Horowitz: Data from India continues to blow up the ‘Delta’ fear narrative



Rather than proving the need to sow more panic, fear, and control over people, the story from India — the source of the "Delta" variant — continues to refute every current premise of COVID fascism.

The prevailing narrative from Fauci, Walensky, and company is that Delta is more serious than anything before, and even though vaccines are even less effective against it, its spread proves the need to vaccinate even more people. Unless we do that, we must return to the very effective lockdowns and masks. In reality, India's experience proves the opposite true; namely:

  1. Delta is largely an attenuated version, with a much lower fatality rate, that for most people is akin to a cold.
  2. Masks failed to stop the spread there.
  3. The country has come close to the herd immunity threshold with just 3% vaccinated.
  4. Most people are now getting cold-like symptoms from Delta, but to the extent countries hit by Delta suffered some deaths and serious illness, they could have been avoided not with vaccines and masks, but with early and preventive treatment like ivermectin.

In other words, our government is learning all the wrong lessons from India, and now Israel and the U.K. Let's unpack what we know occurred in India and now in some of the other countries experiencing a surge in cases of the Indian "Delta" variant.

The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) recently conducted a fourth nationwide serological test and found that 67.6% of those over 6 years old in June and July had antibodies, including 85% of health care workers. This is a sharp increase from the 24.1% level detected during the December-January study. What we can conclude definitively is that strict mask-wearing (especially among health care workers) failed to stop the spread one bit. Yet now they have achieved herd immunity and burned out the virus with just 3% vaccination (now up to 6%) with roughly one-sixth the death rate of the U.S. and the U.K. and less than one-half that of Israel.

Immediately, naysayers will suggest that somehow India is vastly undercounting the deaths because it is a shabby third-world country. However, if we are to suggest that, it would mean that so much of the data from so many other countries we use for studies must be ignored. Also, it's true that India is poor in some areas, but it is highly developed and has a very strong bureaucracy and administrative state throughout. There might be undercounting, but the notion that it can account for that wide a gap between India and the U.S./U.K. was always unlikely.

However, now that the Delta has spread to other countries like Israel and the U.K., we need not speculate who is right about India's death rate. The fact that Israel and the U.K. have so many Delta cases yet so few deaths relative to the winter spread of the original strain demonstrates that Delta is likely much weaker and India's numbers are probably close to accurate. Remember, most of India's spread, unlike in the West, occurred with Delta, long after the ancestral strain that hit the West was gone. If it really was the bloodbath some are suggesting (a tenfold undercount of deaths, in their estimation), why is the data from the U.K. showing just the opposite?

The latest data from the U.K. show that the case fatality rate for the Delta is just 0.2%, much less than the others. And we need not speculate with generalized studies. The raw data shows that since May 1, there have been approximately 1,300 deaths in the U.K. out of roughly 1.1 million confirmed cases. But those are confirmed cases. The likely infection fatality rate is much lower because now more than ever, people are avoiding testing, and the U.K. media has been reporting for weeks that the symptoms of the Delta for most people appear more like a cold.

The Guardian reports that based on data from the app-based Zoe COVID symptom study, the symptoms being reported are mainly headaches and runny nose. "People might think they've just got some sort of seasonal cold, and they still go out to parties … we think this is fueling a lot of the problem," said Tim Spector, a professor of genetic epidemiology at King's College London, who is leading the work on the reporting app.

The U.K. media are trying to panic people about spreading a cold, but in fact, they are reporting good news! This virus has attenuated for most people to the point that they can't even distinguish it from a cold, much less a flu. Thus, the fact that India achieved most of its immunity throughout the spread of the Delta variant actually lends a lot of credence to the fatality rate of one-sixth of that of the U.S. and the U.K., which experienced most of its deaths from the ancestral strain.

If you look at any chart from Scotland, which is now mainly over the curve, there is a complete decoupling of deaths from cases.

It looks like the Delta wave is rolling over in Scotland, with deaths nicely contained.The UK cannot be far behin… https://t.co/Jy0HlYrqz4

— Covid19Crusher (@Covid19Crusher) 1626813556.0

The same thing is being observed in Israel, which is slightly behind the curve. The country has had just 20 deaths so far in July, but again, 15 of them were of vaccinated individuals.

However, to the extent that there are cases, and the relatively rare serious cases, the vaccines have proven to be a bust in preventing them. The Western countries are relying on an exponentially higher vaccination rate than India with a much lower seroprevalence rate from infection. It's simply not working. According to Israel's Ministry of Health, the Pfizer vaccine efficacy against infection dropped 42% since the start of the inoculation drive in Israel, and efficacy against severe illness has dropped 60% among those vaccinated early on. Ditto for the United Kingdom.

Scottish data indicate those 60+yo who are vaxed are trending towards testing C19 positive & being hospitalized at… https://t.co/LGed7H8dXV

— Andrew Bostom, MD, MS (@andrewbostom) 1626890920.0

In fact, in Israel, the case rates track almost perfectly with the percentage of those vaccinated stratified by age range.

We have more data!It is now clearer than ever:*Pfizer vaccine has completely FAILED to prevent the spread.*Hence… https://t.co/GmLcySd5qH

— Ran Israeli (@RanIsraeli) 1626862961.0

Thus, the experience from India and the Delta variant teaches us the exact opposite of what the panic-mongers are pushing. Natural immunity, not vaccination, is king. Which explains the dichotomy between India and countries like Gibraltar. In Gibraltar, nearly every adult in the tiny country has been vaccinated, yet it has the third-highest per capita rate of infection in the world.

Gibraltar fully vaccinated every eligible citizen by April. Now 2.5 months later, they have the 3rd highest per ca… https://t.co/jEdIxG6dS6

— PLC (@Humble_Analysis) 1626538049.0


Gibraltar's government provides vax status for all recent covid cases. I aggregated the data for residents and have… https://t.co/ipmtmzmNPu

— Teddy Petrou (@TedPetrou) 1626561122.0


Widespread immunity also likely explains why the current wave of Delta infections rapidly declined (only 2% of the… https://t.co/RxcdhjTdHR

— PLC (@Humble_Analysis) 1626814594.0

The same trend appears to be playing out in Cyprus:

Cyprus currently has the most Covid cases per capita on Earth yet, before the most recent wave began, they had alre… https://t.co/GHEojcsGW2

— PLC (@Humble_Analysis) 1626385071.0

In general, there is zero correlation between vaccination rates and better outcomes, and in fact, many Latin American countries with the highest vaccination rates have recently had high infection rates, and many eastern European countries with lower vaccination rates had many fewer cases than their vaccine-obsessed western European counterparts. Here in the U.S., San Francisco, which had a low infection rate until recently, has seen an explosion in cases, despite a 70% vaccination rate.

In the last month Covid cases up 800% in San Francisco. Hospitalizations up 300%Damn all of those rural white un… https://t.co/vuaYdLth6A

— Mommar (@MisterCommodity) 1626891444.0

At the same time, as I chronicled last month in great detail, even within India, the states that used ivermectin to treat COVID experienced a much sharper and quicker drop in cases in May. Imagine if the Western world used ivermectin and many other treatment options pre-emptively and prescribed them at every testing station. That is how you flatten a curve.

The lesson is clear: The only way out of this is for most people to get it, and the best way to do that safely is to make sure early treatments with drugs like ivermectin are made available and to be used even preventively for vulnerable populations. If this is really about saving lives, rather than doubling down on all of the things that have failed and distorting data and history to comport with pseudo-science, they would try the one thing they have shunned until now – actually treating the virus before people have trouble breathing.

CDC Director Rochelle Walensky is correct when she says, "Nearly every death, especially among adults, due to Covid-19 is at this point entirely preventable." But the data and learned experience show that it's not because of a lack of vaccines, but a lack of treatment.

Biden admin to purchase 500M doses of Pfizer COVID vaccine to give to other countries: reports



President Joe Biden is set to announce plan for the U.S. government to purchase 500 million doses of Pfizer's coronavirus vaccine for the purpose of sending the vials to other countries who are in need of vaccines, according to several reports.

Biden is expected to unveil the deal during this week's G-7 summit of the world's most developed economies with the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the U.K., where the event is being held.

What are the details?

NBC News reported that according to three people familiar with his thinking, Biden will announce his plan to buy the 500 million doses "to donate to other countries struggling with a limited supply."

"Of the doses, 200 million will be donated this year and 300 million will be donated across the first half of next year," the outlet reported, adding that "the doses will be distributed through COVAX — a humanitarian program run in part by the World Health Organization that aims to distribute vaccines fairly — to 92 low-income countries, as well as the African Union."

Politico also cited three unnamed sources in its report on the plan while reporting that "the new order would nearly double the government's original agreement to buy up to 600 million Pfizer doses" and "it has so far secured 300 million for the U.S. population, but American demand has dropped off in recent weeks while calls for overseas donations have increased."

The Washington Post also claimed three people familiar with the plan told them about it, but that the White House declined to comment on Wednesday.

The newspaper reported that Biden "hinted he would be announcing his global plan as he boarded Air Force One to Britain on Wednesday" when he told reporters, "I have one, and I'll be announcing it."

While in the air on the trip to the U.K., national security adviser Jack Sullivan told the press:

"The president is focused on helping to vaccinate the world because he believes it is the right thing to do; it's what Americans do in times of need. When we have the capacity, then we have the will, and we step up and we deliver. And he said in his joint session that we were the arsenal of democracy in World War II, and we're going to be the arsenal of vaccines over the course of the next period to end this pandemic."

Anything else?

The world's wealthy nations have faced increasing pressure to distribute coronavirus vaccines to less fortunate countries.

In May, a slate of celebrities gathered for Global Citizen's "VAX LIVE" concert, where they called "on world leaders to step up for equitable distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine."

Horowitz: The censorship of ivermectin is the biggest story of COVID



Last week, Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister launched a $1 million grant to convince "hesitant" communities to get themselves vaccinated with one of the experimental shots on the market. But if people are hesitant about an experimental gene therapy that has already racked up a record number of serious adverse events on the CDC's Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), why not spend the money persuading people to get ivermectin, a safe and effective early and prophylactic COVID treatment that has been approved by the FDA and the WHO for other uses for years?

In a recent video clip from one of his forums, Pallister was asked by a caller about another kind of hesitancy – not hesitancy to vaccinate, but "hesitancy to talk about ivermectin" and other early treatments. The caller cited the evidence about this drug, which "does no harm" and causes no risk to try it. The female caller completed her thought by asking him, "Are we doing anything with that, and if not, why not?"

What does a Canadian Premier look like when completely controlled by the CCP and Big Pharma? @BrianPallister 1v3rme… https://t.co/LefgXGqwXH

— Mr. & Mrs. Fred Fredderson (@FredFredderson1) 1622044181.0

As if to illustrate the caller's point, Pallister responded to her question about hesitancy to talk about ivermectin by ... refusing to talk about ivermectin! Like a programmed robot, Pallister blinked his eyes during her question, then proceeded to answer by discussing more about the vaccine! "We're pursuing domestic research that we hope can lead to better vaccine availability in the future, perhaps not during this wave, but when we need boosters in coming years," answered the Manitoban premier. He then quickly finished the discussion, put on his mask (even though he is vaccinated), and concluded the session.

This video embodies the criminal behavior of the political class in censoring lifesaving, cheap treatments like ivermectin. Even in vaccine-crazed Israel, they found in a small study of 30 patients that all of them recovered with the use of ivermectin, 29 of them within 3-5 days. In India, which was a hot spot until recently, much of the country began using ivermectin. Delhi saw a 99% decline in cases after beginning universal use of ivermectin. While cases were going down everywhere after reaching some level of immunity, a 99% reduction from April 24 to June 7 is remarkable and much steeper than anywhere else in the world following a big wave.

A similar dynamic played out in the state of Uttar Pradesh, which is now 98% off its peak of COVID cases in late April. India's overall reduction since its peak five weeks ago was 76%, more in line with what we saw in the U.S. and Europe, once the peak wave passed and a modicum of herd immunity kicked in.

India is carpet-bombing Covid with ivermectin, with a production now increased to 77 million pills/month.Brazil i… https://t.co/W18nNghX85

— Covid19Crusher (@Covid19Crusher) 1622793757.0

Despite Fauci warning about the Indian "Delta" variant being more deadly and continuing to push vaccines as the only solution, in reality, India's death rate from COVID — even after achieving what appears to be herd immunity — is just one-seventh of our COVID death rate and that of other European countries! India's death rate is even lower than Israel's and fairly close to that of Finland, which largely escaped the worst of the virus so far.

And no, the secret sauce is not the vaccine, because fewer than 15% of Indians have received at least one dose, while over 50% of Americans and 60% of British citizens have already had one shot.

India's Covid cases continue going down, and meet the UK's, coming up.India has extremely low coverage of vaccine… https://t.co/ngyluCxGxl

— Gareth Hawker (@GarethHawker) 1623138530.0

The secret sauce is natural immunity, which is much stronger than the vaccine, along with arming people with early, cheap treatments to obtain that natural immunity as risk-free as possible.

In a remarkable contrast from the legal establishment in the U.S., the Indian Bar Association served Dr. Soumya Swaminathan, an Indian pediatrician who is the chief scientist at the World Health Organization (WHO), with a legal notice for spreading disinformation about ivermectin. Dr. Swaminathan recently tweeted that the WHO advises against use of ivermectin outside clinical trials:

Latest update to @WHO #COVID19 treatment guidelines on ivermectin. Only to be used in clinical trials, evidence for… https://t.co/uGRO5L1djY

— Soumya Swaminathan (@doctorsoumya) 1617224508.0

Some Indian states have taken this guidance to heart. In the southern state of Tamil Nadu, the newly elected governor, M.K. Stalin, excluded ivermectin from the treatment protocol and opted instead for the expensive and ineffective remdesivir. The result? Just the opposite of Delhi. The virus continued to peak for an extra month and only recently began to recede at a much slower rate.

The state of Goa, which is also in the south, began offering ivermectin to all adults on May 11. The 87% drop in four weeks is remarkable.

Ditto for Karnataka, another southern state neighboring Tamil Nadu, that sanctioned the use of ivermectin.

In Uttarakhand, another ivermectin state in the north, cases dropped by 95% since the peak.

The point is that, while herd immunity seems to be the major factor, the states that used ivermectin seemed to experience an earlier peak and a steeper decline in cases than those that shunned ivermectin. The troubling question is what these curves would have looked like had the WHO recommended ivermectin before the virus began to spread and if it had used at the first sign of trouble with the same religious fervor as vaccines, remdesivir, and masks. We will never know, but we can surmise that the curves would have been milder based on the results we are seeing from those countries that used it once they were in a world of trouble.

Mexico experienced a sharp increase in cases during the winter, but enjoyed much success in the regions that used ivermectin. Last month, Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum held a press conference where she claimed a study showed ivermectin decreased the likelihood of hospitalization in her large metropolis by between 52% and 76%.

The question everyone needs to answer is this: With all of the adverse reporting from the experimental vaccines, why do the global authorities continue to push them like candy without further study, when they refuse to greenlight ivermectin, with 29 randomized controlled trials vouching for its efficacy with no side effects and 4 billion doses dispensed over decades?

Following the money trail will be very instructive in answering this question. Why would GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance, pay for Google AdWords to warn against ivermectin? Why are Big Pharma and Big Government censoring EVERY alternative treatment, including the ironclad research behind preemptively bulking up one's vitamin D, vitamin C, and zinc levels? Those questions provide the answer to the censorship of ivermectin. According to GAVI's website, the "Gates Foundation pledged US$ 750 million to set up Gavi in 1999" and "the Foundation is a key Gavi partner in vaccine market shaping."

Well, boxing out all alternative treatments is one way to engage in "vaccine market shaping." There's nothing quite like a market with just one show in town.

Indeed, the Wuhan lab is not the biggest story of COVID. It's the global genocide that is taking place at the hands of those who claim to care most about COVID, yet ensure that any effective treatment is not made available to the public.

Horowitz: Coronavirus casualties from Sturgis biker rally super-spreader event don’t make news because they didn’t happen



Over 460,000 motorcyclists descended upon the Black Hills of South Dakota for the annual Sturgis motorcycle rally, the largest event in the entire country this year – without masks or sacred social distancing protocols. Yet no epidemic of coronavirus was ignited by this mother of all mass gatherings, contrary to media predictions.

With nearly every state still partially shut down, South Dakota, like Sweden, never had a shutdown or a mask mandate. Then, in the second week of August, the state hosted the largest, most raucous event in the country. Initially, the media laid the groundwork to spread pandemic panic porn about the impending spread of the virus. Now you don't hear much about it. Why not? Because there is no epidemic to speak of.

Meanwhile, countries with the strictest lockdowns and mask mandates, like Peru and the Philippines, have more deaths than any other country. The enduring lesson? Lockdowns and mask mandates play absolutely no role in mitigating a virus that seems to spread where it spreads, when it spreads, and to whom it spreads based on its own patterns.

South Dakota is our version of Sweden. Governor Kristi Noem refused to implement lockdowns or mask mandates. The state ranks #40 in coronavirus deaths per capita and has the best economy in the country to show for it.

The media and public health officials predicted the state would blow its streak by allowing a large national gathering to take place from August 7 to August 16. "Come mid-August to late August, early September, Sturgis will have one hell of an imprint on this country," warned Michael Osterholm, head of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the neighboring University of Minnesota. The Sioux Nation tribal government even employed efforts to block bikers from their lands.

In fact, so strong was the fear of spread that halfway around the country, New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu was so spooked by images of Sturgis that he mandated mask-wearing on gatherings of more than 100 people in the "Live Free or Die" state, which previously had no mask mandate of any sort.

So where is the monumental imprint on the country? There are zero deaths reported, and I have only seen one hospitalization alleged to be associated with Sturgis attendance. The epidemic generated by the rally was so powerful that they evidently had to conduct mass testing to discover a "CASEdemic" of over 100 casesand all those tested in one city were asymptomatic at the time of testing.

Let's put that in perspective: According to the COVID Tracking Project, there were 464,000 positive cases confirmed nationwide from August 7 to August 17. That is roughly 1,400 cases per million people. Compare that to just over 200 cases per million among Sturgis attendees, at least thus far, and we can see that the massive nationwide imprint predicted is imperceptible, even if we focus on testing of asymptomatic individuals.

In other words, South Dakota likely achieved a meaningful degree of herd immunity, just like Sweden, and has done a good job shielding sicker people. It has been reported that attendance at Sturgis dropped among the senior population, which was smart, and likely explains the almost nonexistent rate of hospitalizations caused by attendance.

But more broadly, it demonstrates the reality that masks and lockdowns simply make no difference in the trajectory and timing of the epidemic. Had Gov. Kristi Noem taken the advice of the doomsayers, she would have tanked her state's economy. Instead, her state is riding high. Two weeks ago, Governor Noem politely rejected federal assistance with unemployment, noting that her state had the lowest unemployment rate and had already recovered 80% of the lost jobs. "We're the only state in the nation that didn't have extended unemployment benefits kick in because our insured unemployment rate has been the lowest in the nation," she said.

If Sturgis in South Dakota broke every rule of the COVID-19 cult with success, then Peru is the polar opposite. The country used heavy-handed law enforcement to force one of the longest and most draconian shutdowns. In mid-March, President Martín Vizcarra ordered all cars off the road and an 8 p.m. curfew, and residents were only allowed to leave their homes even during the day for food or medical care. Mask-wearing was 100% mandated everywhere. This was imposed for 15 weeks. In other words, everything the media and leftist politicians have asked for.

The result? Peru has now surpassed Belgium as the country with the most deaths per capita in the world. At 871 COVID-19 deaths per 1 million people, Peru has 4.6 times the number of deaths per capita of South Dakota, which had no lockdown or mask mandate.

The dichotomy between South Dakota, especially after the Sturgis event, and Peru is one of many data points demonstrating that human non-clinical intervention efforts simply do not stop a respiratory virus from spreading. We are seeing this in the Philippines, Hawaii, Japan, and many other places with strict lockdowns. The virus spreads where it spreads. The only difference is that the Pacific Rim countries appear to be largely immune to the serious symptoms, while countries like Peru appear to have little cross-immunity. But that has nothing to do with lockdown.

At this rate, it's not just motorcyclists who will descend upon South Dakota. We might all want to move there to fulfill the dream of our Founding Fathers as the last beacon for freedom and prosperity.