Science Confirms: Lockdowns Don’t Stop The Spread
Nearly every country in the world enacted authoritarian measures that proved to be useless. The data show lives were not saved.
Shanghai has begun a phased COVID-19 lockdown, as China’s largest financial hub grapples with a massive surge in cases of the Omicron variant. China is currently seeing case numbers that it hasn’t experienced since the early days of the pandemic.
Parts of Shanghai on the eastern side of the Huangpu River — which divides the city roughly down the center — will be under lockdown between Monday and Friday, according to local officials.
Western parts of Shanghai will undergo a similar lockdown protocol starting on April 1.
The Guardian reported that Shanghai officials are also implementing massive testing protocols.
Shanghai, China’s largest city, consisting of 25 million people, has recently become the hot spot for a nationwide outbreak of COVID that began in early March.
Chinese President Xi Jinping, earlier this month, urged officials in the Chinese Communist Party to “minimize the impact” of the virus on the Chinese economy as authorities work to uphold the country’s extremely aggressive “zero-COVID policy.”
On Monday, the Chinese stock exchange opened lower than expected, with the country’s benchmark CSI 300 index — analogous to the DOW Jones Industrial Average — falling as much as 2% during morning trading hours.
The government ruled out shutting down Shanghai entirely on Saturday, citing the potential damage it could cause the Chinese economy, and opted instead to implement the phased east-west lockdown approach.
On Sunday, a record 3,450 asymptomatic cases were reported in Shanghai, which accounted for nearly 70% of the nationwide total. Shanghai city officials announced 50 symptomatic cases on Monday.
The Chinese National Health Commission announced on Monday that there were 5,134 new asymptomatic cases nationally, with 1,219 new infections confirmed to be from Shanghai.
Currently, in the eastern parts of Shanghai, residents are confined to their homes. The city directed health care workers to visit each residence and conduct rapid COVID tests, with some workers arriving as early as 7 a.m. Monday morning.
In a Sunday public notice, the Shanghai government said that the two-part lockdown was being implemented “to curb the spread of the epidemic, ensure the safety and health of the people” and root out cases of infection “as soon as possible.”
The city’s eastern half will be under lockdown until April 1, at which point its western half will undergo lockdown until April 5.
Residents are being compelled to stay indoors during these lockdowns, and all businesses, employees, and government personnel who are not involved in the supply of essential services are required to work from home.
Individuals who are responsible for providing vital services such as gas, electricity, transport, sanitation, and food delivery do not have to adhere to the stay-at-home order.
White House chief medical adviser Dr. Anthony Fauci, the Biden and Trump administrations' leading voice during the pandemic, said Tuesday that he does not anticipate another major surge of COVID-19 cases in the United States.
"I would not be surprised at all, if we do see somewhat of an uptick," Fauci said during a Washington Post live event. "The extent of it and the degree to which it impacts seriousness of disease like hospitalizations and death remains to be seen. I don't really see, unless something changes dramatically, that there would be a major surge."
Fauci made those comments in answer to a question about whether the emergence of the BA.2 Omicron subvariant in the U.K. and other parts of Europe would cause a viral surge in the United States. He said that the U.S. has generally followed patterns observed across the sea, and that the increasing dominance of the BA.2 variant, loosening restrictions on face-masks, and waning immunity are all factors America has in common with Europe.
"What the UK is not seeing‑‑and that's the good news‑‑is an increase of severity or an increase in the use of intensive care unit beds or an increase in the all‑cause mortality, which means that despite the fact that there are cases going up, there does not appear to be any increase in the degree of severity of the outbreak," Fauci said. "So, hopefully, when we do‑‑and I think it will be that we do‑‑see an uptick, hopefully, it won't be accompanied by an increase in hospitalizations, but it just remains to be seen."
When asked whether policy makers would have the political will to reimpose coronavirus restrictions if that became necessary, Fauci gave a candid answer, predicting there would be resistance.
"I don't think there's much stomach for people to all of a sudden turn around, even if there is an uptick. I think that the desire to continue to go along in a way that is normal, as it were, I think there's going to be a lot of inertia, if not active pushback in people. If it is required to increase or go back to some of the mitigation, I think it's going to be a tough time convincing people to do that."
He added that the government may try to appeal to people who are at "high-risk" from the virus to be "prudent" and follow the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's recommendations in the event of another surge.
"But that's all hypothesis. We don't know. Hopefully, we will not be put into that position, but if we are, we should be willing to and flexible enough to respond," Fauci said.
Still, that does not mean the pandemic is over, according to Fauci.
“We can’t claim absolute victory at this point. They’re still viral dynamics. We still have a highly transmissible virus among us, particularly the BA.2 which has a greater degree of transmissibility than an already highly transmissible BA.1, which is the original omicron. So the advice is proceed with life as normally as you possibly can, but be prepared that we might need to make modifications if things change,” Fauci said.
He also called on Congress to be prepared to pass additional COVID-19 relief and funding that will "prepare us for the next challenge."
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) has made known her desire for Congress to pass an additional $45 billion for oral antiviral treatments, monoclonal antibody therapies and other pre-exposure prophylaxis, COVID-19 testing programs, new vaccine research, and global vaccination programs.
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Coming Soon to a Country Near You | 8/30/22