Former Dallas Fed head warns the US regional banking crisis is 'more serious than we currently understand'



There have been three major bank failures so far this year, and some experts claim the carnage may not yet be at an end.

Former Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan told Bloomberg Television this week that he thinks "the banking situation may well be more serious than we currently understand."

Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in March, marking the second-largest bank failure in U.S. history. Signature Bank, which had $110 billion in assets at the end of 2022, making it the 29th largest U.S. bank at the time, failed shortly thereafter.

Americans have pulled nearly $100 billion out of banks since, according to Fox Business.

Biden Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen claimed in mid-March that the "banking system is sound." However, just weeks later, First Republic Bank, which had assets over $200 billion and catered to wealthy elites, similarly failed.

First Republic's demise represented the second-largest banking failure in American history, trailing the 2008 collapse of Washington Mutual.

Over the weekend, regulators seized First Republic and sold the bank's deposits and a "substantial majority of assets" to JPMorgan Chase, the largest U.S. bank. JPMorgan similarly absorbed Washington Mutual after its collapse.

Echoing Yellen's March claim, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon suggested Monday that the primary phase of the regional bank crisis was "over," reported the Guardian.

"There may be another smaller one, but this pretty much resolves them all," Dimon said. "This part of the crisis is over."

Tomasz Piskorski, a professor of real estate in the finance division at Columbia University, told Bloomberg, "There are a lot of signs telling us the U.S. banking system is in distress. ... We might want to close our eyes and pretend nothing’s happened, but the signs are already there."

CNBC reported that bank stocks fell dramatically Tuesday, in part because confidence remains shaken and pressure on the sector continues to build.

For instance, shares of the California-based PacWest Bancorp fell nearly 28% on Tuesday. The stock was halted for volatility on a number of occasions.

Shares of Western Alliance bank dropped 15%.

The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF fell 6.3%.

\u201cBREAKING: US Banking Crisis - Bank Shares Plummet \n\nShares of major U.S. regional banks fell further on Tuesday in the aftermath of the collapse of First Republic Bank, the largest U.S. bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis.\n\nShares of PacWest Bancorp tumbled nearly 30%,\u2026\u201d
— Mario Nawfal (@Mario Nawfal) 1683043099

According to Time, investors and analysts remain concerned about banks such as Comerica and KeyCorp, which — like SVB and Signature Bank — have a large number of accounts with deposits over the federally insured level of $250,000.

CNBC indicated that this concern can be attributed to the recent failures, the expected regulatory changes they have prompted, and prospective Fed rate hikes.

Former Dallas Fed president Robert Kaplan suggested that as far as the regional banking crisis goes, it would be ill advised for the Federal Reserve to continue its rate hike campaign.

The Fed is expected to raised its benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points on May 3.

"I’d prefer to do what’s called the hawkish pause, not raise but signal that we are in a tightening stance," Kaplan told Bloomberg. "It is more important to be able to sustain the current rate for an extended period of time, longer than the market thinks, than to get another 25-50 basis points and risk having to cut again. I think that will be very troubling."

Economist Peter St Onge of the Heritage Foundation noted Monday that thousands of banks are "in trouble because of the fastest rate hikes in 50 years [which] crashed their bonds, impaired their loans, and vaporized the easy profits they were making paying depositors pennies."

Onge further claimed that virtually every bank in America loaded up on expensive bonds "to park the influx of pandemic-era deposits" then lost "hundreds of billions as rates went up. American banks are now sitting on at least $620 billion of unrealized hidden losses. So First Republic was about 5% of that and we've got 95% to go."

\u201cFirst Republic bailed out for $63 billion\u201d
— Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@Peter St Onge, Ph.D.) 1682944624

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Biden Responds To First Republic Bank Closure

The bank is the third major bank to fail in recent months

Report: Execs of the San Francisco bank now getting $30 billion bailout had dumped stock ahead of collapse



Biden's Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen issued a joint statement Thursday along with the heads of the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, announcing that 11 big banks would deposit roughly $30 billion into First Republic Bank to stabilize its balance sheet after its stock cratered last week.

While this bailout — blessed by the Biden administration — is intended to bolster depositors' confidence, a new report has revealed that First Republic's own executives have not done much in recent weeks to inspire diffidence.

The Wall Street Journal reported that top executives of the San Francisco-based bank dumped millions of dollars of company stock ahead of its crash last week.

It is presently unclear if First Republic executives did so suspecting possible trouble on the horizon. Nevertheless, they sold off and donated a bulk of stock when share prices were over $100.

This week, First Republic stock price dropped as low as $19.80 amid two credit downgrades. It took the Treasury's and Fed's joint statement to boost the price to $34.35 by market close.

James Herbert II, the bank's executive chairman who contributed thousands to former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) in 2022, reportedly has sold $4.5 million worth of shares since early January. In one instance, he sold 15,000 shares (when priced at $123.51) in late February, according to FDIC filings.

The Journal noted that in two of Herbert's recent stock dumps, he sold off 7% and 5% of his holdings at the time, respectively.

Robert Thornton, First Republic's president of private wealth management, sold 73% of his outstanding shares valued at $3.5 million on Jan. 18 — his first trade in roughly two years.

The bank's chief executive officer, Michael Roffler, sold approximately $1 million worth in January after having previously dumped $1.3 million worth in November 2022.

David Lichtman, the bank's chief credit officer, has sold off $2.5 million worth already in 2023, including a sale on March 6, just days before Silicon Valley Bank began teetering.

The New York Post noted that filings show Lichtman and his wife also sold $2.5 million in shares last year.

"In all, insiders have sold $11.8 million worth of stock so far this year at prices averaging just below $130 a share," said the report. "The bank’s chief credit officer, its president of private wealth management and chief executive together sold $7 million worth of stock."

According to the Journal, the executives' trades went largely under the radar, largely because they didn't have to report their insider sales to the Securities and Exchange Commission. First Republic is reportedly the only company listed on the S&P 500 not to do so.

Despite this obscurity, the trades were, however, reported to the FDIC.

The executives' sales were reportedly not executed under 10b5-1 plans, meaning they may be open to accusations of insider trading.

Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell, FDIC Chairman Martin Gruenberg, and acting Comptroller of the Currency Michael J. Hsu said in their statement that First Republic's bailout "demonstrates the resilience of the banking system."

In a corresponding statement, various banks involved in the bailout — including Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley — said the action "reflects their confidence in the country’s banking system and helps ensure First Republic has the liquidity to continue serving its customers."

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