct to your inbox. Sign up here!

Biden’s Border Invasion Will Bolster Democrats’ Electoral College Majority

Democrats don't care about public safety. They only care about securing more Electoral College votes and amassing power.

How Illegal Aliens Flooding Our Border Skew Elections For Democrats Without Ever Casting A Vote

Millions of illegal immigrants, many of whom are in large, left-leaning cities, dilute the voting power of American citizens.

Over 59% of illegal alien households rely on taxpayer-funded welfare: Study



The majority of illegal alien- and immigrant-run households are reliant upon taxpayer-funded welfare, according to a new study.

The Center for Immigration Studies scrutinized U.S. Census Bureau data from the 2022 Survey of Income and Program Participation, finding that non-citizens are far more likely than Americans to make extensive use of means-tested anti-poverty programs.

The study, published Tuesday, found that 54% of households headed by immigrants, including naturalized citizens, legal residents, and illegal aliens, used one or more major welfare program. By way of comparison, only 39% of U.S.-born households similarly relied on food programs, housing programs, Medicaid, and/or the dole.

Even when free school meals and the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children were not factored in, the researchers found that 46% of immigrant households drew welfare versus 33% of U.S.-born households who relied on such support.

An estimated 59.4% of households headed by illegal aliens drew on at least one major taxpayer-funded welfare support. As a cohort, those who stole illegally into the nation reportedly use every program at "statistically significant higher rates than the U.S.-born, except for [Supplemental Security Income], [Temporary Assistance for Needy Families], and housing."

The study indicated that 48% of "illegal-headed households" used food welfare programs; 39% relied on Medicaid; 18% relied on cash welfare; and 4% relied on housing programs.

The CIS researchers suggested that the "ability of immigrant, including illegal immigrants, to receive welfare benefits on behalf of U.S.-born citizen children is a key reason why restrictions on welfare use for new legal immigrants and illegal immigrants are relatively ineffective."

According to the CIS, it is difficult to nail down precisely why immigrant households are more likely than U.S.-born households to collect welfare, given that "83 percent of all immigrant households and 94 percent of illegal-headed households have at least one worker." Children and educational attainment similarly don't appear to be major factors, as childless immigrant households and those with college degrees also tend to use welfare more than their U.S.-born counterparts.

When discussing how best to interpret the data, the researchers noted that "traditionally, one of the most important arguments for immigration is that it benefits the United States — that is, the existing population of Americans. From this perspective, it is certainly reasonable to argue that with the exception of the roughly 6 percent of the total immigrant population who were admitted for humanitarian reasons (e.g. refugees and asylees), immigrant welfare use should be very low."

They further noted that the flood of millions of illegal aliens into the nation since President Joe Biden took office "has profound implications for public coffers," especially since "a large share of those released into the country have been granted parole," meaning they enjoy the same welfare eligibility as new permanent legal immigrants.

The CIS indicated in a previous report that the total foreign-born population, both legal and illegal, increased by 4.5 million since January 2021, reaching over 49.5 million in October 2023. That amounts to a record-high 15% of the U.S. population and exceeds the individual populations of 25 U.S. states. If the welfare statistics hold for this growing population, then illegal immigration will continue to exact an increasingly heavy price from the taxpaying citizenry.

The House Committee on Homeland Security noted in its Nov. 13 interim report on the "Historic Dollar Costs of DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas' Open-Border Policies" that "for every one million parolees released into the United States on Mayorkas' watch, the cost in federal welfare benefits that will be incurred could total $3 billion annually, with those costs starting to kick in January 2026."

The congressional report echoed a CIS estimate that put the yearly cost of housing known gotaways and illegal aliens who have been released into the U.S. under Biden's watch at $451 billion.

This estimate was based, in part, on a RealClearInvestigations assessment that put the yearly per-person cost imposed on New York City by migrants at $393.70 per day. Multiplied by the over 3.1 million migrants released under Biden as of mid-March, the costs came out to over $1.2 billion a day or $451.05 billion per annum.

Like Blaze News? Bypass the censors, sign up for our newsletters, and get stories like this direct to your inbox. Sign up here!