Red wave incoming: Republican Mayra Flores flips Texas region that Democrats have controlled for 150 years



Republican Mayra Flores accomplished a feat on Tuesday that Democrats only wish they could imitate.

Flores won a special election for Texas' 34th congressional district, defeating Democrat Dan Sanchez 51% to 43%. She will assume office this month and will only hold the seat until January. She is the Republican nominee for the general election in November.

Flores' victory is historically significant for several reasons.

First, Flores is the first Mexican-born woman to win election to Congress; she was born in the Mexican state of Tamaulipas, which borders the United States.

Second, and most important, Flores' victory substantiates a growing theory that Hispanic Americans are departing the Democratic Party in droves. Texas' 34th congressional district is majority Hispanic, and that region has been dominated by Democrats for 150 years, according to the Houston Chronicle.

Compounding the significance of Flores' victory is the fact that just 10 years ago, then-President Barack Obama won the 34th district by a whopping 23 points over Mitt Romney. In 2016, Hillary Clinton carried the district by 22 points over Donald Trump. But cracks in Democrats' support in south Texas appeared in 2020 when President Joe Biden won the district by just four points.

In fact, Flores flipped many counties that supported Democrats by even greater margins in previous elections.

\u201c\ud83d\udea8BREAKING\ud83d\udea8 In her victory tonight, Republican @MayraFlores2022 flipped 85% Hispanic Cameron County in Texas.\n\nHillary Clinton won Cameron by 33 points in 2016 and Biden won it by 13.\n\nThe Hispanic shift to the GOP is the most important story in American politics today. \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8\u201d
— Giancarlo Sopo (@Giancarlo Sopo) 1655261485

The seat was vacated by Democrat Filemón Vela on March 31. Vela retired from Congress to work for a lobbying group, but his departure from Congress was evidence that he saw the groundswell of Republican support in south Texas.

The election on Tuesday confirmed those suspicions.

What did the candidates say?

After she won election, Flores promised her new constitutents to actually represent their interests — not take them for granted.

"For over 100 years, we have been taken for granted," she said, the Texas Tribune reported. "I will show you what real representation looks like. I will represent all people."

Meanwhile, Sanchez blamed his loss on national Democrats not supporting him.

"Based on the results, we came up short tonight despite being outspent by millions of dollars from out of state interests and the entire Republican machine," he said. "Too many factors were against us, including little to no support from the National Democratic Party and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee."

Just 26% of Hispanics approve of how President Biden is handling his role, Quinnipiac poll finds



A Quinnipiac University national poll of adults found that President Joe Biden is deeply underwater on his job approval rating, with just 33% approving of how he is handling his role, compared to 54% who disapprove. Biden polled particularly poorly among Hispanics, with just 26% who approve versus 54% who disapprove.

The survey, which occurred from April 7 to 11, found that 31% of whites approve of Biden's job performance and 59% disapprove. Among black adults, 63% approve versus 25% who disapprove.

If Biden continues to face lackluster job approval ratings in various polls going forward, that could hurt Democrats during the midterm elections later this year.

"The latest Quinnipiac poll finds Joe Biden with a 26% approval rating among Hispanics — lower than his rating among whites. Even if you think it's off 10 points, it is a nightmare scenario for Democrats," Giancarlo Sopo tweeted. "I guess 'Latinx' is not working..."

I guess "Latinx" is not working...
— Giancarlo Sopo (@Giancarlo Sopo) 1649882774

"Hispanics are Republicans now not because the GOP did such a great job - it's because Democrats are a party run by Ivy League idiots with Ivy League values," Ben Domenech tweeted. "Maybe you should have said 'Latinx' and 'Democratic Socialism' less, and 'faith family neighborhood work peace freedom' more," Domenech wrote.

A prior Quinnipiac poll of adults conducted from March 31 to April 4 found that 34% of Hispanics approved of the way the president was handling his job while 52% disapproved.

That prior poll indicated that Hispanics were split on whether they wanted to see Democrats or Republicans win control of the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. While 42% of Hispanics wanted the Republican Party to win the House, 43% wanted the Democratic Party to emerge victorious — similarly for the Senate, 45% of Hispanics chose the GOP and 46% picked the Democrats.

If Americans continue to suffer the devastating economic consequences of high inflation and gas prices in the months ahead, those issues could pose significant obstacles to Democrats during the 2022 election cycle. The recent consumer price index report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that the all items index had risen by a whopping 8.5% during a period of 12 months.

Poll: 40% of Latinos say the term 'Latinx' is offensive; nearly a third less likely to vote for candidate who uses it



If Democrats want to keep winning the Latino vote, they'll need to stop using the politically correct and gender-neutral word "Latinx" to do so.

The term, which was invented by far-left academics and activists to change the Spanish language to be more inclusive of people who identify as transgender and gender non-binary, is highly unpopular with Hispanic Americans. In fact, according to a new nationwide poll of Hispanic voters, many find it downright offensive.

Among those surveyed by Bendixen & Amandi International, a top Democratic firm that specializes in Latino outreach, only 2% said they refer to themselves as Latinx. Most respondents, 68%, call themselves "Hispanic," and 21% said they prefer to use "Latino" or "Latina" to describe their ethnic background.

The number of Latinos who use the term "Latinx" is unchanged from a 2019 poll that also found the fake descriptor to be the least popular ethic label among Latinos. Though progressive politicians and media outlets have insisted on using "Latinx," political strategists have cautioned that imposing a label on people who do not use it to describe themselves might be a bad political strategy.

The poll confirms this is so: 40% of respondents said "Latinx" bothers or offends them, and 30% said they would be less likely to vote for someone that uses the term — including nearly a quarter of Democrats surveyed.

I keep hearing about a supposed big generational divide on \u201cLatinx\u201d among Hispanics. No such thing exists. \n\nJust 4% of 18-29 year-olds use it to describe themselves while 66% use Hispanic.\n\nWho, exactly, are Democrats and woke corporations speaking to here?pic.twitter.com/J73AAhN5sT
— Giancarlo Sopo (@Giancarlo Sopo) 1638796951

Democratic strategists are hitting the panic button as the 2022 midterm elections approach. President Joe Biden's poll numbers are tanking amid historic inflation and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Smart observers have noticed how former President Donald Trump made gains with women and Latino voters in 2020 and how Hispanic voters propelled Virginia Republican Glenn Youngkin to victory in last month's gubernatorial election.

So, when the president or other national Democrats insist on using words like Latinx, the fear is they are demonstrating how they are out of touch with voters they'll need to keep control of Congress.

“The numbers suggest that using Latinx is a violation of the political Hippocratic Oath, which is to first do no electoral harm,” Democratic pollster Fernand Amandi said in an interview with Politico. “Why are we using a word that is preferred by only 2 percent, but offends as many as 40 percent of those voters we want to win?”

“By insisting on using the incorrect term Latinx, progressives are engaging in a type of cultural Marxism, a recast of societal norms,” said Virginia Republican Attorney General-elect Jason Miyares, a Cuban American who will be the first Hispanic to hold the office in the state. "Latinos don't use the term — only upper-educated white liberals who hardly interact with the Latino community. I believe that every time they use the term Latinx, they lose another Latino vote.”

But others, like Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha, a former senior adviser to former presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), suggest that GOP gains with Hispanics have nothing to do with the words they're using. Given that 57% of poll respondents said they aren't "bothered or offended" by the term Latinx, it can't be the only reason Hispanics are shifting rightward.

"The only reason they made inroads is they actually started communicating and talking to Latinos, who they just never took the time to talk to in years past," Rocha said.

Trump makes major gains with Hispanic voters, all demographic groups except white men



For a man who is alleged to be a white supremacist and a xenophobe, President Donald Trump sure made inroads with every demographic group in the United States this election — with just one exception: white men.

What are the details?

By 9 p.m. on Election Day, it was already clear which candidate would win Florida, one of the most important states needed for winning a presidential election: Trump.

The reason? Trump made significant improvements in Miami-Dade County. In 2016, Trump received only 333,999 votes in the county — now, he has eclipsed 617,000 votes there.

Critics of Trump suggested Cuban-Americans were behind the boost, claiming Trump's campaign against socialism greatly impacted the race; the point was that Trump improved his standing in Hispanic communities thanks only to Cuban-Americans. But according to NBC News, Trump generally made gains with all Hispanics.

Indeed, Trump made massive gains in Hispanic communities across Florida, compared to his 2016 results.

Will look at this more closely tomorrow, but here are estimated results (not yet certified) in heavily Puerto Rican… https://t.co/Jbb0ypVPtQ
— Giancarlo Sopo (@Giancarlo Sopo)1604473442.0

In Texas, the story was the same.

In fact, the most Hispanic counties in the U.S. lie in the Rio Grande Valley along the U.S.-Mexico border. In all of those areas, Trump saw massive double-digit gains over his 2016 numbers.

These results in Texas are significant because they prove Trump is even making inroads with Mexican-Americans who traditionally vote Democrat.

These results, of course, shocked Democrats, who often assume they have the Hispanic vote locked down.

As Esmeralda Bermudez, a writer for the Los Angeles Times, said, "It's laughable that in 2020, this country still needs to be reminded, Sesame Street style, that Latinos are not a monolith & the Latino vote is a mirage. This misconception comes from how little u bother knowing us, how superficially u cover us & how absent we are in newsrooms."

What about other demographics?

Exit polling showed that Trump improved his standing among not only Hispanics by wide margins, but with every other gender and race demographic with the exception of white men, who were already his strongest demographic.

According to exit poll data from Edison Research, Trump improved by:

  • White Women: +2
  • Black Men: +4
  • Black Women: +4
  • Latino Men: +3
  • Latina Women: +3
  • Others: +5

Meanwhile, Trump was down five points among white men.

According to the exit poll, Trump did better in 2020 with every race and gender except white men.Change from 2016… https://t.co/MLgN2bNvY8
— Matt Bruenig (@Matt Bruenig)1604459651.0