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Incumbent New Hampshire Republican shrugs off primary challengers in win for purple-state moderates



Incumbent New Hampshire Gov. Kelly Ayotte secured the Republican nomination for a second two-year term on Tuesday, beating two outsider candidates and teeing up a November battle against Democrat nominee Cinde Warmington.

With about 84% of expected votes counted, Ayotte won 91.6% of the Republican vote, trouncing Shaun Fife’s 4.1% and Bob Wayne McClory’s 3.5%, according to NBC News. Warmington advanced to the general election automatically as the only Democrat on the ballot.

'No income tax, no sales tax. Not now, not EVER!'

Ayotte previously served as U.S. senator from 2011 to 2017, losing her re-election bid to former Gov. Maggie Hassan in 2016 by about 1,000 votes. Ayotte defeated former Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig in 2024 to become governor.

Ayotte didn’t run as a culture warrior in 2024. New Hampshire went for then-Vice President Kamala Harris by three points but has kept a Republican trifecta in its state government since 2021. Republicans also control the state’s Executive Council, a unique governing body that shares executive power with the governor.

University of New Hampshire polling conducted in August put Ayotte’s approval rating at 49%, with 42% disapproval.

The incumbent’s campaign has focused on kitchen table issues, emphasizing public safety policy and low taxes. New Hampshire is one of the few states without its own income or sales tax, and Ayotte plans to keep it that way.

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CJ Gunther/Getty Images

"I've said it before, and I will say it again," Ayotte said in a March X post. "No income tax, no sales tax. Not now, not EVER!"

She also promised to address rising housing costs through regulatory changes and collaboration with the Republican-controlled legislature.

Those cost-of-living concerns are a top issue for Granite State voters, according to August UNH polling, as are housing affordability and property taxes.

Ayotte has also touted her controversial keystone Education Freedom Accounts, which let parents spend the state’s per-pupil aid on homeschooling or private education rather than public school.

Ayotte’s Republican opponents didn’t mount serious campaigns. Gilmanton farmer Shaun Fife, who took just 0.6% of the vote in the 2024 gubernatorial primary, refused donations and promoted alternative currencies and monetary systems.

Bob Wayne McClory also finished with 0.6% of the vote in the 2024 primary. McClory did not fundraise or make public comments during the 2026 primary.

Democrats, by contrast, closed ranks early.

Though Warmington ran unopposed this cycle, she unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic nomination in 2024. Warmington is a health care attorney and served as an executive councilor from 2021 to 2025.

Warmington is campaigning against Ayotte’s Education Freedom Accounts, blaming them for driving up property taxes. She has also slammed ICE and promised to fight Donald Trump, though she notably agrees with Ayotte that New Hampshire should not enact a state income or sales tax.

The health care attorney has drawn fire from both sides of the aisle for working with Purdue Pharma as an opioid lobbyist from 2001 to 2002.

“What I did not know at the time was that Purdue Pharma was engaged in this massive criminal fraud, something that would be exposed only over years of litigation, that they convinced doctors that it was safer to prescribe Oxycontin under circumstances when it was not,” Warmington said in an August video.

Warmington is supported by Planned Parenthood NH Action, Democratic Sens. Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire, and Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas, who is now running for Senate.

Ayotte has been endorsed by the Professional Fire Fighters of New Hampshire and Turning Point Action.

Multiple general-election polls conducted in August showed Ayotte leading Warmington roughly 49-39.

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Washington Post: Pocketing Tip Money Instead Of Paying It To The Feds Is Actually Bad For You

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Palmetto pretenders push ‘cut’ that costs more for most



South Carolina Republicans aren’t trying to limit government — and they don’t appreciate the Freedom Caucus pressuring them to do so. Instead, they’ve concocted a devious plan to push a bill that sounds like a flat tax but would raise taxes on most residents earning under $115,000. The goal? To trap Freedom Caucus members into opposing a bill GOP leaders intend to promote as a tax cut during campaign season.

House Speaker Murrell Smith Jr. (R) promised voters a tax cut throughout the session but didn’t reveal the bill until last week. Now we know why. The proposal would amount to a net tax increase on 66% of state tax filers, including nearly all who earn less than $115,000. Despite this, Republican leaders still hope to get the bill to Republican Gov. Henry McMaster’s desk by May 8.

Until voters start focusing on primary elections — where the real ideological battles are fought — red states will keep giving us the big government blues.

Currently, South Carolina taxes income above $17,000 at 6.2% — one of the highest rates in the low-tax Southeast. Seeking to catch up with other red states, House leaders, with support from the governor, introduced H. 4216 to implement a 3.9% flat tax. On paper, it looks like a voter-friendly reform.

But buried in the bill is a major shift: It redefines taxable income to include earnings before federal taxes and deductions. Under current law, South Carolina only taxes adjusted income after those reductions. The change would quietly increase the tax burden for most middle-income residents — even as lawmakers pitch it as a cut.

The state Freedom Caucus quickly flagged the problem, releasing an analysis showing how the bill would impact working families. Because of South Carolina’s relatively low income levels, someone earning the state’s median income would pay $716 more per year under the proposal. Lower-income families could see increases of $800 to $1,000 annually.

Even families earning $100,000 — roughly the combined salary of a married teacher and police officer — would face a net increase of $327. Taxpayers wouldn’t break even until they hit $115,000 in income. And even then, a household making $119,000 would only see a modest benefit of $93.

The Office of Revenue and Fiscal Affairs released a distributional analysis showing the percentage of taxpayers at each income level who would pay more under the proposed tax structure:

— (@)

According to the data, between 78% and 90% of those earning $20,000 to $75,000 would see their taxes go up. Even among those earning $100,000 to $150,000, about 60% would end up paying more.

While it’s reasonable to want to broaden the tax base — which any flat tax will do — you can’t call this a tax cut if the overwhelming majority of middle-class families are paying more. To deliver actual relief, lawmakers would either need to drop the flat rate even lower or apply the 3.9% rate only to income after federal taxes and deductions.

Math doesn’t lie. This isn’t a cultural dispute, a philosophical debate, or a regulatory disagreement. State leaders know exactly what the numbers say — so the real question is: Why are they still pushing this bill?

The answer is simple. They don’t want to cut spending to pay for a real tax cut. In fact, the governor is proposing a 3.5% increase in the state budget. That’s why Republicans are promoting a tax plan that isn’t a tax cut at all.

Instead, they’re laying a political trap. By presenting this proposal as tax relief, they aim to paint the Freedom Caucus as anti-tax cut — even though the bill raises taxes on the majority of state residents. A few co-sponsors have already withdrawn their names, slowing the bill’s momentum, but it’s telling that this was the strategy in the first place.

Here’s the bottom line: Once a state adopts a progressive income tax, fixing it within the current framework is almost impossible. A better path would be to follow Mississippi’s lead. It recently joined nine other states — Alaska, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming — in eliminating its income tax entirely.

South Carolina could do the same by cutting spending to offset lost revenue or transparently pairing income tax repeal with increases elsewhere. But to sell a plan that raises taxes on two-thirds of residents as a “cut” is flat-out dishonest.

Unfortunately, this move by South Carolina GOP leadership is nothing new.

A recent analysis using the Club for Growth’s conservative scorecard found that Republican House members — excluding the South Carolina Freedom Caucus — averaged just 27%. That’s barely above the average Democrat. In contrast, Freedom Caucus members averaged a score of 92%.

In other words, the ideological gap between the Freedom Caucus and the rest of the state GOP is far wider than the gap between Republicans and Democrats.

Until voters start focusing on primary elections — where the real ideological battles are fought — red states will keep giving us the big government blues.

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Mississippi phasing out income tax, reducing tax on grocery sales



Republican Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves ratified legislation Thursday eliminating the individual income tax in his state by 2037 through annual decreases. The bill also decreases the tax on grocery sales from 7% to 5% and raises the gas tax by 9 cents over three years.

"Mississippi will no longer tax the work, the earnings, or the ambition of its people," the governor said in a statement. "The legislation I'm signing today puts us in a rare class of elite, competitive states. There are only a handful of states in the country that do not tax income. Today, Mississippi joins their ranks — and in doing so, we plant our flag."

Up until now, Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming were the standout states that refused to confiscate wealth from Americans in the form of income taxes. While New Hampshire still taxes investment and interest income, it is presently in the process of phasing those out.

Mississippi House Bill 1, the "Build Up Mississippi Act," will reduce the income tax from 4% to 3.75% in 2027 then down to 3.5% in 2028, 3.25% in 2029, and 3% in 2030. There will be annual decreases in the following years until the income tax falls to 0%.

'This is a transformation.'

House Minority Leader Robert Johnson III (D) suggested that a typo in the trigger language of the act may, however, actually move up the time schedule for abolishing the income tax, reported WJTV-TV.

"The trigger is actually no longer a trigger because at the 80/500 of a percent, we essentially are in tax cut mode right now," said Johnson, who voted against the bill.

The Mississippi Free Press reported that lawmakers were under the impression that the tax would be further reduced in 2031 if the state's surplus in revenue from the previous fiscal year was greater than 85% of $407 million. The legislation as enacted instead states that the reduction will be triggered if the state's surplus that year is greater than 0.85% of $407 million.

Mississippi House Speaker Jason White (R) noted that one way or another, the legislation "eliminates the income tax in as soon as 14 years. While that's not fast enough for some, the House plan was a little faster than that — 11 years."

When the Mississippi legislature passed HB1 by a vote of 92-27 on March 20 — where all opposed were Democratic lawmakers — National Federation of Independent Business director Leah Long stated, "This is great news for Main Street businesses."

'Government should take less so that you can keep more.'

"Most small businesses in the state are structured as pass-through entities, meaning the revenue passes through the business to the owners, who pay taxes at the individual rate," said Long. "Eliminating the state income tax will allow small business owners to reinvest more revenue into their businesses, create jobs, and support their communities."

The Republican Governors Association called the ratification of HB1 a "historic achievement."

"This is more than a policy victory," said Reeves. "This is a transformation. And it's a transformation that I have believed in, fought for, and worked toward for many years."

"I believe in a simple idea: that government should take less so that you can keep more. That our people should be rewarded for hard work, not punished. And that Mississippi has the potential to be a magnet for opportunity, for investment, for talent — and for families looking to build a better life," added the governor.

While Reeves and other Republicans suspect that the elimination of the tax will lure talent and investment to the state, some critics claim Mississippi's prosperity might be at stake.

Kyra Roby, the policy director of the leftist activist outfit One Voice, noted in a recent op-ed that the loss of the $2.1 billion that Mississippi's income tax nets the state annually "would severely impact funding for education, healthcare, roads, and other vital services."

Roby also complained that the tax cut would save wealthier people more money, claiming that "disparities could worsen."

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