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State Records Indicate 33 North Carolina Voters Potentially Cast Two Ballots Each In 2024 Election

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Early voting in swing states plummets for 2 key Democrat groups, but pollster accuses Trump campaign of 'spinning' the data



The Donald Trump campaign published early-voting numbers that showed a massive decrease in both urban and female voters. Both categories tend to vote Democrat.

Trump press secretary Karoline Leavitt posted a campaign memo that stated: "Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit."

"In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast," the memo claimed.

"Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own 'data experts' and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout."

The Trump campaign published numbers from Tom Bonier from TargetSmart, which the party described as a "Democrat data expert."

The data was a comparison of early-voter turnout in 2024 compared to the 2020 presidential election.

For Arizona, urban early-voter turnout was down over 385,000 while female turnout was down about 170,000. At the same time, rural turnout was up more than 14,000.

Other stark contrasts were shown for Michigan, where 320,000 fewer urban citizens voted early. There were also 200,000 fewer women who voted, as well. Additionally, rural turnout was up 55,000 in Michigan.

Pennsylvania, where many think the election will be decided, saw a decrease in early urban voters by more than 380,000. Meanwhile, a whopping 450,000 fewer women voted early in the swing state.

— (@)

'There is a whole lot of spinning going on.'

Bonier himself denied the characterization of the data, calling it "not shocking" that the Trump campaign was spinning the numbers in its favor.

"There is a whole lot of spinning going on in this Trump campaign memo that mischaracterizes our data, and I'm pretty sure I know why," he said on X.

However, on its face, the data seems to obviously favor Trump and the Republicans.

In 2020, two out of three urban voters reportedly voted for Joe Biden over Trump, a 33-point advantage according to Pew Research.

However, the number has narrowed since 2018, when it was a 48-point advantage for Democrats. It was 46 points for Hillary Clinton in 2016.

At the same time, Trump took the rural vote by 32 points in 2020, with 65% of the share. He has widened that gap since 2016 when he had just a 25-point advantage over Hillary Clinton among rural voters.

According to the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers, women favored Biden with their 2020 vote at an average of 56%, while male voters favored Trump at around 52%.

The numbers were generally the same with the gender gap at around 10-11 points in both the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Despite the claim that the Trump campaign has misrepresented the numbers, it stands to reason that, in general, a decrease in turnout for urban and female voters in swing states would at the very least result in fewer overall votes for Democrats than it would Republicans based on historical voting.

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Wisconsin early voting lags in biggest Democrat strongholds



A close United States Senate race should drive a higher Republican turnout for the Nov. 5 presidential election in Wisconsin, with early voting in key areas at 50% or better of the total votes cast in the 2020 election.

With its 10 electoral votes, Wisconsin is a key swing state that has drawn regular attention in recent months from former President Donald J. Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump spoke before a packed house at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee on Nov. 1, not far from the Wisconsin State Fair Park Expo Center, where Harris rallied supporters.

“The race is within a point, point and a half, not only on the presidential side but in the U.S. Senate race, with incumbent Democrat Tammy Baldwin being opposed by Eric Hovde,” Wisconsin GOP Chairman Brian Schimming said on Steve Bannon’s "War Room" Nov. 2. “It’s very tight here.”

Schimming said Wisconsin has a history of close contests.

“We've had 12 races in 24 years that have been decided by less than 30,000 votes,” Schimming said, “including [Sen.] Ron Johnson's 27,000-vote win in 2022.”

Republican U.S. Senate challenger Hovde has pulled even with incumbent Democratic Sen. Baldwin, who first won election in 2012 and was re-elected in 2018. The RealClearPolitics average has Baldwin at 48.6% and Hovde at 47.2%.

Early voting has lagged in some key Democrat areas for the Nov. 5 election, state figures show.

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde addresses a packed house at the Donald J. Trump rally at Milwaukee's Fiserv Forum on Nov. 1, 2024. Photo by KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI/AFP via Getty Images

In Milwaukee, Wisconsin’s largest city and chief Democrat stronghold, 2024 early voting accounted for a fairly anemic 35% of the November 2020 vote total, according to the Wisconsin Elections Commission. Wisconsin does not track voting by party.

More than 1.34 million absentee ballots have been returned in Wisconsin for the Nov. 5 general election, meaning about 37% of registered voters cast early votes, the WEC reported.

As of Nov. 1 in the city of Madison, 2024 early voting made up 48% of voter totals from the 2020 presidential election. In the city of Green Bay, the early voting figure was 37%.

In historically Republican areas of the state, early voting stands at 50% or higher. In Waukesha, Washington, and Ozaukee Counties, 2024 early votes accounted for 55% of 2020 election totals.

Of those casting absentee ballots in those three GOP counties, at least 66% voted in person, according to WEC figures.

Statewide, 1.34 million absentee ballots had been returned as of Nov. 1 — or 41% of the total votes cast in November 2020.

As of Nov. 1, Wisconsin had 3,658,236 active registered voters, according to the WEC. In the 2020 presidential election, 3,294,872 ballots were cast.

Wisconsin allows voters to register at the polls on Election Day.

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After RNC Lawsuit Extended ‘On-Demand’ Mail-In Voting, Bucks County Pennsylvanians Still Faced Massive Lines

The Trump campaign and the RNC sued to extend 'on-demand mail-in voting,' but voters still waited in lines until hours after the deadline had passed.

Know your rights: Vote Fair 2024 empowers you to guard against election fraud



A new website called Vote Fair 2024 will empower voters to stay informed on election integrity issues in their state and to hold their election officials accountable to process and count votes quickly and fairly, one of the organizers told Blaze News.

Many Republicans responded with alarm when Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, a Republican, appeared to tell "Face the Nation" last week that only "70%, maybe even 75%, of all the vote totals" from his state would be reported by 8 p.m. on election night.

It turns out that Raffensperger's comments were widely misunderstood. The full context of his statements reveals that the 70%-75% figure referred only to the share of the total vote represented by early voting.

Raffensperger later clarified that nearly all Georgian votes — with the exception of military and overseas ballots postmarked by Election Day — will be tabulated by election night.

"Early absentee and early in-person votes will be reported by 8 p.m. on Election Day," he said, according to the Center Square. "Election Day votes are reported a few hours later. Votes of military and overseas citizens have until Friday to arrive if postmarked 11/5. That’s the law. We follow the law and the Constitution, always."

'To ensure that only legitimate U.S. citizens vote and that results reflect the true will of the people.'

Only about 21,000 military and overseas ballots were requested this year, Raffensperger claimed, so Georgia appears to be on track to provide fast, accurate election results in accordance with SB-189, passed earlier this year.

Cleta Mitchell, founder of the Election Integrity Network and a senior fellow with the Conservative Partnership Institute, isn't taking any chances. Through the FAIR Election Fund, Mitchell and others at EIN developed Vote Fair 2024, a website that not only gives guidance for voting on state referenda across the country but offers calendars that make plain when votes must be counted and reported in key swing states.

What is Vote Fair 2024?

First and foremost, Vote Fair 2024, unveiled earlier this week, is concerned with protecting American election integrity and preserving the gravitas of the right to vote.

"Fair elections are the cornerstone to ensure that only legitimate U.S. citizens vote and that results reflect the true will of the people," the website states. "We must require proof of citizenship and support measures that retain the partisan primary system."

The website also excoriated the practices of "no excuse" absentee voting as well as ranked-choice voting, claiming both pose a significant risk of voter fraud.

Conservative voters, however, will likely appreciate the practical voting information the website offers.

For one thing, the website offers a breakdown of proposals related to election integrity that will appear on the ballot in 17 states. Some of these proposals are straightforward, using clear language that average voters can understand without conducting extensive research.

Others are more obtuse. For example, Arizonans will have the opportunity to consider Proposition 140, which has the following descriptive title:

Requires direct primary elections for partisan offices to allow each recognized political party to nominate and place on the next general election ballot as many candidates for each office as there are open positions. Provides that direct primary election laws enacted by the legislature supersede inconsistent city laws.

It might be difficult for some voters to discover under what circumstances city "direct primary laws" have been "inconsistent." Others reading that title might also stumble over the explanation about the purpose of direct primary elections.

'These protracted periods of voting before the election and the protracted period for receiving and processing ballots after the election are simply ridiculous and only provide opportunities for mischief.'

While Vote Fair 2024 gives a helpful rundown of the pros and cons of the bill, it also provides clear direction to conservative-minded Arizonans regarding Proposition 140: "Oppose — Vote No." It provides similar guidance for voting on the other election-related propositions in Arizona and elsewhere this year.

'Here's what the law requires': Election calendars for swing states

Perhaps the most valuable information Vote Fair 2024 offers, however, is all the election-related deadlines in key battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In a statement to Blaze News, Cleta Mitchell explained that the calendars clearly delineate "the post-election dates for receiving, processing, curing, counting, and reporting ballots" in those seven states.

On an appearance on "Blaze News Tonight" last week, Mitchell told hosts Jill Savage and Blaze News editor in chief Matthew Peterson that, in short, the calendars "will say, 'Here's what the law requires.'"

During that appearance, Mitchell expressed particular concern about state elections officials who have projected lengthy vote-count times in 2024. Earlier this month, officials in Maricopa County, Arizona, suggested that vote counts in some local races might not be known for nearly two weeks.

Maricopa County Supervisor Bill Gates insisted that such long vote-count periods are not evidence of wrongdoing. "It unfortunately does lead to people speculating about what might be going on," he said, according to KJZZ. "But number one, I come back to this, I will 100 out of 100 times take accuracy over speed."

'Never leave a polling place after you've checked in unless you also check out.'

While Arizona law permits early votes to be processed and tabulated as soon as they began to flow in, voters there have so many propositions to consider this year that their ballot is four pages long. Such long ballots increase processing times, officials said.

"With races that are going to be tight, it’s going to be difficult, and people may need to have some patience," said Jennifer Liewer, deputy elections director for communications.

Mitchell is dubious. "These protracted periods of voting before the election and the protracted period for receiving and processing ballots after the election are simply ridiculous and only provide opportunities for mischief," she said in a statement to Blaze News.

"We ought to be saying, 'No ... that is not going to happen,'" she added on "Blaze News Tonight."

Indeed, the Arizona calendar at Vote Fair 2024 reminds voters that vote tabulation has been going on for weeks, ostensibly implying that they should not tolerate unnecessary delays. "Tabulation of ballots may begin immediately after received and then delivered to early election board," it says.

October 9 is also marked on the Vote Fair 2024 calendar as the day when "Early Ballot tabulation begins" in Arizona, reminding voters to vote early to be sure their votes are cast and counted.

To help guard against potential problems, Mitchell does advise voters to cast their ballots early if possible. "We say to everybody, 'Go to your polling place in advance and vote early in person.'"

"Make sure you stay, and ... make sure you check out," Mitchell said on "Blaze News Tonight," addressing early voters in Arizona and elsewhere. "Don't let them say, 'This glitch has cost you your ability to vote.' Never leave a polling place after you've checked in unless you also check out."

Know your rights

Just this week, voters waiting in line for ballot applications in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, were turned away hours before the 5 p.m. deadline on Wednesday. A judge was so disturbed by the incidents of possible voter disenfranchisement that he extended the deadline until Friday at 5 p.m.

The ruling came about after several Pennsylvanians of good faith captured on video what appeared to be attempts to suppress the vote. They then shared those videos on social media. Not only did these ordinary citizens demonstrate remarkable courage in the face of possible voter intimidation, but they knew their rights and weren't afraid to stand up for them.

'We are in desperate need of restoring trust in our elections.'

Vote Fair 2024 offers voters a similar means of staying informed about their rights as well as the responsibilities of local, county, and state election officials.

"These are the dates that will be in effect for 2024," Cleta Mitchell told Blaze News about the Vote Fair 2024 calendars, "and we wanted the public and the media to have the information available to be able to follow along. It may be a while in some states before all the votes are received, counted, and reported."

Unfortunately, the calendars offer only the information as mandated by law on a state-by-state basis, not necessarily what may be in the best interest of election integrity.

"Note that there are extended post-election deadlines in some of these states," Mitchell's statement to Blaze News continued. "So the election process extends well past Election Day, unfortunately."

Still, the calendars and the information on state-level, election-related referenda are important resources in the waning days of election season.

Blaze News editor in chief Matthew Peterson is encouraged that Mitchell and others of influence are taking action in the fight for free and fair elections.

"As trust in our institutions continues to decrease in America, we are in desperate need of restoring trust in our elections. This should not be a partisan issue, although the problem was created by partisan efforts to change and game the system," Peterson said in a statement to Blaze News.

"Cleta Mitchell has been at the forefront of the movement to establish a fair and accountable common-sense voting process, and efforts like this are vital to stabilize politics in our country."

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ROOKE: Republicans’ Latest Swing State Win Is The Last Thing Democrats Want Right Now

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