Democrats can’t handle a Trump recovery



The Department of Labor reported on August 1 that the U.S. unemployment rate ticked up slightly in July to 4.2%. Employers added just 73,000 jobs — well below the 110,000 economists had projected.

Democrats pounced immediately.

This isn’t economic chaos. It’s called a comeback.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) claimed the report showed Americans are “paying the price” for “Donald Trump’s destructive trade war.” He called the data an illustration of “economic chaos.”

California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) — already positioning himself for a 2028 presidential run — declared that Trump is “crashing our economy” and insisted, “We haven’t seen conditions like these since 2020.”

Sen. Chris Murphy (D) of Connecticut said the economy was “chaotic and full of corruption.” He later wrote on X: “Companies don’t want to create jobs in Trump’s chaos economy with weakening rule of law and rampant corruption.”

But the reality is far less dramatic than the rhetoric.

Numbers in context

Yes, the July jobs report was underwhelming. But it was far from catastrophic.

The 4.2% unemployment rate in July 2025 is the same as it was in July 2024 — and in March, April, May, August, and November of last year. The rate has held steady for months. In what way is that “crashing our economy”? That’s called consistency.

By contrast, unemployment rose significantly during President Biden’s final year in office. In July 2023, the rate was 3.5%. A year later, just before Biden dropped out of the 2024 race, it had climbed to 4.2%.

The fact is, Trump didn’t inherit a strong economy. He got Biden’s inflation, stagnation, and policy uncertainty. So what we’re seeing now is more of a course correction, not a crash.

Signs of progress

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, full-time employment has grown by 1.1 million over the past 12 months. Layoffs in July were down 15% year over year.

Gross domestic product also rebounded. The Commerce Department reports that U.S. economic output rose 3% in the second quarter of 2025, reversing a 0.5% contraction in the first.

None of this suggests economic free fall. It suggests recovery.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration has brokered major trade agreements with key global players and secured historic investment deals — moves that will pay off in the years ahead.

Japan pledged to invest $550 billion in U.S. industries, and Saudi Arabia agreed to $600 billion in new investments. In May, the United Arab Emirates agreed to more than $200 billion in commercial deals, on top of a $1.4 trillion commitment earlier this year to back emerging technologies.

Domestic investment is ramping up

American companies are also stepping up in response to Trump’s pro-business regulatory agenda.

Apple this week reached an agreement with the White House to commit another $100 million to domestic manufacturing. This follows the tech giant’s announcement in February of plans to spend more than $500 billion in the U.S. over four years, focusing on operations in Arizona, California, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, and North Carolina.

IBM pledged $150 billion over five years.

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Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images

Eli Lilly in February committed $27 billion for new domestic manufacturing, including four new plants. That initiative alone will create more than 3,000 permanent jobs and 10,000 construction jobs.

These investments are not instant, but they are real — and they will reshape America’s economy.

The real panic is political

The Democrats’ sudden alarm over a flat unemployment rate reveals more about their political fears than economic facts. A strengthening Trump economy threatens their narrative — and their electoral strategy.

They’re hoping manufactured panic can drown out progress. But Americans can see what’s really happening.

The July jobs report may have missed expectations, but the broader trend is unmistakable. Trump is rebuilding what Biden’s policies eroded. Jobs are returning. Investment is growing. Stability is taking root.

This isn’t economic chaos. It’s called a comeback.

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Biden economic slump continues with disappointing November jobs report



The U.S. economy added far fewer jobs in November than experts had predicted, as the country continues its slow recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic under the Biden administration.

What are the details?

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payrolls increased by just 210,000 for the month, well below the Dow Jones estimate of 573,000. The figure also came in significantly below October's job gains, which totaled 531,000.

Experts had believed that steady job growth would continue into the holiday season, but that has evidently not been the case. The report specifically noted that retail trade — one of the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic — actually declined over the month.

The sectors with the highest gains in November were professional and business services, transportation and warehousing, construction, and manufacturing.

The news also indicated that hiring began to slow even before the detection of the new Omicron coronavirus variant, CNBC reported. The variant, which caused mass global hysteria, wasn't detected until Thanksgiving weekend, or toward the end of the month.

Total nonfarm employment continues to lag behind its pre-pandemic levels, the report showed. While 18.5 million jobs have been added since April 2020, the economy remains down 3.9 million jobs, or 2.6%, from its previous high point in February 2020, before the pandemic began.

But it may not be all bad news

Though even as hiring slowed, the report showed that unemployment dropped to a post-pandemic low of 4.2% in November, narrowly besting predictions of 4.5%. This latter news came from the household data survey, one of two surveys used to compile data. The other survey records hiring among employers.

"As is the case from time to time, the two surveys painted somewhat different pictures of the economy," the New York Times explained, noting that the household survey showed the "number of employed Americans jumped by more than 1.1 million."

"And the overall participation rate, which measures the proportion of Americans who either have jobs or are looking for one, rose by 0.2 percentage point to 61.8 percent," the Times added.

Nick Bunker, economic research director at Indeed, told CNBC, "This report is a tale of two surveys. The household survey shows accelerating employment gains, workers returning to the labor force, and low levels of involuntary part-time work. The payroll survey shows a significant deceleration in job growth, particularly in COVID-affected sectors.”

Anything else?

The startling differences between the two surveys, if anything, show a hefty amount of volatility surrounding the economy. And many now fear that the emergence of the Omicron variant will only add to that volatility.

"We saw in a very real way a slowdown in hiring as a result of the Delta variant," Nela Richardson, chief economist for the payroll processing company ADP, told NPR. "There were fewer people going to restaurants. Fewer people traveling. And that had an impact on hiring. It likely had an impact on fewer people deciding to come back into the labor market."

She and others worry that Omicron may result in retelling that the same story.

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Democrats and the Biden administration have attributed the blunted economic recovery, in part, to a lack of child care services for working parents. They have used the problem to push support for President Joe Biden's American Families Plan, a massive legislative proposal that would cost taxpayers $1.8 trillion.

However, new analysis released by economic experts including Harvard professor Jason Furman, whom Politico described as a "prominent White House ally" and "Biden-friendly economist," severely undercuts the Democratic narrative.

Jason Furman. (Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

After April's shockingly disappointing job's report showed the U.S. economy stalled last month — adding only about one-quarter of the 1 million jobs experts predicted — Democrats have called for Congress to act on Biden's plan, and the White House has said lack of child care access is preventing parents from rejoining the workforce.

Politico reported:

Democratic officials have used the jobs report to call on Congress to urgently approve hundreds of billions of dollars in child care aid that Biden has proposed under the American Families Plan, which also includes two free years of universal pre-K. "If we don't solve our child care crisis, there isn't going to be an economic recovery," Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), who chairs the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, said at a Thursday press conference.

White House press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters earlier this month that passing the Families Plan "would have a huge benefit in addressing some of the impacts of child care, on educational needs … that is preventing women from rejoining the workforce."

What did Furman discover?

The economic analysis co-authored Furman, who served as chairman of former President Barack Obama's Council of Economic Advisers, found that child care challenges are not contributing to the stalled economic recovery.

"School closures and lack of child care are not holding back the recovery," Furman said, Politico reported. "And conversely, we shouldn't expect a short-term economic bump from reopening schools and making child care more available."

In fact, the analysis discovered the employment rate for parents with young children decreased at a lower rate than the unemployment rate for people without young children, yet another indicator that child care challenges are not contributing to the stalled jobs recovery.

Instead, the analysis concluded that enhanced unemployment benefits is partly behind the disappointing economic numbers from April.

While school closures and ongoing childcare challenges have substantially burdened parents and children alike, they do not appear to be a meaningful driver of the slow employment recovery. This means that the factors responsible for the slow employment recovery and depressed labor supply are issues that are not exclusively related to the struggles of working parents, such as the continued concern about the threat of getting COVID-19 at work or expanded unemployment insurance benefits and eligibility.

Furman had said previously child care challenges and closed schools were contributing to poor economic recovery numbers.

How did the White House respond?

Jared Bernstein, a member of Biden's Council of Economic Advisers, essentially dismissed the analysis, saying it "doesn't obviate our concerns about the child care barrier either in the near-term or the long-term."

"Many factors remain in play: fear of the virus, barriers to child care, school closures, concerns about the vaccination rates for working-age people," Bernstein told Politico. "All of these factors are in the mix, and I don't think you can find one piece of research that says, 'Aha, here is the main factor or the sole factor.' These factors are all interacting with each other as we continue making a gradual return back to pre-crisis conditions."