51% chance Democrats sweep House and Senate — and it’s the Republicans' fault



Just months after lawmakers claimed they had a spending deal in place, Congress is once again racing toward a potential government shutdown.

Facing a September 30 deadline, legislators are scrambling to pass yet another continuing resolution rather than a full budget — and BlazeTV host Pat Gray is sick of the never-ending dysfunction.

“Congress is working on a stop-gap spending bill that would get us to December,” executive producer Keith Malinak comments.

“They’re talking about just getting to December,” BlazeTV host Pat Gray adds. “This is all so unacceptable. And then we wonder why Republicans are in danger of losing their majority, because they can’t get anything done.”


“Pass a budget for the love of heaven so we don’t have to go through this every month. But they won’t. And they don’t. And we don’t expect it anymore. We expect this continual fight on the continuing resolution,” he continues.

“It’s insane. This is no way to run the largest economy on earth,” he adds.

And with a government this dysfunctional, it’s no wonder that Polymarket is predicting a Democrat sweep of the House and Senate.

It predicts a 51% chance of Democrats winning both the House and Senate and a 36% chance of Republicans winning the Senate and losing the House.

“They’re not always right,” Jeff Fisher comments.

“I’m with Jeffy,” Keith Malinak adds.

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Abandoning Core Beliefs Fails To Save Seth Moulton From Humiliating Loss

So much for Seth. Rep. Seth Moulton's bid for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts ended Tuesday in an inglorious defeat in the Democratic primary at the hands of the incumbent, Senator Ed Markey, 80.

The post Abandoning Core Beliefs Fails To Save Seth Moulton From Humiliating Loss appeared first on .

Troy Jackson Cosponsored Bill Sending Millions of Taxpayer Dollars to His Son's Lobbying Client

As president of the Maine Senate, Troy Jackson, now the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate against Republican incumbent Susan Collins, cosponsored a bill sending millions of taxpayer dollars to a state academy that employed his son as its designated lobbyist, a Washington Free Beacon review found.

The post Troy Jackson Cosponsored Bill Sending Millions of Taxpayer Dollars to His Son's Lobbying Client appeared first on .

Exclusive: James Talarico, Dogged By Voter Fraud Accusations, Says Voter Fraud Is ‘Non-Existent In Texas’

The Texas Democrats' nominee for Senate may need look no further than his mirror for examples of election fraud .

Trump Endorsement Brings ‘Very Nice Lady’ Victory In South Carolina Senate Runoff

Darline Graham secured the GOP nomination for the Senate seat her late brother, Lindsey Graham, long held.

Arkansas Senate Candidate Running as Working-Class Farmer Is Worth Up to $3.1 Million and Holds Position in Family Trust, Records Show

The Democratic nominee for Senate in Arkansas, Hallie Shoffner, has cast herself as a fighter for "working families" who was forced to close her family's farm after "rising costs, bad markets, [and] new tariffs" made it too expensive to operate. But financial records reviewed by the Washington Free Beacon show that Shoffner is worth up to $3.1 million, holds a position in a family trust, and lives nearly 90 miles away from her family's farm in a nationally recognized historic home in Little Rock.

The post Arkansas Senate Candidate Running as Working-Class Farmer Is Worth Up to $3.1 Million and Holds Position in Family Trust, Records Show appeared first on .

Kelsey Grammer recalls tragic past, warns about socialists taking over Democratic Party



Kelsey Grammer, the star of "Frasier" who features in the upcoming film "Avengers: Doomsday," highlighted the danger of the socialist contagion spreading through the Democratic Party.

At the outset of his interview with Fox News' Laura Ingraham on Monday, Grammer highlighted his attendance at President Donald Trump's Aug. 14 rally at the Nassau County Police Academy.

'They don't want to value the individual.'

Grammer, who stated last year that Trump is "one of the greatest presidents we've ever had," explained why the event was so important to him.

"I'm a member of a club that most people don't want to belong to. None of its members want to be in it," said Grammer. "My father was gunned down in his carport on the island of St. Thomas when I was 14 years old. My sister was abducted and raped and murdered when she was 18."

"Because of the men and women of the police departments throughout this country and because of the work that Donald Trump has done, for the first time in my life, I could rely on the idea that fewer families would be joining my club this year," said the actor.

During his speech at the police academy, the president touted newly released FBI data showing that 2025 had the largest year-to-year decline in violent crime since the bureau began estimated crime trends.

Data reported to the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program showed that violent crime overall decreased 9.3% from 2024 to 2025. Last year, murder and nonnegligent manslaughter decreased by an estimated 18.1%; rape decreased by an estimated 7.6%; aggravated assault decreased by an estimated 7.2%; and robbery decreased by an estimated 18.5%.

Despite the drop in crime, Grammer warned about a related rising threat: the leftist radicals who would abolish the very police forces that helped bring down the crime rate.

RELATED: Democratic socialist leader goes on Fox and admits every extreme thing they want to do

Grammer noted that these socialists "seem to have all the energy right now in the Democratic Party."

"I get it because at least they have an idea," continued Grammer. "It's not that dissimilar from what Donald Trump was saying several years ago, you know, 'Drain the swamp.' I mean, I don't think you should abolish the Senate, but I sure think some senators should look to their laurels and get the job done."

The actor, who admittedly once humored a career in politics, noted that while the ascendant left and newly established right may be motivated to address the same problems, their proposed remedies are irreconcilable.

The socialists, Grammer suggested, "want to be in charge, and they don't want to value the individual. To my mind, the individual is America's greatest, single national treasure, and that's what we always have to preserve. And I keep thinking about this quotation from Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn that said, 'Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph, but not through me.'"

After emphasizing that he is determined to help stop "all this nonsense," Grammer told Ingraham that he expects American voters to ultimately deny the socialists their desired takeover.

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Republicans keep losing because they won’t take hostages



By now, most Americans have figured out that the push for the SAVE America Act is performative — perhaps even more than the usual Washington standards.

Republicans have a closing window of unified control of the House, Senate, and White House. Yet the structural advantages Democrats spent decades building remain largely untouched outside temporary executive action. The SAVE America Act is one way to answer that problem with basic election rules such as voter ID and limits on mail-in voting.

John Thune understands leverage perfectly well. It is time for Republicans who say they want this bill to pass to prove they do, too.

Elections remain vulnerable to the same disputes over identification, mail voting, and administration that Republicans have spent years denouncing, while other institutional fights — immigration enforcement and reform of the FBI among them — remain unfinished. If Republicans lose unified control without locking in durable changes, a future Democrat administration can reverse much of what has been done by executive order.

Despite what the D.C. consultant class says, Republican success in the midterms will hinge on base motivation. Voters need something to vote for. Democrats are already portraying Republicans as the party of their own DEI: data centers, the Epstein class, and the Iran war.

Fair or not, those are political anchors. Without a positive agenda, the charge will stick.

The consultant class responds with the usual sermon about unity, which in practice means: Get in line and do what leadership says. But voters do not want WWE. They want UFC.

The Republican Party is already in an internal fight over what it will become after Trump, and only one side seems willing to use leverage. Some will call that destructive infighting. But the fight is already happening, and it will shape the party for decades. The question is not whether Republicans should have an internal struggle. It’s whether conservatives intend to participate in it as effectively as the senators and institutions working against them.

Recent Senate fights make the point. Republicans have held up ICE funding to block an Anti-Weaponization Fund and delayed Attorney General Todd Blanche's confirmation. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) used leverage to extract millions for Alaska nonprofits.

Politics is, at bottom, the acquisition and use of leverage. The Senate's left-wing Republicans understand that. The right too often makes threats it will not carry out — and loses.

The real show is not on the Senate floor. It is in the bank accounts.

The money controlled by Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) and the National Republican Senatorial Committee, led by Tim Scott (R-S.C.), explains more than another ideological taxonomy ever could. Hundreds of millions of dollars flow through leadership-aligned committees and outside groups from interests that want something from Washington. That money becomes both carrot and stick: protect friendly incumbents, discipline troublesome ones, and keep conservative senators talking rather than acting.

RELATED: Drain the swamp? Meet the refill.

Sam Wolfe/Bloomberg via Getty Images

That’s how Thune and Scott can go on television praising the SAVE America Act while the leadership machine supports senators who stand in its way. My friends and I call this the head pat: Give conservatives a little rhetorical affection while making sure nothing they want actually happens. And it works. All the time.

The same network is lining up behind Senator Darline Graham Nordone (R-S.C.), rather than original SAVE America Act co-sponsor Ralph Norman. The scale is enormous. As of June 30, the Thune-aligned Senate Leadership Fund reported $238 million cash on hand, while its allied network, including One Nation, said it had raised more than half a billion dollars for the midterms. Those are obscene sums for a party that increasingly presents itself as the vehicle of working-class voters.

More important, the money is not politically neutral. It is a mechanism for deciding which senators get protected, which challengers get starved, and which legislative priorities receive serious attention.

Some of that war chest will protect senators most resistant to the SAVE America Act. Leadership gives them money and political lifelines while they deny the bill a vote. Those dollars do not come with strings attached for Republican voters. They come from donors and industries that need things from the Senate.

That is the leverage SAVE America Act supporters have ignored. If leadership can use money and floor time to reward compliance, conservatives can make leadership pay a price for blocking their priorities. Until they do, they have not begun to fight.

The absence of pressure is itself revealing. If leadership truly regarded passage of the SAVE America Act as a must-have priority, it would be using every institutional tool at its disposal to find votes and impose costs on holdouts. It is not.

The Senate made the problem obvious on August 8. Instead of forcing a vote on the full SAVE America Act, it took up a narrower photo-ID bill from Senator Jon Husted (R-Ohio). It failed 52-46. Then, that same morning, Thune filed cloture on the CLARITY Act crypto bill — a leadership priority that could consume much of the Senate's limited September floor time before the midterm campaign takes over.

Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), one of four Republicans who refuses to back the SAVE America Act, said the quiet part out loud: Unless its supporters find 60 votes, “they know it’s dead, and so all this is theater.” Thune says the Senate is “bound by arithmetic.” But arithmetic is not an alibi. Leadership chooses where to spend its money, floor time, and pressure.

So stop asking nicely.

RELATED: How Kamala Harris accidentally sold the SAVE America Act

Christian Bruna/Getty Images

Senate leadership routinely holds unrelated priorities hostage to get what it wants. Republicans who actually want the SAVE America Act should do the same. When the Senate returns in September, it will face a college sports bill, Thune's CLARITY Act, and the National Defense Authorization Act. Those are leverage points.

A team sport works only if everyone is playing the same sport, wearing the same jersey, on the same field. Senate leadership is not behaving like it is on your team. Treating it as though it is only guarantees another round of speeches, cable hits, and failure.

The base needs to see a cage fight. Give the people what they want.

Refuse to hand leadership what it wants until the SAVE America Act gets an up-or-down vote at a 51-vote threshold. That is the same kind of hostage-taking the Senate’s left flank uses successfully. Thune understands leverage perfectly well. It is time for Republicans who say they want this bill to pass to prove they do, too.

The man behind many of Trump's biggest legislative wins is leaving the White House



President Donald Trump's longest-serving director of legislative affairs is departing this White House in the coming weeks, wrapping up nearly 600 wild, white-knuckle days of managing relations between the the 47th president and the Congress.

While Trump's massive 2024 electoral victory created powerful momentum in the early days of the administration, hard battles were quick to follow. The White House relied on knife's-edge majorities in both chambers, as well as a number of senior senators in particular who carried no love for the president — and no sure loyalty to his priorities.

'James has played a critical role in our many accomplishments with Congress.'

Just a week after Trump trounced Democratic nominee and Vice President Kamala Harris by 2,284,967 votes and 86 electoral points, former Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) gave a speech to the neoconservative think tank AEI in which he promised to devote his remaining days in office to frustrating the incoming Republican administration.

While less strident than their leader, Sens. Bill Cassidy (R-La.), Susan Collins (R-Maine), and Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) promised similarly tough approaches. Both Collins and Murkowski backed former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley for president, though her campaign only ever won Washington, D.C., and all three of them had voted to impeach at the end of Trump's first term.

Despite formidable obstacles from the entire Democrat coalition and parts of the Grand Old Party itself, James Braid and his team were able to accomplish sweeping legislation on taxes, energy, the border, and spending in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act; send $70 billion to immigration and border enforcement with the Secure America Act, even after the ICE-involved Minneapolis shootings scattered Senate support; create a regulatory framework for stablecoin cryptocurrency with the Genius Act; claw back $9 billion in overspending with a Rescissions Act; and crack down on deadly fentanyl trafficking and revenge porn with the Halt and Take It Down acts.

Even while the president, the Congress, and the parties all duked it out, the legislative affairs team was able to notch a number of major bipartisan victories. Early on, the Laken Riley Act won Democrat votes to create new tools for states to detain criminal illegal aliens and, possibly more importantly, give states legal remedies when the federal government refused its responsibility to protect states being swamped by illegal immigration, as many experienced during the Biden administration.

Braid and his team were also instrumental in helping to form coalitions and grease tracks for the 21st Century Road to Housing Act. The bill was perhaps Washington's most populist reform of the past two years, working to lower housing prices and protect American families by taking on powerful, entrenched private equity interests that had been busily buying up entry-level homes in fast-growing markets, paying cash, and converting starter neighborhoods into permanent rental communities. While the vote ended up passing nearly unanimously, it was a battle to see it out of committees run by corporate-friendly Republicans and others unwilling to work with liberal Democrats.

Aside from legislative victories, Braid and his team successfully shepherded a number of deeply contentious nomination fights through an often hostile Senate, winning votes for Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chairman of the Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh, and Attorney General Todd Blanche.

Blanche's confirmation was successful even after Trump targeted two of the Republican senators on the committee in their primary campaigns. While former Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) and Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) withdrew their nominations, this administration has never lost a confirmation vote.

"James has played a critical role in our many accomplishments with Congress, including the ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL, beating the Democrats in two shutdown showdowns, passing the GENIUS Act, defeating a record number of War Powers resolutions, and in the confirmation of my Cabinet at the fastest rate in decades," Trump wrote in a Truth Social post Thursday morning.

Braid has long worked on Capitol Hill and joined the campaign as the legislative director for JD Vance, then a fast-moving and combative freshman senator. "James Braid had one of the toughest jobs in the entire Administration as White House Legislative Director and delivered for President Trump at every turn," Vance wrote Thursday morning. "He played a critical role in all of the administration’s achievements in Congress: largest tax cut ever, resources to carry out President Trump's historic immigration agenda and finish the border wall, defeating two Democratic shutdowns, a landmark first crypto bill, the fastest confirmation of the cabinet in decades and much more."

"I am profoundly grateful to President Trump and Vice President Vance for the opportunity to be a part of this extraordinary team and to serve in an administration that has worked with the Congress to deliver the largest tax relief in American history, the resources necessary to secure the border and build the wall across two reconciliation bills, the fastest confirmation of the Cabinet in 20 years, and defeating two Democratic shutdowns," said Braid in a statement.