Trump enjoys favorability boost, post-election explosion in popularity among young Americans



Despite recently increasing the risk of a direct military confrontation with Russia, President Joe Biden appears poised to end his term not with a bang but with a whimper. According to an Emerson College poll released Tuesday, Biden's approval rating has hit a four-year low of 36%. Gallup polls have captured a similar decline, now putting him at 37%. A total of 52% of respondents told Emerson they disapproved of Biden's performance.

Meanwhile, the once and future Republican president has enjoyed a significant favorability bump following his landslide election win on Nov. 5.

Emerson indicated that President-elect Donald Trump's favorability rating has climbed six percentage points since the start of this month and now sits at 54%. Where mainstream polls go, that's a big deal, especially given Gallup's claim that Trump never cracked 50% during his first term.

When it comes to men, 61% surveyed by Emerson said they viewed Trump favorably, compared to 48% of women. Broken down by race, 59% of whites, 53% of Hispanics, and 28% of blacks said they viewed Trump favorably.

"Trump's favorability varies significantly by gender, race, and age," said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. "Trump's strongest age cohort is among voters 40-59, with 60% viewing him favorably, compared to 48% among those over 70. Notably, his favorability has risen among younger voters, with 55% of those under 30 expressing a favorable opinion."

As Kimball indicated, Trump appears to have made significant inroads with young voters.

According to an Economist/YouGov poll conducted from Nov. 17-19, 57% of respondents ages 18 to 29 said they had a favorable view of Trump. Newsweek highlighted that this marks a net favorability increase of 19 points for Trump among members of that age cohort since YouGov polled them just one week earlier.

'He is the state of play.'

Among voters 30-44, 45-64, and 65+, Trump's favorability rating was somewhat lower — 49%, 51%, and 48%, respectively.

Turning Point USA founder Charlie Kirk responded to the poll, tweeting, "President Trump is surging with young voters. According to YouGov, Trump has a +19 point favorability rating with voters ages 18-29. TikTok and X are big reasons why. Our campus videos were seen 3 BILLION times this semester. Truth is ascendant."

Kirk noted prior to the election that "the energy is off the charts. You have a younger generation, Gen Z, who experienced a lot of — they would say — lies and deceit during COVID, and a lot of their life being altered. There is this pent up 'rebellion energy' that has never come out," reported Vanity Fair.

"Gen Z could impact this entire election," added Kirk.

While it was clear that young men were gravitating toward the Republican candidate and toward conservatism more broadly, young women surprised some observers on Election Day with an 11-point shift toward Trump.

NBC exit polling revealed that Biden's 35-point lead over Trump among young women four years ago shrunk to a 24-point lead for Harris in the 2024 presidential election.

John Della Volpe, the director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, recently emphasized that for younger Americans, Trump is not a disruptive force — "He is the state of play."

"They see him through Barstool Sports, through UFC, through golf. They see him through culture; they see him through music, et cetera," Volpe told "CNN Political Briefing." "It's [also] about the message that permeates throughout MAGA, which is, 'He's strong, the opposition is weak, and he exudes this confidence that a lot of younger people clearly are seeking.' Three-quarters of young men, and women aren't so far behind, are stressed out on a regular basis about their future, OK? And they don't have anything that they tell me to give them hope. They think of the world as scary and unclear, and the vision of their future is blurry. So when someone says, 'I will take care of this,' 'I will make sure that you're taken care of for the economy,' et cetera, there's clearly some resonance of that."

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Pollster that nailed 2020 election releases final poll — and it's really bad news for Harris



AtlasIntel, among the more accurate polling outfits in the 2020 presidential election, released the results of its final state-level polls in 12 key states Monday night. The numbers do not look good for Kamala Harris.

According to the poll, President Donald Trump is positioned to beat Harris in all seven swing states — in Arizona, where he is leading by 5.1 percentage points; in Georgia (+1.6); in Michigan (+1.5); in Nevada (+3.1); in North Carolina (+2.1); in Pennsylvania (+1.0); and in Wisconsin (+0.9). After checking the political pulse in Montana, Ohio, and Texas, AtlasIntel indicated that Trump is also leading in those states by 8.5 points, 10.6 points, and 20.2 points, respectively.

Harris, meanwhile, has a healthy 5.4-point lead in Virginia and a 2-point lead in Minnesota, where Trump is 1.2 points behind Harris with likely white voters, significantly behind with Asian voters, but, surprisingly enough, leading among black voters — as well as leading by double digits with independents.

The stated margin of error is two percentage points for Pennsylvania, four points for Nevada, and three points for the other key states.

The AtlasIntel poll has some Republicans cautiously expressing excitement over the potential of beating Harris nationwide, but particularly in the home state of her running mate, Gov. Tim Walz. The Republican Party of Minnesota, for instance, noted that Trump "is trailing Harris by just 2 pts. In 2016, Trump lost MN by less than 2 pts. VOTE, VOTE VOTE!"

AtlasIntel, one of the polling outfits frequently cited by Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight, indicated that where the Electoral College is concerned, "the contest remains open on the eve of Election Day," adding that Pennsylvania has emerged "as the state most likely to decide the race, with its 19 electoral votes potentially securing the Electoral College majority for Trump."

'AtlastIntel has shown a structural advantage for Trump.'

AtlasIntel surveyed 1,840 respondents in Pennsylvania, finding that with third-party options available, 49.1% of likely voters would cast a ballot for Trump and 48.4% would vote for Harris. In a head-to-head, Trump was up 49.6% to 48.6%.

Meanwhile, Republican Senate candidate David McCormick lagged behind Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey (D) by roughly three points.

The gender divide seen elsewhere in the union prevailed in the Keystone State, where once again, the majority of men signaled support for Trump and the majority of women signaled support for Harris.

When broken down by age, Harris' strongest support came from respondents ages 30-44. Among voters ages 18-29, Harris was up 46% to 44%. Trump was up by double digits among likely voters ages 45-64.

AtlasIntel's findings appear to suggest that with Pennsylvania's 19 Electoral College votes, Trump might win 312-226.

"Since the beginning of this race, AtlastIntel has shown a structural advantage for Trump," Andrei Roman, the CEO of AtlasIntel, told Fox News' Jesse Watters on Monday.

Roman indicated that there appears to be greater enthusiasm among conservative voters in this election, highlighting an increased turnout in rural areas, which historically vote Republican, and "quite depressed turnout" in historically Democratic urban areas. As for the suburbs, Roman noted that "more conservative voters are showing up and sort of compensating for progressive voters."

In its Nov. 4 national poll, AtlastIntel showed Trump leading Harris 50%-48.8%.

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Democrats’ Abortion Extremism Would Not Be Possible Without Help From Corporate Media

To put it bluntly, the propaganda press quite literally let Democrats get away with murder without blinking an eye.

Nearly 3 in 10 Democrats polled say it 'would be better if Trump had been killed'



A damning new poll revealed Wednesday that nearly one in three Democrats would have preferred to see Kamala Harris' political opponent gunned down in cold blood on Sunday.

Scott Rasmussen's RMG Research conducted an online survey of 1,000 registered voters for the Napolitan News Service earlier this week to gauge the public's response to the latest known attempt on the life of President Donald Trump.

The super-majority of respondents indicated they were paying somewhat or very close attention to the latest news about the second assassination attempt against Trump at his golf course in West Palm Beach, Florida.

When asked whether U.S. government agencies were involved in the murder plot, 37% of respondents said it was very or somewhat likely.

Thirty-four percent of respondents figured the Democratic Party or the Harris campaign were involved; 33% suggested foreign governments were involved; and 33% suggested that Trump himself or his campaign orchestrated the elaborate attempt to have a Democratic donor allegedly wait in ambush for 12 hours with a high-powered rifle.

A majority of respondents (54%) suggested Trump had "used overheated language that might encourage some people to act violently"; 35% blamed CNN and MSNBC; and 33% suggested Harris was an inciter.

However, when asked which one played a role in specifically encouraging the assassination attempts on Trump, 45% of respondents blamed anti-Trump rhetoric; 41% blamed the media; 30% blamed the victim's campaign; 25% blamed Harris' campaign; and 18% attributed the attempts to other reasons.

The question with the most staggering results was: "While it is always difficult to wish ill of another human being, would America be better off if Donald Trump had been killed last weekend?"

Sixty-nine percent of respondents said no, and 14% said they were not sure.

Seventeen percent of respondents said it would have been better for Trump to have been slaughtered on the green.

'These numbers suggest that the phase of getting worse is clearly upon us.'

The Napolitan News Service highlighted that a staggering 28% of Democrats had answered "yes."

Only 47% of Democratic respondents indicated America would not benefit from the assassination of the Republican candidate for president; 25% said they weren't sure.

Scott Rasmussen said, "It is hard to imagine a greater threat to democracy than expressing a desire to have your political opponent murdered."

Rasmussen appears to have been referencing the Democrat talking point recycled ad nauseam in recent years regarding the supposed threat Trump poses to democracy.

Harris, President Joe Biden, the Democratic National Committee, and Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) are among the many Democrats who have called Trump a "threat to our democracy" while their allies worked to silence the Republican, throw him in prison, and strike his name from the ballot.

When broken down by race, it appears Hispanic respondents disproportionately would like to have seen Trump murdered: 30% of Hispanics answered yes whereas only 14% of whites and 19% of blacks voiced support for the political assassination.

"I continue to believe that America's best days are still to come," Rasmussen said. "However, for years I've been saying that things will get worse before they get better. These numbers suggest that the phase of getting worse is clearly upon us."

While things may be getting worse, Democrats indicated years ago they were already primed for nightmarish extremes.

Whereas Democrats are now disproportionately expressing support for the murder of Trump, during the pandemic, they were disproportionately signaling support for the imprisonment of the unvaccinated and the confiscation of their children.

In a Heartland Institute and Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of 1,016 likely voters conducted in January 2022, pollsters asked, "Would you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose a proposal to limit the spread of the coronavirus by having federal or state governments require that citizens temporarily live in designated facilities or locations if they refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccine?"

Whereas 71% of all voters — and 84% of Republicans — signaled opposition to throwing the unvaccinated in quarantine camps, 45% of Democrats said they strongly or somewhat favored the proposal.

According to the same poll, 48% of Democrats supported federal or sate governments fining or imprisoning Americans who questioned the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines on social media, TV, radio, or in digital publications.

Whereas 80% of respondents said they somewhat or strongly opposed the proposal of taking children away from parents who refuse to take the experimental COVID-19 vaccine, 29% of Democrats signaled support for breaking up such families.

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New national poll signals Trump's ascendance and that Kamala Harris' 'joy' isn't cutting it



A new nationwide poll indicated Sunday that Vice President Kamala Harris has lost her edge and may soon lose a great deal more.

The latest New York Times/Siena College poll asked nearly 1,700 registered voters between Sept. 3 and 6 whom they would vote for if the election were held today: 48% said they'd vote for President Donald Trump; 47% said Harris.

With minor candidates included, Trump has a two-point lead (48%-46%) over Harris.

The Times suggested the result was surprising because it is "the first lead for Mr. Trump in a major nonpartisan national survey in about a month."

Statistician and FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver suggested over the weekend that these poll numbers "are just a bit worse for Harris than the previous NYT/Siena national survey in July and considerably worse for her than a series of battleground state polls the Times conducted in early August."

"The honeymoon is officially over," Trump spokesman Jason Miller told Politico, "and Kamala Harris has been exposed as a radical left individual who owns the destruction of our economy and our border."

It's clear that over the next few weeks, Harris will have to do more than campaign on "joy" and anti-Trump attacks.

Whereas only 12% of respondents said they needed to learn more about Trump, 31% said the same about Harris. 63% of respondents specified that they would like to know about her policies and plans.

While voters appear keen to know more about Harris' agenda, prominent Democrats have suggested in recent weeks that their candidate should continue to ignore the "nitty gritty" and focus instead on "vibes."

'None of this will matter if she has a good night.'

Rep. Annie Kuster (R-N.H.), the chairwoman of the New Democrat Coalition, told CNN, "I don't think there's a real strong reason for her to try and weed out any points of view right now."

Secrecy may not, however, constitute a winning strategy.

"I don't know what Kamala's plans are," Dawn Conley, a small business owner from Tennessee, told the Times. "It's kind of hard to make a decision when you don't know what the other party's platform is going to be."

The presidential debate Tuesday will afford Harris an opportunity to retire her platitudes and provide Americans with a basic idea of how she might run the free world.

Nate Silver suggested that "none of this will matter if she has a good night" at the debate.

However, the debate will also provide Trump with a chance to very publicly hammer Harris over three of the top four issues cited by respondents in the poll as deciding factors when voting in November: the economy, immigration, and inflation and the cost of living.

When asked which candidate they figured would do a better job of handling their top issue, 50% of respondents said Trump; 43% said Harris.

On the economy, 56% said Trump would do a better job; 40% said Harris. On immigration, 53% said Trump would do a better job; 42% said Harris.

Harris was, however, greatly favored to do a better job on the issue of abortion.

There appears to be a couple of issues in which Harris is on the wrong side where the majority of voters are concerned. For instance, 65% of respondents signaled support for increased domestic production of fossil fuels, and the majority (51%) oppose a federal law establishing price controls on food and groceries.

Price controls, climate-alarmist curbs on American energy, and other proposals advanced by Harris appear to have a plurality of Americans figuring her for a radical.

'Voters want a return to pro-America policies that actually work, not the weak, failed, and dangerously liberal policies of Comrade Kamala.'

While only 32% of respondents suggested Trump is too conservative, 47% of likely voters indicated Harris is too liberal/progressive. Whereas 40% of women said Harris leaned too far left, 56% of male respondents said so.

Harris' tether to Biden may also serve to trip her up in November. It appears that a great many respondents (63%) want the next president to "represent a major change from Joe Biden."

When it comes to assigning blame for the Biden-Harris administration's failures, 55% of respondents said Harris should receive some or a lot of blame for rising prices; 63% said she should receive some or a lot of blame for problems at the border; and 49% said she should receive some or a lot of blame for the botched U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan she boasted about signing off on.

Harris may be unable to shake off her responsibility for recent failures, but she has proven able to shed points in critical swing states.

The Times' swing-state polling averages suggested the two candidates are now tied in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. Harris supposedly has a three-point edge in Wisconsin, a two-point edge in Michigan, and a one-point lead in Pennsylvania.

Last week's YouGov/CBS News poll indicated that Harris and Trump were tied in Pennsylvania and that the Democrat had a two- and one-point lead in Wisconsin and Michigan, respectively.

The Times/Siena poll also acknowledged that Trump is more popular now than polling data suggested he was previously ahead of both the 2016 and 2020 elections. Overall, 46% of likely voters said they had a somewhat or very favorable view of Trump. By way of comparison, 45% of likely voters said the same of Harris.

Trump campaign spokesman Steven Cheung told Newsweek in a statement, "Polling shows President Trump is dominating both nationally and in the battleground states because voters want a return to pro-America policies that actually work, not the weak, failed, and dangerously liberal policies of Comrade Kamala."

The Trump campaign noted, "We continue to see a sustained pattern of President Trump overperforming with black voters (17-74 among registered voters; Trump +5 compared to 2020 exits and Harris running 13 points behind Biden) and Hispanic voters (42-51 among registered voters; Trump +10 compared to 2020 exits and Harris running 14 points behind Biden)."

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