Huge Rainfall In California Will Only Stave Off Droughts For So Long
Drought restrictions will almost certainly be back in a state where decades-long dry periods are the norm. Is anyone preparing?
Climate change has been accused of being "inherently racist" and "sexist." It has been blamed for congenital heart defects. It now stands accused of another grievous category of misdeed.
According to an op-ed in the Washington Post, if a man in a poor country brutalizes a woman, his victim could attribute her aggressor's malice and cruelty at least in part to climate change.
The trio of authors advancing this notion — Geoffrey Ondieki, Disha Shetty, and Aie Balagtas See — tend to write about human rights, environmental, and women's issues.
In their article co-published Tuesday by the Post and the Fuller Project, their interests apparently converged, culminating in the suggestion that "the threat of violence could become more common as climate change makes extreme weather events more intense and frequent."
Terry McGovern, chair of the Population and Family Health department at Columbia University, told the Post, "Heat waves, floods, climate-induced disasters increase sexual harassment, mental and physical abuse, femicide, reduce economic and educational opportunity and increase the risk of trafficking due to forced migration."
McGovern conceded that the data remains limited on some fronts.
Nitya Rao, a gender professor at the University of East Anglia, suggested that the "climate discourse is all about the numbers, but the evidence on violence and changes in power dynamics cannot be captured that way, and so it is not given the same weight."
With an apparent dearth of proof to substantiate their claims, the article's authors seized upon an indirect link between bad weather and domestic violence taken up in the U.N.'s intergovernmental panel on climate change's recent report.
"Climate increases conflict risk by undermining food and water security," said the U.N. report, which may ultimately lead to an increase in "violence against women, girls and vulnerable groups."
This claim was coupled with a concession: "The influence of climate is small compared to socioeconomic, political and cultural factors."
Although not as influential as proven causes of violence, the report noted that there was "limited evidence, high agreement" that the fetching of water in poorer countries affected by droughts and other natural phenomena may be associated with domestic violence, specifically in hypothetical instances where women are found not to have completed "daily water-related domestic tasks."
While contending that increases in temperature may also be associated with heightened conflict risk "in certain settings," this claim was accompanied with a caution: "medium agreement, low evidence."
One 2020 study cited in the report indicated that there was "no significant correlation between annual homicide rate and annual temperature for New York City," for instance, and that no "linkages between temperature and crime have been reported for Canada."
The panel did, however, agree with "medium evidence," that "during and after extreme weather events, women, girls and LGBTQI people are at increased risk of domestic violence, harassment, sexual violence and trafficking."
The term "climate change" was noticeably absent from this claim, where instead "weather" was used.
Like gun control activists who diminish human agency and assign blame to inanimate objects for bad behavior, the authors appear keen to link bad behavior to bad weather rather than just bad people.
The Post article cites the story of a Kenyan woman named Pilot Lenaigwanai, who was driven from her home by an abusive husband.
Lenaigwanai's "husband was abusive even before the drought that's now ravaging Kenya's arid north."
It is unclear whether Lenaigwanai would still have fled to the Umoja refuge had the weather been better, but it is clear from the article that the drought was not what made her husband abusive.
Rommel Lopez, a spokesman for a local social welfare department in the Philippines, suggested that bad weather may be among the conditions that exacerbate preexisting frustrations.
"When there’s a calamity or disaster or conflict, that can put families in difficulties. The situation at evacuation centers is a contributing factor," said Lopez. "It makes them agitated. It adds to their frustration. When someone is frustrated, they could reach a certain point and that could trigger [violence]."
Shilpi Singh, who helps women in India's poorest state, suffered no illusions about what beside cruel men and the cultural norms that help captivate their victims is at issue: "It comes down to economic distress. ... The men vent out their frustration by beating the women, who are raised with the belief that leaving is not an option."
A third set of human remains has been found at Lake Mead near Las Vegas, Nevada, as the reservoir's water levels have receded to historic lows amid exceptional drought and increased water demand, officials said.
The human remains were discovered by a visitor to Swim Beach in Lake Mead National Recreation Area at around 4:30 p.m. local time on July 25, the National Park Service said in a statement.
Park rangers responded to the scene and set up a perimeter around the area to investigate and recover the remains. The Clark County medical Examiner was contacted to determine the cause of death, officials said.
This was at least the third body found in the country's largest reservoir since May as the water level has receded to record low levels.
The first body, discovered on May 1, was found decomposing in a barrel on a newly exposed stretch of shoreline. Authorities said the remains likely belonged to a murder victim who died from a gunshot wound more than 40 years ago, based on clothing and shoes found inside the barrel. Las Vegas police are investigating the death as a homicide.
The second body was found days later on May 7 at Lake Mead National Recreation Area, roughly 9 miles from the first body. The Clark County Office of the Coroner/Medical Examiner had no updates on that case, CNN reported last week.
The grisly discoveries were made as Lake Mead's water levels have fallen to 1,040 feet, which officials warn is close to the reservoir's "dead-pool" level.
Lake Mead is a man-made lake formed by the Hoover Dam on the Colorado River. The water level has been declining for decades as a result of extreme drought in the western United States and increased water demand. The reservoir supplies water to at least 40 million people across 7 states and northern Mexico, according to the U.S. Department of the Interior.
Water moving through the Hoover Dam also supplies electricity to hundreds of thousands of people living in the area. But as the decades-long drought continues, there may not be enough water running through the dam's turbines to generate power for those households.
The lake has now fallen to just 27% of its capacity, its lowest level since being filled in 1937. Experts say the lake will reach dead-pool level if it falls to 895 feet, at which point water will no longer flow past the dam.
Satellite photos released by NASA earlier this month comparing Lake Mead in 2000 to the lake in 2021 show a dramatic reduction in water levels since in the past two decades.
\u201cLake Mead is the largest reservoir in the United States and part of a system that supplies water to at least 40 million people across 7 states and northern Mexico. In July, the reservoir had fallen to 27% capacity, an all-time low. \ud83e\uddf5 \n\nSource: @USGS / NASA\u201d— US Department of the Interior (@US Department of the Interior) 1659362181
This year, for the first time, water levels at Lake Mead have reached so-called "trigger elevations" that will result in Arizona and Nevada seeing cuts to their water supply as part of a 2007 agreement between the two states and California, according to Reuters.
The drought has left a white "bathtub ring" of mineral deposits on rocks along the sides of the lake marking where water levels once stood.
Experts forecast the lake will reach a 1,047.8 ft. level at the end of next year, which will trigger further cuts in the water supply to Western states, and potentially lead to more discoveries along newly exposed shorelines.
A top U.S. general recently suggested the U.S. military conduct operations to help Ukraine export grain that is being held up as a result of Russian blockades along the Black Sea Coast.
Gen. Christopher Cavoli, who has been nominated to the next commander of NATO, told U.S. senators at a hearing on Thursday that he would consider offering military options to allow for grain exports to resume, the Epoch Times reported.
When asked what he would do, Cavoli said that if he is to be confirmed he would “provide the military options required by our civilian leaders.”
He told lawmakers present at the hearing, “Clearly the way we would approach that would have to be a whole-of-government approach, which may or may not include a military component.”
It’s unclear at this time what Cavoli’s approach would entail. Whether Cavoli would encourage sending U.S. troops to directly engage with Russian forces or the military being involved with alternative means to ship grain remains to be seen.
Ukraine is one of the world’s top exporters of wheat, sunflower oil, and canola oil and due to Russian forces blockading a Ukrainian port in the Black Sea Coast there is a burgeoning global shortage of these essential supplies.
Cavoli noted that U.S. sanctions against Russia in response to Russia President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine have contributed to global shortages of grain.
“The grain s hortages that we’re experiencing from both Russia and Ukrainian production being unable to come out of the countries in large volumes or being sanctioned and not being sold are being felt on the African continent,” Cavoli stated.
About a week ago, an analyst warned the United Nations Security Council that the invasion of Ukraine is adding “fuel to a fire that was long-burning” and that there are only about 10 weeks of worth of wheat supplies left across the globe.
The analyst, Gro Intelligence CEO Sara Menker said, “I want to start by explicitly saying that the Russia-Ukraine war did not start the food security crisis. It simply added fuel to a fire that was long burning. A crisis we detected tremors from long before the COVID-19 pandemic exposed the fragility of our supply chains.”
Long before the invasion of Ukraine commenced this past February, there have been intense droughts and weather issues across the globe contributing to the now intensifying grain shortage.
Menker said, “I share this because we believe it’s important for you all to understand that even if the war were to end tomorrow, our food security problem isn’t going away anytime soon without concerted action.”
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