The GOP Establishment Is A Greater Threat To Trump’s Agenda Than Democrats
The defeat of Matt Gaetz’s nomination for attorney general shows that this time, Trump really does have to drain the swamp.
President-elect Donald Trump is already making good on his promise to "Make America Healthy Again" — starting with appointing RFK Jr. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services.
And conservatives everywhere couldn’t be happier.
“The gig is up,” Kevin Roberts, author and president of the Heritage Foundation and Heritage Action tells Jill Savage and Matthew Peterson of “Blaze News Tonight.”
“The K Street-dominated, ridiculous policy that inverts the way America should work is coming to an end. It inverts it in this way, it prioritizes the interest of Washington and New York elites ahead of ordinary Americans.”
“If Trump and Vance’s victory means anything, it means that we’re restoring what this country is supposed to be about, which is that this is a place where ordinary Americans, regardless of where you’re from, where your people came from, run this country,” he adds.
“That’s why it’s a beautiful time to be alive,” Peterson agrees.
While Trump’s appointments are a great sign of things to come, Roberts says this is only the first phase.
“The second phase, in a lot of ways, it’s more important than Washington,” he says, explaining that we have to “revitalize federalism.”
“If in fact we want to devolve power from Washington back to the states, we have to make Washington a lot less important in our lives, and one of the ways we do that is to make sure that states have appropriate power and authority in a complimentary way with Washington,” he says.
But how do American citizens contribute to this change?
“The single, most important thing individuals can do at home is to pay attention to their families, to the relationships they have, and to be present in meetings of their county commission, of their county executive, of their school boards. In other words, federal politics, national politics, as important as they’ve been to us this year, are the least important when compared to what we do in our daily lives,” he says.
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Draining the swamp requires hard work. You can’t do it casually or haphazardly. The bureaucracy has spent more than 125 years building the administrative state, and it won’t go quietly.
During President Trump’s first term, we learned that bureaucrats holding power have largely insulated themselves from the electorate and elected officials. Long-term structural change will need legislative reform, starting with the Administrative Procedure Act, the key law governing the relationship between Congress, agencies, and the courts.
A regulation can only change the rational thinking of those who know and understand it. Yet we are all subject to countless regulations we neither know nor understand.
Executive action will only have a lasting impact if it’s taken consistently and coherently. Railing for a return to the pre-progressive era of William McKinley serves no purpose. Modern life is complex and interconnected. The trust and sense of community that once stabilized interactions between neighbors are inadequate in today’s world of global supply chains, faceless corporations, and weakened communities. While the administrative state can be reduced, it can’t be eliminated.
Reform must start with a simple, clear, and explainable theory of regulation, then adjust the massive regulatory code accordingly. Fortunately, such a theory exists, and leading bureaucrats have already adopted it. Recent high-profile actions by bureaucrats also provide clues for reform. The key is to use these insights strategically.
Barack Obama’s regulatory czar, University of Chicago law professor Cass Sunstein, popularized the essential theory: Regulations “nudge” people toward making socially desirable decisions. Merrick Garland’s Justice Department and several big-city district attorneys have shown the key reform tool: enforcement discretion. When used effectively, this combination can achieve more swamp draining in one presidential term than has occurred since the New Deal.
Start with the theory of regulation — or, more broadly, of law. The basic premise, drawn from economics, is that people generally make rational decisions. In other words, when facing multiple options, I will choose the one I believe provides the greatest benefit to me. But if society decides that my self-serving choice imposes unacceptable costs on others, a regulation can change my decision-making by making that option more expensive, perhaps through criminal penalties or civil fines. Regulatory subsidies favoring “more socially desirable” options can have the same effect.
Take, for example, a manufacturing company choosing between two industrial processes: Process A costs $80 per unit but adds $40 in pollution costs. Process B costs $100 per unit with no pollution. Without regulation, a rational company would choose process A and leave taxpayers to pay for cleanup. A regulation that forces the company to clean up its own pollution changes this calculation. The company would likely spend the extra $20 for process B, save taxpayers from footing the bill, and generate an overall societal saving of $20. This is an example of an environmental regulation worth preserving.
During the Obama years, Sunstein and his fellow progressives used this theory to encourage progressive behavior. We can improve on this approach by reversing the script. Instead of starting with the behavior we want to promote, real reform must begin from the decision-maker’s perspective.
A regulation can only change the rational thinking of those who know and understand it. Yet we are all subject to countless regulations we neither know nor understand.
One of the great tragedies of modern life is that we face so many rules, on so many topics, that we have no idea what’s expected of us. Who among us could withstand the scrutiny of a special prosecutor? If the government randomly subjected Americans to such investigations, nearly anyone could be incarcerated or ruined. Besides the obvious violation of civil liberties, this situation points to a larger regulatory failure. If a successful regulation redirects behavior toward socially beneficial actions, then any unknown or poorly understood regulation fails by default.
Enforcement discretion can have a similar effect. When a district attorney announces that she won’t prosecute shoplifting, for example, it effectively nullifies theft laws. Those of us with a basic moral code may still pay for the items we take because it’s the right thing to do. However, those with a weaker moral compass may revise their thinking and conclude that simply taking what they want best serves their (at least short-term) interests.
Draining the swamp requires aligning enforcement discretion with the theory of regulation: Only enforce regulations that people know and understand. How can an agency determine which of its regulations are known and understood? That’s where executive action comes in. An executive order can direct agencies to explain their regulations before enforcing them.
Consider an announcement and order along the following lines:
The purpose of regulation is to encourage behavior that benefits local communities and the nation. But many Americans, both individuals and corporations, don’t know which laws apply to them or how the law expects them to behave. These laws can’t promote the behavior they claim to encourage; instead, they act as “gotchas” that allow enforcement agencies to punish innocent Americans who didn’t know they were doing anything wrong.
We are giving every agency 90 days to review everything within its enforcement jurisdiction. For each regulation, the agency must publish a simple statement explaining whom the regulation affects and the behavior it aims to deter or promote.
These new explanations are not legal statements. They describe enforcement discretion. Moving forward, agencies will only enforce regulations against those they have informed, in line with the behaviors they have identified. No agency will bring a new enforcement action under any regulation unless it has been publicly explained and available for at least 30 days.
That’s it. Officially, this approach doesn’t eliminate any regulations or change the scope of agency power. Practically, it disciplines all agency actions. It requires our government to tell people how we expect them to behave, promoting both government transparency and socially beneficial behavior.
This approach also reduces the need for expensive compliance professionals and replaces technical, legalistic disclosure with real disclosure — placing necessary information front and center, rather than hiding it in a footnote that only a legal team would notice.
Entire swaths of the federal government and the compliance and lobbying industries would suddenly lose power. Opposition would be fierce, but difficult to justify. Opponents would be left arguing against fair notice and warning before enforcement. Even better, this approach would shift the balance of power in the swamp. Bureaucrats have grown so powerful because the regulatory code is both sprawling and opaque. Enforced clarity would strip them of one of the biggest weapons in their arsenal.
Long-term benefits are also likely. By forcing agencies to choose between clarifying their authority or ceasing to use it, such an order would force them to prioritize. Presumably, each agency would clarify the regulations it most wants to enforce first. Low-priority regulations left unenforced for extended periods would become increasingly hard to defend. A collection of these long-unenforced regulations would make an excellent case for an omnibus deregulation bill. A significant reduction in the regulatory code, in turn, would justify a corresponding reduction in the federal workforce.
Restructuring the federal government is tough work. Progressives aimed to do it in the 1890s under William Jennings Bryan and in the 1910s under Woodrow Wilson. However, they saw only marginal success until the 1930s. Faced with a true crisis and a theory of the administrative state, FDR fundamentally changed the American system of governance.
We’ve reached another crisis point. Regulatory sprawl and vast enforcement discretion have undermined every remaining republican virtue. No living American can possibly understand the entire regulatory code, which means everyone is arguably in violation of something. This vast enforcement discretion allows the government to target and harass anyone deemed objectionable for any reason. Constitutional norms that haven’t yet been discarded are under constant threat.
The only way to rein in the bureaucracy and restore republicanism is with a coherent theory of regulation and a realignment of enforcement discretion. I’ve presented a plan that’s simple to explain and easy to sell. Maybe there are other options.
Ultimately, the only way to drain a swamp is to redirect the flows that feed it. Opaqueness and discretion are two of the main feeders. Redirect them, and we can reclaim the American constitutional order.
When Trump took office in 2020, one of his promises to the American people was that he was going to “drain the swamp.”
However, the swamp was never drained — and the former president confided his feelings about his failure to none other than RFK Jr.
“I think you need a president who’s willing to go in there and who is not part of that system,” RFK told Bradley Martyn of the Nelk Boys on “The Full Send Podcast.”
“I think that’s president Trump. And president Trump I think tried to do that the last time, to drain the swamp, and he was well intentioned, but he didn’t know how to do it. And he said that to me. He said, ‘You know, I didn’t know anything about governing,’ and he said ‘we won this election and then all of a sudden you got to fill 60,000 jobs’ or something like that,” he continued.
“He said, ‘I was surrounded by people, by lobbyists, and business interests,’” RFK went on, explaining that Trump was being pressured to appoint certain individuals.
“He told me, ‘I don’t want to do that again.’ He said, ‘Those are bad guys, and this time, we’re going to do something different.’”
“He wants to do something that’s good for this country. I know how to do that, and he’s asked me to help him do that. So, if we do that, if he does what he says, I’m very optimistic that we can actually remedy a lot of this corruption,” he concluded.
Rubin likes what he’s hearing.
“Hearing him speak about this stuff, it’s real and it’s true, and I believe him when he says that’s what he discussed with Trump, that Trump doesn’t want to make those mistakes again,” he says, adding, “so a little humility by Trump will be good.”
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The squeaky wheel gets the grease.
Democrats fight like Navy SEALs for their prerogatives. RINOs fight like the dickens for pretty much the same priorities. Establishment Republicans frantically use leverage to keep their seats at the table in the corporatist, globalist system. But we conservatives are supposed to sit like potted plants and just put out policy papers and never use leverage for liberty the way the bad guys do for tyranny — even within what is supposed to be our own party, in which the overwhelming majority of voters think like us. A group of 20 or so House Republicans have finally shown us the blueprint for exposing the fraud of the conservative-Republican relationship and have provided a path forward to either take over the party or force a much-needed split.
There’s a dirty little secret we always knew. Conservatives who are willing to fight the system represent only about 10% of the Senate Republicans and maybe 20-30% (including toe-dipping followers) of the House Republicans. The same is more or less true in deep red state legislatures, although the numbers are slowly increasing in most state houses. As for governors, we have just one: the Florida man. In other words, unless we hit the party with blunt force trauma, we may as well just make it official and install Klaus Schwab as emperor and cut out the middlemen.
Until now, we’ve been brainwashed by legacy Republicans and mouthpiece commentators into thinking that conservatives just don’t have the numbers for anything, that we should continue putting out our policy ideas even though they’re going nowhere, and that we should be content with losing by landslides in House private conference votes on bedrock ideas like making the House more representative, transparent, and, yes, conservative.
“Well, if you want to beat them, you must win more seats (not that these voices ever help us in primaries) and do it the smooth way.” You might have heard that line before. Now, let’s move on with the country club, “next in line,” corporatist, globalist shill to fake fight the Democrats on all the issues that don’t matter, in the way they don’t matter, at the times they don’t matter. That’s what we conservatives were there for: to make points … and then summarily lose.
Again, this dynamic has played out for decades — not just in closely divided congressional sessions, but in supermajority red state legislatures.
It has also played out in general elections for years. We were told to accept every terrible Republican in a general election, otherwise we would be blamed for a Democrat winning the seat. We complained how black voters constantly remained loyal to Democrats who treated them horribly, but we were no different, obsequiously serving and slavishly devoted to the GOP plantation.
“Well, the time to defeat bad Republicans is in the primaries,” they tell us. “If you can’t win enough seats, you have no right to demand so much governance within the party.”
This is a true statement with just one problem: The establishment Republicans don’t run on policies they really support in Congress; they run in primaries on our policies. They use their industry money and superior name IDs and organizations to run as conservatives and confuse voters.
Thus, when they are able to run on what they actually believe privately and still win, we will respect their prominence within the party. But if they are going to sabotage our primaries with dishonest obfuscation, then it’s time we demand they get on our plantation rather than the other way around. Our views, not theirs, reflect the hopes and aspirations of the overwhelming majority of Republican voters.
For years, we have been calling on the conservative members of Congress to form a bloc just like in a parliamentarian system and make it clear that they are not loyal to the GOP establishment. They should obstruct the uni-party agendas and processes — and yes, even leadership elections — until our grievances, the grievances of the majority of GOP voters, are represented and addressed. Well, that’s exactly what 20 heroes, mainly Freedom Caucus members, did last week. In exchange for holding up the House agenda for five days, they got 60 years’ worth of concessions out of McCarthy and his lieutenants.
Taken as a whole, conservatives will now have the ability to force votes on any piece of legislation that, for years, the party was too embarrassed to bring to a vote. This dynamic will finally bring clarity within the ranks of the party. The game of Republicans running as conservatives, but who then carefully fool their base with superficial legislation while quietly blocking meaningful reforms, is potentially over, pending the final implementation of the agreement with the Freedom Caucus members.
Conservatives will also have the legislative leverage to both navigate and message a proper budget blueprint and stare down Democrats in the face of a government shutdown to force generational change in public policy.
On the investigatory front, conservatives will have the keys to the castle to finally hold hearings and oversight on the aspects of government malfeasance that establishment Republicans were always too leery to touch. This can, in turn, help “red-pill” the public against the current corrupt system and foster a political environment to push much greater change.
Most of all, the effort of these heroes sets an example of how a minority committed to its values can smartly use leverage to demand that the Republican wing of the Republican Party be in the driver’s seat, not the trunk, of what should be the predominantly conservative vehicle in the country. They have changed the game.
Does this mean the establishment will necessarily roll over and support all of our ideas and not try to obstruct them? Not at all. But it does mean we can be in position to force the debates they have sought to avoid for so long. It will induce a “convert or die” moment for many of these “undocumented Democrats” within the ranks of the GOP whereby they will either be forced to go along with us or suffer the fate of Liz Cheney.
All those supermajority red states where the 10-15 conservatives in the chamber languish in a Republican Party that governs like Democrats need to start taking notes on what occurred last week and replicate it in their respective states. They can no longer shy away from chaos and harsh debate within the party and must certainly never miss an opportunity to use leverage points to achieve the objective.
Finally, GOP voters themselves need to do the same during general elections. When unacceptable candidates emerge from primaries, we should not immediately throw ourselves at their mercy and beg them to beat the Democrats for us. Especially in deep red states, they must earn our votes. They must get on our plantation. Hundreds of thousands of registered Republicans should formally pledge not to vote for these candidates — yes, even in the general elections. This will force the candidates to start negotiating with the people, not with K Street and Wall Street.
It appears that we might have gotten our red wave after all. Except this time, the wave is driven by the energy of actual “red” officials.