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Poll: GOP voters' lukewarm support for Iran strikes significantly lower than past conflicts



A Reuters/Ipsos poll that concluded on Sunday revealed that the joint U.S.-Israeli regime-change strikes are unpopular with most Americans.

While Republicans are apparently more supportive of the military campaign than their counterparts, the new poll found that such support is largely conditional and far less than for the Afghanistan and Iraq conflicts.

The new polling is consistent with surveys conducted last month, which indicated that Americans were not particularly keen on the prospect of a new series of U.S. military strikes against Iran.

For instance, an SSRS/University of Maryland poll, conducted from Feb. 5 to Feb. 9, found that 21% of respondents favored an attack, 49% were opposed, and 30% were unsure. An Economist/YouGov poll found that 28% of respondents supported and 48% opposed the U.S. taking military action in Iran.

Despite strong public headwinds, the U.S. joined Israel in hammering the Shiite nation anyway, destroying numerous military assets and assassinating top Iranian officials over the weekend while sustaining numerous casualties.

According to the new Reuters/Ipsos poll, 27% of respondents said that they approved of the strikes, 43% signaled disapproval, and 29% said they weren't sure.

'We expect casualties.'

Broken down by party affiliation:

  • 55% of Republicans approved of the strikes, 32% said they were unsure or skipped the question, and 13% said they disapproved;
  • 7% of Democrats said they approved, 19% said they were unsure or skipped the question, and 74% said they disapproved; and
  • 19% of individuals in the "other" camp said they approved, 38% said they were unsure or skipped the question, and 44% said they disapproved.

The support for the present conflict pales in comparison to American support for the Iraq war prior to and following the March 20, 2003, invasion.

A poll conducted by the Washington Post and ABC News just prior to the invasion of Iraq found that 71% of Americans supported going to war. An Ipsos-Reid poll conducted in the two days leading up to the invasion found that roughly nine in 10 Republicans and half of Democrats supported going to war.

The Pew Research Center revealed days later that "support for the decision to go to war has remained steady at about seven-in-ten since the fighting began."

A total of 56% of respondents said that Trump "is too willing to use military force to advance U.S. interests." Nearly a quarter of Republicans — 23% — agreed with this statement.

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US Central Command

The poll found that 42% of Republicans would be less likely to support the military campaign against Iran if it leads to "U.S. troops in the Middle East being killed or injured."

U.S. Central command indicated that as of Monday morning, four American service members had been killed in action.

Six more service members were nearly killed on Sunday in an apparent friendly-fire incident in which three U.S. F-15E Strike Eagles were shot down over Kuwait. CENTCOM noted that all six aircrew personnel "ejected safely, have been recovered, and are in stable condition."

In an interview on Sunday with the New York Times, President Donald Trump discussed the casualties sustained so far in the conflict and suggested that there will likely be more.

"Three is three too many as far as I'm concerned," Trump said. "If you look at projections — they do projections — it, you know, it could be quite a bit higher than that."

"We expect casualties," Trump added.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll also found that 45% of respondents, including 34% of Republicans and 44% of independents, would be less likely to support the campaign if domestic gas or oil prices spiked.

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CNN poll on Trump SOTU bodes poorly for Democrats



Democrats desperate to take the wind out of President Donald Trump's sails and torpedo his State of the Union address Tuesday with heckles, boycotts, and low-energy critiques may be upset to learn that the Americans who tuned in were overwhelmingly receptive to the speech and its contents.

A CNN poll found that a near-supermajority of "speech-watchers" said that Trump's policies will move the country in the right direction.

'Look at the growth President Trump made over the speech.'

David Chalian, the network's political director, told talking head Jake Tapper, "64% say Trump's policies would move the country in the right direction, 36% say the wrong direction."

"Look at the growth President Trump made over the speech," said Chalian. "So pre-speech, it was 54% of speech-watchers said his policies will move the U.S. in the right direction. After the speech, that number goes up 10 percentage points. So Donald Trump made some progress with people watching the speech from their pre-speech expectations to what they saw in the speech itself."

Trump said a great deal on the policy front:

  • his tariffs might one day "substantially replace the modern-day system of income tax";
  • legislation should be passed "barring any state from granting commercial driver's licenses to illegal aliens";
  • he is "restoring American security and dominance in the Western Hemisphere, acting to secure our national interests and defend our country from violence, drugs, terrorism, and foreign interference";
  • he prefers a diplomatic resolution to mounting tensions with Iran;
  • he is "ending the wildly inflated costs of prescription drugs";
  • his administration is leaning on major tech companies to provide for their own power needs;
  • he is "making it easier for Americans to save for retirement"; and
  • he is keeping "large Wall Street investment firms from buying up, in the thousands, single-family homes."

In an apparent effort to reassure the network's liberal viewers, Chalian suggested that "it is a much more Republican universe that got polled here because Republicans tune in in greater numbers for a Republican president's State of the Union address."

Chalian added that CNN's "poll of the overall electorate is the exact opposite of that."

A CNN poll conducted last week found that 38% of respondents said that the policies being proposed by Trump would move the country in the right direction, and 61% said they would move the country in the wrong direction.

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Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images

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