Longtime Republican Pollster Gave GOP Dire Warning About Midterms
'Republicans' approval rating remains unchanged'
Polling reveals: Whatever Democrats are doing, it ain't working
A Marquette Law School poll published in May revealed that 63% of Americans hold an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party. Polling by the Economist and YouGov indicated that the disapproval rating for the party as a whole was 58.3% as of May 25.
It's clear that whatever Democrats tried last month didn't improve their public image.
An NBC News Decision Desk Poll released in mid-June revealed that 57% of voters held an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party. The party's radical messaging on illegal aliens and deportations certainly didn't help its cause, given the majority of Americans support President Donald Trump's handling of immigration and border security.
According to a new poll conducted by the Democratic super PAC Unite the Country and obtained by The Hill, enthusiasm within the party continues to fade — and disenchantment is spreading.
The poll, conducted in 21 battleground counties across 10 battleground states, found that Democrats' emphasis on fighting for democracy — empty signaling that clearly did not help them in November — is not doing the trick, and their ruinous immigration policies are further alienating voters.
Voters reportedly regard the Democratic Party as "out of touch," "woke," and "weak."
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"This is the reality of the perception of us as a party, and until we accept that, it’s going to be hard to move forward," Democratic strategist Rodell Mollineau, senior adviser at the PAC, told The Hill. "There's a perception out there, outside of Democratic elites, and it's taken hold in not just the MAGA crowd but people that should be with us."
Mollineau added, "It's not about abandoning who we are. It's not about leaving people behind. We are a big tent party. But it is about prioritizing the messages and starting where the majority of the people are."
'The majority of Americans believe that the Republican Party best represents the interests of the working class and the poor.'
Rather than defending anti-Immigration and Customs Enforcement rioters, flying to foreign nations to sip cocktails with MS-13 associates, and championing genital mutilations for children, Democrats may want to focus on matters that Americans actually care about.
“We do better when we first meet voters where they are and then bring them along on other issues," said Mollineau. "And nine times out of 10, what they really care about is whether or not they're going to be able to afford health care, whether or not their kids are going to be able to go to a good school … housing, living paycheck to paycheck."
Mollineau suggested that the party should start with "good economic appeal."
Months before he became the chairman of the Democratic National Committee, Ken Martin acknowledged in a New York Times interview last year that "the majority of Americans believe that the Republican Party best represents the interests of the working class and the poor. And that the Democratic Party represents the interests of the wealthy and the elite."
The party's continued focus on pet progressive issues that only the wealthy can afford to care about does not appear to have moved the needle on this perception.
RELATED: Stop pretending the Democrats are imploding
In addition to desiring a fresh perspective and different priorities, the Democratic super PAC found that voters simply want to see different leaders running the party.
A national Cygnal poll revealed last month that only 30% of voters held a favorable view of House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (N.Y.). While abysmal, that's still better than Sen. Chuck Schumer (N.Y.), whose favorability rating was 26%, according to a June 11-12 Harvard-Harris poll.
A Quinnipiac University survey released in June indicated that just 21% of all voters approved of the way Democrats in Congress were handling their jobs, and 70% signaled disapproval. When it came to Democratic voters in particular, 53% gave their party's congressional members a bad review.
An NPR/PBS News/Marist poll released last week similarly indicated Democrats' congressional approval ratings were under water with 27% approving and 58% disapproving of the jobs they are doing.
Steve Schale, CEO of Unite the Country, told The Hill, "They want us to have different leaders."
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New York Times: People Who Ignore Media’s Fake Outrage Give Trump Higher Approval Rating
It was an incredible self-own when the New York Times recently ran the headline, “One Thing Helping Trump’s Approval Rating: Some People Are Not Paying Attention.” An alternate heading could have easily been, “People Who Don’t Read This Paper Infinitely Happier, Study Finds.” The article from mid-May, by Ruth Igielnik, was based on a Times/Siena […]'Are you kidding me?' CNN analyst expresses disbelief over Democrats' loss of critical demographic
Democrats lost the White House and the U.S. Senate in November and were unable to make sufficient headway in the House to make their hysterical opposition to Republican initiatives insurmountable. In the months since, they have continued losing in various ways, especially in the way of public confidence.
The disapproval rating for the party as a whole was 58.3% as of May 25, according to polling by the Economist and YouGov. A new CNN survey conducted by SSRS and published June 1 revealed that only 16% of Americans figure the party's leaders as strong and only 19% of respondents indicated the party was capable of getting things done.
The Democratic Party has apparently lost a lot more than face and confidence — it no longer has a stranglehold on the middle class, a critical demographic that accounts for roughly half the electoral pie.
CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten built up to this revelation on Monday, noting first that when it comes to the economy, Americans just trust Republicans more.
When asked which political party's views were closer to their own on the economy, 38% of respondents said the Republican Party in a CNN survey. Thirty-one percent said the Democrats' views were representative.
"How is that possible, Democrats? How is that possible after all the recession fears? After the stock markets been doing all of this?" said an exasperated Enten, simulating market ups and downs with his hand. "After all the tariffs that Americans are against? And Republicans still hold an eight-point lead on the economy — are you kidding me?"
CNN talking head Kate Bolduan appeared keen for Enten to paint a silver lining on this bad news for Democrats, but he was unable to deliver. Instead, Enten noted that other polling data similarly suggests Americans regard the GOP as the party with the better economic plan.
'Donald Trump and the Republican Party have taken that mantle away.'
"The Republicans still hold an advantage on the all-important key issue of the day," said Enten. "And that is the reason why, even if Donald Trump's approval ratings are a little bit lower than they used to be, Republicans are not out of the ballgame because they still have a clear advantage on the economy."
Enten was not finished burdening Bolduan with bad news for Democrats.
He suggested that Democrats have for decades — since at least 1989 — held a significant, double-digit advantage over Republicans with the middle class. Enten noted, however, that the Democratic Party's advantage had slipped in recent years to a negligible lead, "well within the margin of error."
"Now, in our latest CNN poll, among registered voters, 'which is the party of the middle class?' It is tied," said Enten. "This, I think, speaks to Democratic ills more than anything else. They have traditionally been the party of the middle class. No more. Donald Trump and the Republican Party have taken that mantle away."
'A key advantage for Democrats historically has gone Adios amigos.'
According to a 2024 Gallup poll, 54% of Americans identify as part of the middle class.
There are numerous factors at play here besides former President Joe Biden's disastrous time in the White House, a few of which were highlighted by the New York Times earlier this year.
RELATED: Democrats are just noticing a long, deep-running problem
The Times noted that while Democrats rushed to pin their estrangement from the working and middle classes on the party's embrace of gender ideology and woke policies, Democratic leaders' prioritization of consumers over workers; promotion of job-killing climate and globalist initiatives; and shift away from unions hurt the relationship.
When asked which was the party of the middle class, 34% of respondents in the CNN survey said the Democratic Party, 32% said the Republican Party, and 33% said neither party.
"A key advantage for Democrats historically has gone adios amigos," said Enten. "And now there is no party that is the party of the middle class. Republicans have completely closed the gap."
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Democrats Are The Party Of Mentally Unstable Nutjobs
A recently released study that’s making the rounds in political circles confirms what’s been apparent for years: A significant percentage of leftists are mentally ill. Conducted by researchers from Tufts and Yale Universities, the study published April 30 found that conservatives self-reported having higher rates of “positive” mental health than their liberal counterparts. According to […]Nate Silver: Young men's mental stability helps put them out of Democrats' reach
Nate Silver, an American statistician and founder of the now-shuttered political analysis blog FiveThirtyEight, recently dug into why men, young men in particular, don't like Democrats — a trend that has Democratic operatives scrambling both for answers and Joe Rogan-sized remedies.
Silver indicated that a big part of Democrats' problem might be that those young men beyond their reach are not mentally unstable or attracted to a mentally ill style of politics.
Losing men
Democrats — whom Americans largely regard as weak and ineffective — are right to be desperate.
'Young men's attachment to the GOP has grown.'
After all, in the 2024 election, President Donald Trump captured 60% of the white male vote, 54% of the Hispanic male vote, and 21% of the black male vote toward a combined total of 55% of the male vote overall.
Men ages 18-44 majoritively voted Trump. Firming up that figure were the young white men who previously supported former President Joe Biden but jumped ship and swam rightward, voting for Trump by a 28 percentage point margin.
Melissa Deckman, CEO of the Public Religion Research Institute, noted in a report last month that "since 2013, young men's attachment to the GOP has grown, but most of this growth has occurred among young white men, whose affiliation with the GOP went from 26% in 2013 to 36% today."
While young white men largely drove the trend, Deckman noted that "young Hispanic men saw a 6-percentage-point increase in Republican identification since 2021."
Meanwhile, "young women have consistently been less likely to identify as Republican and more likely to identify as Democratic than their male counterparts across racial groups," wrote Deckman. "In 2024, around one in four young white women aligned with the Democratic party (26%), compared with 18% of young white men."
RELATED: Democrats can't mock masculinity and expect men to vote for them
As with young women's leftward drift, young men's rightward orientation does not appear to be a flash in the pan, hence the recent efforts by Democrats — who failed to heed James Carville's pre-election warnings about the fallout of "faculty lounge" attitudes and the party's dominance by "too many preachy females" — to diagnose and correct for their problem.
Mental strength is Democratic kryptonite
Citing data from the 2022 Cooperative Election Study, a 50,000-plus person national survey administered by YouGov, Silver noted that higher self-reported mental health correlates with conservative political views.
"I think an underrated factor in the 'how can Democrats win back young men' debate is the effects of personality, which differ especially among younger voters [and] are quite strongly correlated with voting preferences," tweeted Silver.
Whereas only 20% of liberals reported having "excellent" mental health, 51% of conservatives said the same. On the bottom end, 45% of liberals said their mental health was poor, while only 19% of conservatives reported the same.
'Conservative ideology may work as a psychological buffer.'
"So the young men that Democrats have trouble with aren't necessarily the ones who have been captured by the conservative 'manosphere' or who are looking for a helping hand," wrote Silver. "Rather, it's those who report relatively high mental health and see Democrats as being too neurotic and perhaps constraining their opportunity to compete and reap the rewards of their work."
Silver suggested that compounding Democrats' problem is that they are seen as "nits," which he defined as "neurotic, risk-averse, sticklers for the rules, always up in everyone's business."
RELATED: The Democratic Party is not dying — it’s evolving
The link between ideological persuasion and mental or emotional well-being is well-documented.
For instance, a 2023 Columbia University study published in the journal Social Science & Medicine – Mental Health found that conservatives are generally happier than their leftist counterparts by a significant measure.
Epidemiologist Catherine Gimbrone and her co-authors found that "conservatives reported lower average depressive affect, self-derogation, and loneliness scores and higher self-esteem scores than all other groups."
"Beginning in approximately 2010 and continuing through 2018, female liberal adolescents reported the largest changes in depressive affect, self-esteem, self-derogation, and loneliness. Male conservative adolescents reported the smallest corresponding changes," said the study.
When attempting to account for the disparity, the researchers suggested that "conservative ideology may work as a psychological buffer by harmonizing an idealized worldview with the bleak external realities experienced by many."
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CNN talking head Dana Bash delivers Hakeem Jeffries some really, really bad news: 'It's pretty rough'
There is unlikely a Democrat now in Washington, D.C., unaware of just how unpopular and distrusted their party has become in recent years, particularly under the co-captaincy of Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (N.Y.) and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries — whose average disapproval ratings according to RealClearPolitics are 46.1% and 28.6%, respectively.
The disapproval rating for the party as a whole was 58.3% as of May 25, according to polling by the Economist and YouGov.
The bad news for Democrats just keeps on coming — and CNN talking head Dana Bash proved willing to deliver more of it to Jeffries in person over the weekend.
A new CNN survey conducted by SSRS and published Sunday revealed just how worthless the Democratic Party has become in the eyes of most Americans: Only 16% of Americans regard the Democrats as the party with strong leaders. By way of comparison, 40% of respondents characterized the GOP as the "party with strong leaders."
When asked which party "can get things done," 19% of respondents said the Democratic Party and 36% said the GOP.
A plurality said in response to both questions that the right answer was "neither party."
When broken down by party affiliation, only 39% of self-identified Democrats said their party had strong leaders, while 13% of Democrats admitted the other party had the stronger leaders. Alternatively, 85% of self-identified Republican respondents said their party had strong leaders, and only 3% said the Democrats had strong leaders.
There was similarly low confidence on the part of self-identified Democrats when asked whether their party was effective: 49% said their party gets things done, while 8% instead said the GOP was the more effective party of the two. Conversely, 81% of Republicans said their party was effective, and, again, only 3% said as much of the Democrats.
When asked which political party's views resonate with their own, respondents chose the GOP over Democrats when it came to: the economy, 38% to 31%; immigration, 39% to 33%; crime and policing, 40% to 27%; taxes, 37% to 30%; and the federal budget, 34% to 29%.
'They're frustrated with you as well.'
The Democrats had an edge with respondents on the following topics: "protecting American democracy," abortion, "the way society deals with racial issues," "the way society deals with LGBT issues," and climate change.
Despite this and other polls painting his party in a negative light, Jeffries took a page out of Schumer's book of recent failed plays and questioned President Donald Trump's popularity in an interview Sunday with Bash, calling Trump "the most unpopular president at this point of a presidency in American history."
RELATED: Chuck Schumer takes a shot at Trump's approval ratings, then scores on his own net
Dana Bash welcomed the congressman's segue into the network's damning graphics highlighting the public's low confidence in the Democratic Party's leadership and efficacy.
"It shows that only 19% of Americans say that your party can get things done; 36 say the same about Republicans," said Bash. "And just 16% say your party has strong leaders. It's pretty rough, and you are one of those leaders. How do you turn that around?"
After a pregnant pause, Jeffries said, "Yes, we don't have the presidency right now, so that's always going to be challenging a few months after a presidential election."
The Democrat identified various causes of voter frustration, prompting Bash to note that "they're frustrated with you as well, with Democrats as well."
Jeffries again tried to shield his party from accountability, noting, "Of course — they're frustrated with the system."
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Trump's triumph: Approval ratings surge despite leftist attacks
Despite relentless attacks from the left, President Donald Trump's approval ratings have progressively increased, marking a stunning turnaround from last month's lows.
Since beginning his second term in office, Trump's disapproval rating peaked at 52.4% in late April, according to RealClearPolitics. The drop in support came just weeks after Trump rolled out 10% baseline tariffs as part of his Liberation Day declaration on April 2.
'His rising ratings are directly the result of his easing of concerns about his tariffs.'
Trump's critics slammed his tariff announcement, further fueling concerns about economic uncertainty that appeared to reflect in the polls, which showed a 45.3% approval rating on April 28.
RELATED: Trump proposes slamming EU with YUGE tariffs to crush trade tyranny
However, as Trump's administration has worked toward trade negotiations to promote its America First policy, economic concerns have decreased.
The latest polling reflects a substantial swing and a major win for Trump.
According to RealClearPolitics' data, Trump's disapproval rating dropped to 50%, and his approval rating increased to 47.5% on May 25.
While the president's approval rating is still in the red, the polling shift signals a significant reversal: Over the past month, Trump went from being 7.1 points behind to just 2.5 points.
Henry Olsen with the Ethics and Public Policy Center told Blaze News, "His rising ratings are directly the result of his easing of concerns about his tariffs." Olsen added that the polls "started to fall around Liberation Day and they started to rise after the deals with the [United Kingdom] and the pause [regarding] China."
Olsen stated that Trump's ratings "remain historically low for presidents in their first terms at this point in time, but they are much higher than they were at a corresponding point in 2017."
Trump's comeback in the polls even grabbed the attention of legacy media outlets.
Over the weekend, the New York Times released an article titled "How Donald Trump Has Remade America's Political Landscape," which noted how the president "has increased the Republican Party's share of the presidential vote in each election he's been on the ballot in close to half the counties in America — 1,433 in all."
The Times called it "a staggering political achievement."
The article noted how Trump has "steadily gained steam across a broad swath of the nation, with swelling support not just in white working-class communities but also in counties with sizable Black and Hispanic populations."
On Monday, Newsweek highlighted Trump's growing support among young adults. The piece cited a J.L. Partners/Daily Mail poll from mid-May that found Trump's approval rating among 18- to 29-year-olds increased by six points.
"An even bigger increase was seen in the latest YouGov/Economist poll, conducted between May 19 and 16 among 1,710 adults. In the survey, Trump's approval rating among Gen Z voters jumped 7 points, from 28 percent last week to 35 percent this week. Meanwhile, his disapproval rating dropped by 11 points to 51 percent," Newsweek reported.
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