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A California bank that long served tech elites and affluent venture investors collapsed on Friday, amounting to the greatest financial institutional failure since Washington Mutual went bankrupt in 2008.

While Biden officials have suggested that there will not be bailouts comparable to those enjoyed in the late 2000s, the Big Four banks will reportedly see a bailout by another name of roughly $210 billion, while the U.S. government makes wealthy tech workers whole again.

What is the background?

The New York Post reported that Silicon Valley Bank had $209 billion in assets as of Dec. 31, 2022, and was the 16th-biggest bank in the United States. Silicon Valley tech start-ups, venture capital firms, and corporate behemoths deposited at the bank and used its services.

The bank was adversely impacted by the downturn in technology stocks over the past year as well as by the Federal Reserve's endeavor to hike interest rates.

USA Today noted that in recent years, SVB bought billions of dollars' worth of purportedly "risk-free" bonds using depositors' cash. However, the value of these investments has significantly dropped because they now pay lower interest rates as compared to bonds issued today.

Since coastal tech elites and other California customers were hit hard by the downturn, they needed cash. Many began trying to withdraw all at once, prompting SVB to sell off its assets at a loss.

The bank was unable to raise additional capital through outside investors.

Amid liquidity concerns and share losses around $52 billion, regulators shut down the bank Friday, thereby protecting insured deposits and those remaining assets at the bank.

Centralists intervene

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen claimed Sunday that unlike the big bank bailouts in 2008, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank — a New York financial institution similarly brought to the brink of collapse last week — will not receive similar treatment in the aftermath of their breakdowns. The U.S. government will, however, reportedly be helping their affluent depositors.

Citing "systemic risk" as justification for extraordinary actions, the Treasury Department, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., and the Federal Reserve have indicated that they will use the FDIC's insurance funds to prevent tech elites and other depositors in the failed banks from losing money, reported Axios.

"Today we are taking decisive actions to protect the U.S. economy by strengthening public confidence in our banking system. This step will ensure that the U.S. banking system continues to perform its vital roles of protecting deposits and providing access to credit to households and businesses in a manner that promotes strong and sustainable economic growth," wrote Yellen, Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome H. Powell, and FDIC Chairman Martin Gruenberg in a joint statement.

According to the trio, depositors will have access to all of their money as of March 13. The trio noted that no losses associated with the "resolution of Silicon Valley Bank will be borne by the taxpayer," but rather will be funded by fees on the banks.

Similar action will be used to bolster Signature Bank.

Whereas depositors, characterized in this case by USA Today as businesses and wealthy tech workers, will be protected up to $250,000 each, shareholders and certain unsecured debt holders are on their own.

Extra to these actions, the Federal Reserve indicated Sunday that it will "make available additional funding to eligible depository institutions to help assure banks have the ability to meet the needs of all their depositors."

Accordingly, the Fed has introduced a new lending program called the Bank Term Funding Program, enabling banks to take out advances from the Fed for up to a year.
Ben Eisen, writing the Wall Street Journal, noted that in exchange for these advances, banks must pledge "Treasurys, mortgage-backed bonds and other debt as collateral. By allowing banks to pledge their bonds, they can meet customer withdrawals without having to sell their bonds at a loss, which is what Silicon Valley Bank did last week, sparking a run on the bank."

"The biggest draw of this facility is that banks can borrow funds equal to the par value of the collateral they pledge," wrote Eisen. "This means that the Fed won't look to the market value of the collateral, which in many cases reflect big unrealized losses due to the jump in interest rates."

"That is a boon for banks, who were sitting on some $620 billion in unrealized losses on securities at the end of last year," added Eisen.

Should the banks fail to repay their advances, the Treasury Department, with President Joe Biden's blessing, is promising $25 billion in credit protection to the Fed just in case.

'De facto bailout'

ZeroHedge reported that contrary to Yellen's suggestion, the Big Four banks are effectively getting a $210 billion bailout.

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The editorial board at the Wall Street Journal concurred, writing that the guarantees for wealthy California tech magnates' uninsured deposits and the Fed's loans to big banks are together "a de facto bailout of the banking system, even as regulators and Biden officials have been telling us that the economy is great and there was nothing to worry about."

The board noted that the legality of the depositor end of the alleged bailout is unclear, since "Congress set the $250,000 insured limit to protect average Americans, not venture investors in Silicon Valley."

As for the one-year advances, the "Fed is essentially guaranteeing bank assets that are taking losses because banks took duration risk that Fed policies encouraged. This too is a bailout."

"Democrats and the press corps may try to pin the problem on bankers or the Trump Administration, but these are political diversions. You can’t run the most reckless monetary and fiscal experiment in history without the bill eventually coming due," added the board.

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On the back of the August CPI report, the hotter-than-expected headline inflation and core inflation (without food and gas) numbers are being perceived as bad news for Federal Reserve policymakers. While investor expectations for next week’s meeting were that the Fed would hike the target interest rate by 75 basis points (three-quarters of a percent), there were hopes that a more positive inflation report would give the Fed cover to raise its target rate only by 50 basis points (half a percent). Now, while the 75 basis-point hike is still the expectation, there is concern the Fed may raise by a full percent.

At issue is what that means for the broader economy. The hopes that the Fed could achieve what investors call a “soft landing” — bringing down inflation without tanking the economy in the process — were never realistic and now are broadly waning. Even Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who spins every bad piece of news (and also told us inflation was going to be “transitory” and not a problem), said in an interview this weekend, "The Fed is going to need great skill and also some good luck to achieve what we sometimes call a soft landing."

Well, it’s hard to say the Fed has a lot of skill. After years of artificially suppressing interest rates and loading up the balance sheet with trillions of dollars in assets, in March 2020 the Fed said it needed to take swift action to save the economy. Officials' ensuing actions instead helped to destroy the economy, including enabling historic inflation.

They also told us the “transitory” inflation lie, while refusing to stop their damaging policy. In fact, they didn’t officially reverse course until after inflation had reached a 40-year high. So depending on their skill is like depending on me not to eat a slice of pizza if it is in front of me — that is, not a high dependability rate.

The luck factor isn’t on their side, either. The Fed’s tool kit of increasing the interest rates and reducing the balance sheet (if officials ever get around to the latter) are demand-side tools. They are meant to quell consumer purchasing, reduce business investment, and slow down the economy. However, we have massive undersupply broadly throughout the economy: an undersupply of workers, food, energy, housing, and other commodities. The Fed can “print” money, but it can’t print people, food, or oil. So the only way officials can slow things down is by substantially slowing economic activity.

We already have had two quarters of negative real GDP, so aggressively trying to slow things further isn’t the luck a soft landing needs. Add on to that the global recessionary pressure, from those self-inflicted energy issues in Europe to the real estate bubble popping and other issues in China, and the macro backdrop doesn’t present as very “lucky” for the economy, either.

The Fed, along with its government cronies, has made a deliberate mess of the economy. Don’t count on skill and luck to fix it any time soon.

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