The Media Won’t Tell You Felony Violent Crime Is Plunging Under Trump
The reasons behind these record crime reductions aren't difficult to understand.The newest crime report from the DOJ's Bureau of Justice Statistics shows that non-fatal crime has plummeted during the first year of the second Trump administration.
The preliminary estimates from the National Crime Victimization Survey — which collects information from victims of non-fatal crimes, not data from police reports — show a significant decrease in violent crime, property victimization, burglary or trespassing, theft of motor vehicles, and other household theft in 2025.
'This success reinforces our commitment to ensuring every American can live, work, and raise a family without fear.'
The survey said non-fatal violent crime, which excludes simple assault, fell by 25%, from 9.9 out of 1,000 in 2024 to 7.4 out of 1,000 in 2025. This includes rape, sexual assault, robbery, and aggravated assault.
Aggravated assault also dropped by 31% over the same period, from 4.5 per 1,000 people to 3.1 per 1,000 people, according to a Justice Department press release on Monday.
"This report is proof that President Trump’s ‘Make America Safe Again’ agenda is working," said Associate Attorney General Stanley Woodward in a press release statement.
“Under President Trump and Attorney General Blanche, the safety of law-abiding Americans will always come first. This success reinforces our commitment to ensuring every American can live, work, and raise a family without fear.”
Property victimization dropped by 19%, burglary or trespassing rates are down by 25%, motor vehicle theft is down 30%, and other kinds of household theft are down by 19%.
"Each year, BJS collects information from a nationally representative sample of about 240,000 persons, aged 12 or older, in about 150,000 U.S. households on the frequency, characteristics, and consequences of non-fatal criminal victimization in the United States," the DOJ explained.
The DOJ said the drop in crime rates was the greatest since the survey began in 1973.
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Democrats have resisted some of the president's orders on criminal enforcement by accusing him of employing authoritarian measures in order to intimidate his political opponents.
Others like Washington, D.C., Mayor Muriel Bowser, a Democrat, have admitted that the president sending federal law enforcement has helped stamp out crime.
Some estimates put the economic cost of crime to be between $4.71 and $5.76 trillion on an annual basis.
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When Delano Squires was growing up, he was surrounded by young black men who were not only getting into trouble, but getting into gangs and going to jail — while he kept his hands clean.
“At a certain point in my teenage years, I said, ‘Well, it’s because of the families we were raised in. All our parents were married, ... we were going to the same church, same values across households, a community of men who were raising us and keeping us in line. And I realized that family structure was the key,” Squires tells BlazeTV host Jason Whitlock on “Jason Whitlock Harmony.”
“So from there, just one of those things that I’ve always thought about, the importance of family, the importance of marriage, importance of my dad in my day-to-day life, his everyday presence. And at a certain point, I wanted to write about it,” he explains.
And Squires did write about it in his new book, “The Vanishing Black Family,” where he argues that the breakdown of the black family is to blame for lack of education and high crime rates.
“Men and women are continuing to have children, particularly in our community, where 70% of kids are born out of wedlock,” Squires tells Whitlock.
“The other thing that we’ve seen over the course of the last 60 years is that as poverty has decreased in the black community, the non-marital birth rate has increased,” he continues, using NBA players as an example.
“In a league that was 70-plus percent black, you had guys who were fathering four, five, six, seven kids out of wedlock, even though they were making millions of dollars a year,” he explains, noting that economics appear to have very little to do with children being born out of wedlock.
“I think economics is a part of it, but the real reason is because marriage is no longer seen as valuable, desirable, accessible, or indispensable for the purpose of forming a family. And the reason for that goes back much further than current economic trends,” he tells Whitlock.
Whitlock has his own theory as to why the black family has broken down.
“If we had more God, we could have a successful marriage, and we could raise up better kids. That’s the missing ingredient,” Whitlock says.
“The cause of the vanishing black family is because we’re not looking for God to be our provider. We’re looking for money to be our provider. And so, whatever makes us the most money is going to fix the most problems,” he continues.
“And to me it’s, you know, we’ve just lost focus on who our real provider is. It’s not man-made money. It’s God,” he adds.
To enjoy more fearless conversations at the crossroads of culture, faith, sports, and comedy with Jason Whitlock, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.
February is Black History Month, and BlazeTV host John Doyle has been dedicating much of “The John Doyle Show” to, in his words, “debunking … mainstream narratives about black history,” including Rosa Parks' famous bus protest, the slave trade, and potential controversies surrounding Thomas Jefferson’s dealings with slave women.
In the latest episode, he dove into a related subject President Trump was recently criticized by the media and several politicians for addressing: the reality of crime in America.
In recent weeks, Trump has repeatedly made claims that 2% of the population is responsible for 90% of the crime rate, using this statistic as justification for his administration’s immigration enforcement, including policies like expanding ICE actions and National Guard deployments in certain cities.
While some media figures and politicians have accused him of targeting marginalized groups with misleading claims, Doyle says Trump is “absolutely right” to point out the reality of crime in America, even if his numbers aren’t exact.
“There are criminals from every racial background. That is obviously true. … It's just the reality of our fallen nature,” he says, “but while we all may share that fallen nature, it is also true that some groups are committing crime at higher rates than others, and that does affect the quality of life — the social fabric of the the society in which we all live.”
By claiming that 2% of the population is responsible for 90% of the crime, Trump is “drawing attention to the reality of repeat offenders, and the truth is that a lot of crime in America is done by, yes, a relatively small group of people, but also a relatively small group of people who have just been like running that for their entire lives,” Doyle explains, “and I'm not referring to like black people overall. Talking about a much smaller subset of the population, which, admittedly, yes, is also overwhelmingly black.”
If we further break down Trump’s numbers or the more commonly cited 13/50 statistic — which posits that black people make up 13% of the population but commit 50% of the crime — we arrive at the “glaring problem,” says Doyle: “Most of the black people that are going around murdering are men,” specifically younger men.
But homicide is just the tip of the iceberg.
“According to the same FBI data, blacks are committing like 27% of all rapes, 53% of all robberies, 33% of all aggravated assaults, like 30% of burglaries, 42% of weapons charges, 42% of prostitution charges. In fact, if you actually account for their population size, there is not a single crime category in which they are not over-represented,” says Doyle, referring to FBI arrest statistics. The state of New York has reported that arrest and conviction data in the state often results in slightly higher conviction rates for black defendants.
Part of the problem, he says, is the “Soros-installed, libtard-installed DAs, prosecutors, judges” whose soft-on-crime policies permit repeat offenders to freely roam the streets.
“We should not have to live this way. Well-to-do people should not be forced to deal with insane violent freaks as they're going about their day-to-day,” says Doyle, praising the Trump administration’s crime-fighting agenda as “spectacular.”
“But that is what leftism is at the end of the day, right? You are reorienting society to accommodate the worst of the worst.”
To hear more, check out the full episode above.
To enjoy more of the truth about America and join the fight to restore a country that has been betrayed by its own leaders, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.
A disturbing video of the murder of a 23-year-old Ukrainian refugee, Iryna Zarutska, has been making the rounds on social media — leaving citizens frustrated that crime is so out of control in America.
However, the mainstream media doesn’t view the attack the same way.
“Let me tell you the angle that the mainstream media took. It wasn’t, ‘Horrible criminal who should have been behind bars murders innocent woman in Charlotte, North Carolina.’ It wasn’t that,” BlazeTV host Sara Gonzales says.
Rather, publications like Axios have chosen to write headlines like, “Stabbing video fuels MAGA’s crime message.”
“Yep, it’s those pesky MAGA Republicans once again. Those MAGA influencers. It might as well have said, ‘MAGA pounces on stabbing video to fuel their crime message.’ Like, make this make sense. So, in the article, the problem is not that we have crazy psycho murderers roaming the streets,” Gonzales says.
“The problem is just MAGA influencers are drawing repeated attention to elevate the issue of urban crime and accuse mainstream media of uncovering shocking cases,” she continues, noting that it gets worse.
“You only thought that that was the bottom. I haven’t hit the bottom yet. There is no bottom typically when it comes to these people, these despicable mainstream media hacks. ... It’s not just that they say that MAGA is elevating the issue of urban crime. It’s not that urban crime is elevating itself because it’s happening too frequently. That’s not it,” she explains.
“The problem is security cameras,” she says, shocked.
The Axios article reads, “The rising number of surveillance cameras in public spaces, including on Charlotte’s light rail, has become a big accelerant in these cases.”
“The video is easily shared or leaked, and can instantly pollinate across social media — a visual counterpoint to statistics showing crime decreases,” a bullet under the article’s previous point reads.
“So, the problem really is that surveillance cameras exist, and we shouldn’t have surveillance cameras because then ... if a tree falls in the woods and nobody hears it, does it actually happen?” Gonzales mocks.
“Or is the problem you for deciding that we should have things like law and order in this country? Is the problem you for expecting too much, average citizen, who doesn’t like all of this crime happening around them?” she continues. “Maybe the problem is you. Certainly not the murderer, according to Axios.”
To enjoy more of Sara's no-holds-barred take to news and culture, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.
A few days ago, a high school sophomore in Frisco, Texas, was stabbed while walking his dog. Thankfully the wound wasn’t fatal, and doctors expect him to recover quickly. Unfortunately, the assailant ran away and remains at large.
On its own, this incident might seem like a minor local crime. But the context makes it impossible to dismiss. If the story sounds familiar, that’s because another Frisco high schooler, Austin Metcalf, was stabbed to death just months ago by fellow student Karmelo Anthony, an attack that ignited a national scandal.
The Austin Metcalf stabbing should have been a wake-up call. The latest stabbing is another warning.
Now it’s happened again. And once again, the details being withheld tell us almost as much as the details that make print. Local news outlets have carefully avoided naming or describing the attacker.
In today’s media environment, that omission most likely means the suspect is a young black man. This fits the larger pattern: When a violent criminal is white, his race leads every headline. When he belongs to a “protected” group, reporters bury the fact or omit it entirely.
Progressives claim this kind of censorship promotes civic harmony. In reality, it deepens mistrust and resentment. Citizens notice the double standard. They conclude that certain groups face no real accountability, while others are scrutinized and vilified. What grows out of that perception isn’t harmony — it’s more division, more resentment, and more dysfunction.
When ordinary people can’t get the facts, they’re left chasing phantoms — scanning middle schools for “radicalized” white kids because that’s what the media tells them to fear. Meanwhile, the far more common culprits keep wreaking havoc with little pushback.
Suburbs like Frisco are uniquely vulnerable. For most of its history, Frisco was insulated from big-city crime. That isolation allowed residents to cultivate what writer Rob Henderson calls “luxury beliefs” — progressive slogans and ideals that sound noble when crime feels remote, but collapse the moment violence arrives on your own street.
Confronted with the reality of a young black male’s role in a stabbing at the park or a brawl in the school hallway, many residents simply prefer to deny or ignore the facts of the matter. They downplay what happened or cover it up so they can keep pretending their suburb remains as safe as it always was.
The problem is that denial doesn’t work. It seeps into institutions. Instead of suspending, expelling, or even jailing dangerous offenders, school districts now embrace “restorative justice.” That means therapy sessions, dialogue circles, and endless second chances. Predictably, violent students stay in class, disrupt learning, and in the worst cases attack their peers.
This weak approach produces young men who never face consequences. They grow up with low expectations, no skills, no self-control, and plenty of resentment. Eventually they end up roaming the streets, harassing strangers, and preying on the weak. Ordinary families, once told that all this would promote “civic harmony,” now cross the street or lock their doors when they see these young men coming.
What’s happening in Frisco is happening across Texas. Suburbs once imagined as quiet havens have become crowded, diverse cities in their own right. Migration from blue states, foreign immigration, subsidized housing, and zoning changes have accelerated the transformation.
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That doesn’t have to be a bad thing — but only if leaders face the new reality. Too many still cling to the illusion that Frisco is a charming, homogeneous refuge for upper-middle-class families. That era is gone. Frisco today has heavy traffic, a diverse population, and rising crime. Pretending otherwise is not an option.
If Frisco wants to survive and thrive, it needs leaders willing to tell the truth. That means dropping the “luxury beliefs” and embracing real accountability. It means removing violent kids from classrooms, enforcing laws against vagrancy and harassment, and raising the bar for behavior in public spaces.
Yes, some kids will end up in the so-called school-to-prison pipeline. Yes, some groups will show up in crime statistics more than others. But equal enforcement of the law is the only fair system. Lowering standards to avoid “disproportionality” is not compassion — it’s sabotage.
If the city refuses to act, it will suffer the same fate as America’s hollowed-out urban cores: neighbors who no longer trust one another, ethnic groups retreating into separate enclaves, and public spaces dominated by thugs who drive law-abiding families away. Once that spiral begins, families who can afford to leave will move — to Arkansas, Oklahoma, or anywhere else they can find safety and space.
Frisco still has time. It remains prosperous, attractive, and full of promise. But that won’t last if residents continue looking the other way. The Austin Metcalf stabbing should have been a wake-up call. The latest stabbing is another warning.
The longer this community clings to denial, the worse the problem will grow — and the harder it will be to fix.
Mexico. Washington, D.C. Minneapolis. Three places, one message: what our enemies believe and how we must respond if we don’t want to become their chattel.
Start with Mexico. President Claudia Sheinbaum openly prefers her own citizens — the so-called salt-of-the-earth workers — to remain north of the Rio Grande rather than return home. Mexico is so badly broken that demanding the right to export its people into a country that increasingly resents the burden has become a viable political position.
The angry young men Trump just won over demand accountability. Without it, no economic boom, no culture war victory, no campaign slogan will hold them.
Now move to Washington, D.C. How broken do you have to be to protest against safer streets? President Donald Trump has vowed to bring order to the nation’s capital, yet Democrats bristle at the one federal action they’ve apparently never wanted to seize for themselves. For decades they told us D.C. deserved statehood. Now that Trump is taking responsibility for law and order, suddenly they retreat.
The irony runs deeper. Mexico refuses to take back its “working class,” while Democrats refuse to federalize D.C. policing. The one time they might welcome federal control, they balk — because Trump is the guy enforcing it.
D.C. Police Chief Pamela Smith even admitted she doesn’t understand what “chain of command” means. This is the same woman who served as the department’s chief equity officer before becoming chief. If she can’t figure out who’s in charge, how can anyone else? This is what happens when the left prizes ideology over competence. Throw away your Bibles and your Constitution, kids — we’re going for a ride!
Next stop: Minneapolis. Mayoral candidate Omar Fateh campaigns openly for a Marxist revolution, joining voices like New York’s Zohran Mamdani. They no longer bother to hide their intent. They say the quiet part loud: They want a world where you live under chains.
A decade ago, such a platform would have been a political death wish. Suggesting Democrats were headed down that road would have branded you a “conspiracy theorist.” Today, Democrats think they can win elections on it.
So here’s the pattern: Mexico won’t take back its own “industrious” citizens. Washington, D.C., Democrats prefer their largely black constituency to live under siege by criminals rather than accept Trump’s help. And in Minneapolis, a leading candidate runs on a platform of putting Somalia first.
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We tell ourselves we can laugh this off as fringe madness — as long as it’s not in our back yard. But that’s denial. The threat is real, and it’s aimed at our children, if we last that long. This is invasion by increments: more foreigners, more crime, more leaders pretending they don’t know what a chain of command is. Like drums in the deep, the orcs are coming.
What should we do? Whether foreign enemies or domestic ones, whether illegal aliens or corrupt bureaucrats, the answer is the same.
Arrests.
The angry young men Trump just won over demand accountability. Without it, no economic boom, no culture war victory, no campaign slogan will hold them. Fail here and Republicans risk losing the House, neutering Trump’s presidency, and unleashing the very invasion already being planned.
Those who shrug at the chain of command will happily discard the Declaration of Independence next. They will crush the laws of nature and nature’s God. They will trample the Creator’s endowments under a mob now warming up and waiting in the wings.
There must be consequences. There must be arrests.
President Trump announced Monday that he will federalize control of law enforcement in Washington, D.C. The move follows his threat to act after a brutal attack on a DOGE staffer who tried to defend a woman during a carjacking. National Guard troops will supplement D.C. Metro Police in an effort to quell violent crime. Americans are tired of excuses for why their cities feel dirty and unsafe when we already know how to fix them. Crime is a policy choice, and Trump has taken decisive action with a promise to restore law and order to the nation’s capital.
The United States is the most powerful nation on earth, and Washington is its imperial capital. History shows the state of the capital often mirrors the health of the civilization. The comparison is not flattering. In Japan or Singapore, a woman can walk alone at night without fear. In Washington, ordinary people are routinely harassed, assaulted, and robbed. Everyone knows why this disparity exists and how to solve it, but political correctness has made the truth unspeakable.
To succeed, Trump must ignore the inevitable accusations of racism and authoritarianism and focus on results.
Ideally, crime declines when a virtuous population maintains strong cultural norms and self-control. When virtue isn’t enough, the state must deliver swift and certain justice. If laws go unenforced, honest people quickly learn they are fools for obeying them, while marginal characters drift toward crime. Arrests must be followed by real penalties. As Rudy Giuliani proved in New York with broken-windows policing, consistent enforcement of even minor laws dismantles a culture of permissibility and encourages respect for the rules.
If we know regular enforcement and strong penalties work, why do Democrats choose the opposite in the cities they run?
Their answer always returns to racism. Crime data shows black Americans commit a disproportionate share of crime. Enforcing the law honestly will result in more black arrests and incarcerations. Neither Democrats nor most Republicans will discuss this fact or ask the black community to confront it. Instead, they declare the system racist by design.
Once the system is branded racist, “criminal justice reform” becomes the only solution. Because the underlying causes go unaddressed, disparities persist. To make the system look less racist, enforcement is scaled back. Heather Mac Donald calls this the “Ferguson effect”: Police who fear becoming national pariahs simply stop policing black neighborhoods. Law enforcement retreats from the areas where crime is highest. Officers are told to overlook minor crimes to lower minority arrest rates. Prosecutors cut deals, and early release programs proliferate to improve incarceration statistics. This is exactly the formula for more crime and less safety.
As a former crime reporter, I’ve had candid conversations with officers about this. Police know where most crime happens and who commits it, but politics make addressing it a nightmare. Officers say they sometimes ignore domestic violence or burglary calls in certain neighborhoods. They want to go home to their families, not become nationally infamous for answering the “wrong” call. The number of incarcerated black Americans may fall, but deaths from traffic accidents to homicides rise. Policies enacted “for” the black community make life more dangerous for them — and for everyone else.
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When asked about the chain of command under Trump’s initiative, D.C. Police Chief Pamela Smith, a black woman, replied, “What does that mean?” Not reassuring. It suggests that in many cities, police chiefs are chosen less for competence than for their DEI value to activists. If the officials charged with maintaining public order under the dictates of gay race communism cannot grasp basic law enforcement concepts, they will fail.
Trump has taken on a complicated challenge. Restoring order may be straightforward in theory, but the politics are treacherous. To succeed, he must ignore the inevitable accusations of racism and authoritarianism and focus on results. In an era when most politicians flee responsibility, Trump is embracing it. If he succeeds, he will restore safety and dignity to the capital and create a model that could shame other cities into action.
Some compare Trump’s move to Nayib Bukele’s crackdown in El Salvador. The most important lesson from that comparison is that success speaks for itself. If Trump’s takeover produces a radically safer capital, Americans will demand the same in their own cities.
After building a reputation for cutting federal jobs in Washington, D.C., the Department of Government Efficiency is now tied to an expansion of federal authority.
President Trump announced Monday he would take over Washington’s Metropolitan Police Department and deploy the National Guard — an unprecedented move that came less than a week after photos of a shirtless, bloodied 19-year-old former DOGE employee went viral. The president declared August 11 “Liberation Day” and vowed to end violent crime and homeless encampments in the nation’s capital.
Our nation’s capital should project security and order to the nation and the world. It must be made safe again.
Trump’s detractors immediately pointed out that violent crime, including shootings and homicides, has been falling in the district. They’re right — on paper. Violent crime is down 26% this year, according to the city’s own numbers. But those figures are under scrutiny after accusations that officials manipulated the data.
Homicides, which are harder to fudge, are down 12%: 99 killings through August 11 compared to 112 during the same period in 2024.
Numbers alone, however, can’t capture the lived reality. Having spent the last year of my 15-year career in D.C. at the city’s Office of Gun Violence Prevention, I spoke with residents desperate for change. One man told me he and his pregnant wife dove to the floor when a bullet smashed through their window. Another woman worked with neighbors to demand more police patrols. Their frustrations highlight the fact that crime isn’t just a local issue but a hyperlocal one.
One activist I met has kept a memorial wall for homicide victims in his apartment since the 1990s. Some of the kids he mentored, he said, cherished the photos and videos because they were the only images they had of their fathers. In D.C., more than 60% of murders happen in just two of the city’s eight wards — far from tourist landmarks and high-end retail stores. Last August, a Democrat council member from one of those neighborhoods called for the National Guard himself after a wave of shootings.
Yet, those communities — overwhelmingly poor and black — rarely drive the political conversation about crime. Conservatives, like progressives, focus on the violence and vagrancy near their offices, homes, and favorite restaurants. That’s not a criticism; it’s human nature.
Everyone wants to feel safe where they live, work, and visit. But people from places where one murder makes front-page news can’t easily grasp how easy it is to grow numb to constant violence and disorder.
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The left has its own contradictions. Leftists had no problem with the FBI combing through a NASCAR garage when they thought driver Bubba Wallace had been the target of a hate crime. More than 90% of D.C.’s homicide victims are black, yet racial inequality in violent crime barely registers among self-described antiracists.
Likewise, in 2021, commentator Roland Martin demanded a federal crackdown on “white domestic terrorism.” But he didn’t explain how many murder victims in D.C., Baltimore, St. Louis, Memphis, Philadelphia, Atlanta, New Orleans, or Chicago were killed by skinheads or neo-Nazis.
Whether the federal takeover will reduce crime remains to be seen. Conservatives frustrated by the government’s inability to produce the Epstein files might be overestimating how quickly crime can be cleaned up. Real change will require coordination across every level of government.
Still, my hope is simple: that whatever is done in D.C. will make it safer for residents, workers, and visitors alike. Our capital should project security and order to the nation and the world. It must be made safe again.